Fluid-Masonry 0x60a82a…7d7d37
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$202
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
7,592
lifetime
Volume
$64.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$3.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 06-30 12:40
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
70% — —
Other
23% — —
Tech
4% — —
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 1116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +958 $850 100¢ $953 +$103 06-29 23:32
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +392 $162 95¢ $374 +$212 06-30 13:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +379 $205 41¢ $155 $-49 06-29 17:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +214 $106 64¢ $138 +$32 06-26 16:40
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +129 $125 100¢ $128 +$3 06-30 11:20
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No -122 $14 99¢ $-121 $-135 06-25 12:38
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +109 $100 92¢ $101 +$1 06-27 19:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +114 $103 82¢ $94 $-9 06-16 17:42
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +91 $85 100¢ $91 +$6 06-21 00:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +109 $83 80¢ $88 +$5 06-25 10:08
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +95 $80 90¢ $85 +$5 05-28 18:30
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -83 $-80 99¢ $-83 $-3 06-14 20:20
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +74 $66 100¢ $74 +$8 06-23 15:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -65 $-108 100¢ $-65 +$43 06-22 06:35
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +51 $50 99¢ $50 +$0 06-26 03:40
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +176 $60 26¢ $47 $-13 06-24 16:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +98 $40 42¢ $41 +$1 06-26 04:17
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +43 $40 94¢ $41 +$1 06-22 06:27
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +42 $40 90¢ $38 $-2 06-23 20:12
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +37 $35 100¢ $37 +$2 06-21 05:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +42 $41 85¢ $36 $-5 06-30 13:30
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +52 $37 65¢ $34 $-2 06-17 03:13
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +29 $25 86¢ $25 +$0 06-18 18:25
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +22 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 06-15 19:42
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +25 $19 84¢ $21 +$2 06-23 01:23
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +23 $21 90¢ $21 +$0 06-22 02:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 06-13 23:13
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +19 $17 100¢ $19 +$2 06-23 03:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +27 $20 70¢ $19 $-1 06-15 17:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +94 $27 20¢ $19 $-8 06-18 10:10