Stingy-Neighbour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,572

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 08-13 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

75% — —

Other

21% 59% +$171

Sports

4% 50% $-101

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	65	$1.2K	1,055	710	+346	open	—	08-12 18:06
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	149	$930	1,518	380	+1,137	open	—	08-06 19:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	81	$791	1,311	963	+349	open	—	06-15 02:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	56	$641	890	571	+319	open	—	06-14 22:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	72	$497	977	632	+345	open	—	06-20 00:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	72	$385	470	263	+207	open	—	08-11 17:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	39	$345	279	208	+71	open	—	08-05 16:33
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	75	$329	485	174	+312	open	—	07-28 22:30
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	35	$308	286	237	+49	open	—	08-05 20:06
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	36	$246	384	110	+274	open	—	08-07 03:19
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	24	$241	170	182	-12	open	—	08-02 01:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	34	$235	374	105	+269	open	—	06-18 01:44
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	38	$228	305	115	+190	open	—	08-06 19:57
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	46	$214	302	159	+143	open	—	06-14 21:13
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	32	$195	267	91	+176	open	—	08-11 19:40
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	8	$183	105	105	+0	open	—	06-12 22:38
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	24	$177	260	104	+156	open	—	06-16 01:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	21	$169	290	53	+237	open	—	06-19 17:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	26	$163	185	91	+94	open	—	08-07 18:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	10	$156	106	106	+0	open	—	08-06 20:16
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	25	$154	181	57	+125	open	—	08-07 19:07
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	14	$153	111	66	+45	open	—	06-10 19:38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	30	$148	170	105	+65	open	—	07-30 02:56
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	31	$144	223	147	+76	open	—	06-14 19:12
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	29	$142	241	215	+26	open	—	07-13 18:17
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	14	$140	310	54	+257	open	—	06-25 20:55
will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	19	$140	121	79	+41	open	—	06-17 22:20
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	8	$140	86	86	+0	open	—	07-23 23:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	9	$139	127	85	+43	open	—	07-20 19:26
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	18	$135	139	54	+85	open	—	07-07 00:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 16:54:22	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x24524b…
08-13 16:06:43	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x2cb8e1…
08-13 08:15:16	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x138d69…
08-13 08:14:33	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x95bb11…
08-13 08:14:10	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xf2edc7…
08-13 08:14:10	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x25ff2e…
08-13 06:37:06	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x62da16…
08-13 04:13:42	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe56af2…
08-13 03:29:15	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x448604…
08-13 02:28:16	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	1	90¢	$0	0x2d001e…
08-13 01:41:30	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xa51c05…
08-13 01:39:12	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0x0c9d6f…
08-13 01:39:09	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x95f466…
08-13 01:24:49	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xea6893…
08-13 00:37:34	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xdc9931…
08-12 22:50:30	will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635	No	SELL	5	85¢	$5	0x5a2332…
08-12 22:27:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf8f70a…
08-12 22:27:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x001183…
08-12 22:26:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x967bcc…
08-12 22:14:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7d2230…
08-12 22:14:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6d7519…
08-12 21:32:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x557730…
08-12 21:32:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xb64fce…
08-12 21:24:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0x72ebeb…
08-12 19:14:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x521bb3…
08-12 18:25:15	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0x428648…
08-12 18:06:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	72	82¢	$59	0xf2ff78…
08-12 17:36:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb64bd8…
08-12 17:36:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0xd05d9b…
08-12 17:36:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xce9b14…
08-12 17:36:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x63e33f…
08-12 17:28:42	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x241d46…
08-12 17:02:01	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xa4644f…
08-12 16:27:15	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x5949be…
08-12 11:32:06	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x6fb4a3…
08-11 21:20:42	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x7f0cfb…
08-11 20:29:06	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xc01ca2…
08-11 20:27:55	Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	Yes	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0xbded8c…
08-11 19:40:03	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x5c4e48…
08-11 19:24:06	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xc99afd…
08-11 18:39:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	24	81¢	$19	0x30c230…
08-11 18:18:12	Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xc4de2c…
08-11 17:55:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0xa3edc8…
08-11 17:54:48	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	59	75¢	$44	0xf8ffd8…
08-11 17:40:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x86ebab…
08-11 17:30:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	35	84¢	$30	0xcfd3c7…
08-11 17:19:58	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x39c0cb…
08-11 17:12:27	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0xaa8e2b…
08-11 17:10:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x6fa50a…
08-11 17:04:00	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xe0d8c7…
08-11 17:03:28	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x29b74d…
08-11 16:34:31	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x3e388b…
08-11 14:58:21	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xda29cd…
08-11 13:47:37	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xde68cf…
08-11 10:49:01	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x38bc8d…
08-11 10:35:58	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x724950…
08-11 03:12:54	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x823de4…
08-11 00:04:45	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xbb7aa7…
08-10 21:01:09	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x40f39e…
08-10 20:26:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	34	86¢	$30	0x9915cf…
08-10 20:04:09	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0xcbf01f…
08-10 20:02:12	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x98dfa2…
08-10 20:01:40	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x308157…
08-10 20:01:37	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x1012e0…
08-10 20:01:07	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2e82e3…
08-10 19:59:34	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x2d0fcc…
08-10 19:59:00	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xff3cb1…
08-10 19:59:00	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xf0dd8b…
08-10 19:59:00	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x8ff690…
08-10 19:59:00	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x8f3731…
08-10 19:59:00	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x603e74…
08-10 19:59:00	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x17c220…
08-10 19:59:00	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x097d80…
08-10 19:58:58	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xcf8851…
08-10 19:58:58	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x8da33c…
08-10 19:58:58	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x79c775…
08-10 19:58:58	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x6a7388…
08-10 19:58:58	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x2995c3…
08-10 19:58:58	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x24698a…
08-10 19:58:58	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x0b5ca4…
08-10 19:58:57	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xc2b220…
08-10 19:58:57	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x9eb4b9…
08-10 19:58:57	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x473d6d…
08-10 19:58:55	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x6939a0…
08-10 19:58:55	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x0df877…
08-10 19:58:55	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x061899…
08-10 19:58:54	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xd27342…
08-10 19:58:51	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xbd984d…
08-10 19:58:51	will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x949774…
08-10 19:58:16	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xdfe3ef…
08-10 19:08:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	130	83¢	$108	0xf65d18…
08-10 01:13:01	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x22c46a…
08-09 20:22:46	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	24	73¢	$17	0xdf728b…
08-09 07:27:18	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x21575b…
08-09 07:26:28	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	No	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0xdb6144…
08-08 20:47:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xa0a691…
08-08 15:15:15	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xa1ef04…
08-07 19:07:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x5b928e…
08-07 19:07:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	34	55¢	$19	0xac847f…
08-07 18:28:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xf7a5f4…