Negative-Subexpression 0x71751e…ebae4e Create alert
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$285
Unrealized P&L
+$204
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
557
Trades
1,288
lifetime
Volume
$128.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$3.79K
29 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 11-08 17:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
82% 56% +$1,085
Politics
13% 75% -$1,241
Sports
4% 57% -$210
Crypto
0% 86% +$64
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$17
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -650 -$546 98¢ $-639 -$93 05-28 01:48
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +540 $497 97¢ $524 +$27 11-02 16:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +560 $471 92¢ $518 +$47 10-22 16:11
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +2,100 $252 15¢ $305 +$53 10-22 16:34
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +200 $180 98¢ $195 +$15 09-10 11:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +200 $178 96¢ $191 +$13 09-21 16:25
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +700 $105 24¢ $164 +$60 08-10 01:21
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +150 $136 98¢ $146 +$10 09-21 16:24
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +160 $118 88¢ $142 +$23 09-21 16:00
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -140 -$166 97¢ $-136 +$30 10-05 01:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +100 $94 98¢ $98 +$4 09-21 23:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +100 $94 98¢ $98 +$4 09-21 16:02
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -100 -$92 97¢ $-97 -$5 06-09 15:05
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +100 $85 93¢ $93 +$8 09-10 11:20
Will Nocturne be the most banned champion at Worlds 2026? Yes +80 $69 99¢ $80 +$10 11-02 16:30
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +50 $47 98¢ $49 +$2 08-28 22:05
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +50 $47 98¢ $49 +$2 09-10 11:18
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No +50 $48 96¢ $48 $0 08-28 22:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +50 $38 92¢ $46 +$8 09-10 11:11
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +40 $34 96¢ $38 +$4 09-23 03:42
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? No +40 $37 95¢ $38 +$1 09-10 11:25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$2 08-28 22:08
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 09-23 10:45
Trump out as President before 2027? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 $0 08-28 22:05
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +50 $12 38¢ $19 +$7 11-02 16:42
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $26 7¢ $7 -$19 10-07 20:10
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +70 $16 6¢ $4 -$11 10-22 21:40
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -30 -$4 7¢ $-2 +$2 06-09 15:04
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No -10 -$1 8¢ $-1 +$0 05-17 14:49