Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$119
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
9,714
lifetime
Volume
$95.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$2.91K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 07-20 18:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
63%
Other
31%
Tech
4%
Sports
2%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 1116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +678 $497 99¢ $669 +$172 07-10 21:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +356 $333 90¢ $319 $-14 07-17 18:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +582 $274 32¢ $189 $-85 07-16 02:57
Trump out as President before 2027? No +167 $155 92¢ $154 $-1 07-14 13:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +201 $160 74¢ $147 $-12 07-20 15:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +155 $123 86¢ $134 +$12 07-11 01:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +495 $84 22¢ $109 +$25 07-18 11:36
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +109 $100 91¢ $99 $-1 06-27 19:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +96 $90 94¢ $89 $-1 07-05 00:41
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +95 $80 93¢ $89 +$9 05-28 18:30
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +108 $72 71¢ $77 +$4 07-09 23:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +120 $117 55¢ $65 $-52 07-11 22:46
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +75 $65 86¢ $64 $-1 07-05 00:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +94 $46 68¢ $64 +$18 07-20 11:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +67 $58 92¢ $61 +$3 07-18 02:40
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +132 $49 40¢ $53 +$5 07-05 16:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +94 $27 55¢ $51 +$25 06-18 10:10
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +52 $50 96¢ $50 $-0 07-06 06:35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +54 $29 88¢ $47 +$18 07-15 01:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +237 $52 18¢ $44 $-8 07-20 16:18
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No +44 $40 92¢ $40 $-0 07-14 22:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +87 $10 46¢ $40 +$30 06-27 22:18
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +37 $35 100¢ $37 +$2 06-21 05:32
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +51 $35 71¢ $36 +$1 07-20 18:10
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +176 $60 20¢ $36 $-24 06-24 16:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +92 $39 36¢ $33 $-6 07-08 09:53
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +33 $30 94¢ $31 +$1 07-14 16:06
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $30 87¢ $30 +$0 07-09 03:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +44 $30 70¢ $30 +$1 07-15 23:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +29 $23 78¢ $22 $-0 07-17 12:38