Stingy-Neighbour 0x87d1d4…e33da3
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$541
Unrealized P&L
+$449
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved
413
Trades
5,047
lifetime
Volume
$44.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$2.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 10-30 00:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Politics
67% 52% +$430
Other
32% 53% +$194
Sports
2% 50% -$82
Tech
0% 50% $0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +234 $160 82¢ $192 +$32 10-29 23:10
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +191 $129 99¢ $189 +$60 10-23 19:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +239 $167 70¢ $169 +$1 10-29 17:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +153 $106 90¢ $137 +$31 10-29 23:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +205 $168 60¢ $122 -$46 10-29 22:56
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +157 $111 74¢ $117 +$7 10-03 16:09
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +123 $6 92¢ $113 +$107 09-29 17:19
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +126 $106 80¢ $102 -$4 10-29 22:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +143 $91 70¢ $101 +$10 10-29 04:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +178 $87 52¢ $93 +$5 10-25 22:17
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +123 $76 68¢ $84 +$9 10-29 17:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +128 $79 62¢ $79 $0 10-30 00:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +192 $87 40¢ $77 -$10 10-25 01:08
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +74 $57 99¢ $73 +$16 10-27 20:25
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +69 $58 98¢ $67 +$9 10-13 23:42
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +89 $64 69¢ $61 -$3 10-21 23:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +98 $27 60¢ $59 +$32 10-05 22:09
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +71 $57 74¢ $53 -$3 10-29 13:22
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +61 $20 86¢ $53 +$33 08-13 18:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +77 $47 66¢ $50 +$3 10-28 23:08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +44 $6 91¢ $40 +$33 10-02 12:45
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639 No +43 -$2 87¢ $38 +$39 10-28 22:54
will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636 No +38 -$1 86¢ $33 +$34 09-14 22:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +167 $31 18¢ $30 -$1 08-02 03:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +113 $22 26¢ $30 +$8 10-29 21:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +56 $27 52¢ $29 +$1 10-29 23:01
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +89 $36 31¢ $28 -$8 10-24 18:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +28 -$16 92¢ $25 +$41 08-28 19:36
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +28 $24 90¢ $25 +$1 10-17 01:26
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026 No +75 $13 32¢ $24 +$11 10-28 16:49