Fluid-Masonry 0x60a82a…7d7d37
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
533
lifetime
Volume
$5.86K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$551
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 06-09 20:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
72% — —
Other
17% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
5% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +311 $170 38¢ $120 $-50 06-01 08:00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +95 $80 86¢ $82 +$2 05-28 18:30
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +59 $55 96¢ $56 +$1 06-09 02:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +41 $30 68¢ $28 $-2 05-30 09:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -124 $-61 16¢ $-20 +$41 05-28 14:14
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +500 $25 4¢ $20 $-5 06-01 15:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +22 $15 90¢ $20 +$5 05-31 15:03
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +482 $39 4¢ $17 $-21 06-02 18:10
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +21 $15 74¢ $16 +$1 06-08 21:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +23 $10 68¢ $16 +$6 05-31 15:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +73 $20 22¢ $16 $-4 06-05 13:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 74¢ $11 +$1 06-05 20:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +13 $10 82¢ $11 +$1 05-29 16:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 06-04 16:32
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 06-08 18:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 05-29 09:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +14 $10 73¢ $10 +$0 06-09 08:57
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 $-0 06-08 23:29
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +12 $10 78¢ $10 $-0 06-08 20:27
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +7 $5 84¢ $6 +$1 05-29 10:18
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +7 $5 76¢ $6 +$1 06-07 18:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +8 $5 64¢ $5 +$0 06-05 17:49
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +7 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 05-28 14:20
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +8 $5 67¢ $5 +$0 06-07 13:54
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 05-29 17:09
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-09 09:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-05 09:14
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-02 23:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 05-28 14:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 06-07 20:08