Realized P&L
+$71
Unrealized P&L
+$27
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
69
Trades
1,817
lifetime
Volume
$11.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$517
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 07-23 23:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
71%
Other
23% 59% +$171
Sports
5% 50% $-101
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +321 $240 72¢ $230 $-10 07-23 17:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +131 $66 66¢ $87 +$21 07-20 20:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +77 $33 71¢ $55 +$22 07-15 23:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +84 $28 34¢ $28 +$0 07-14 07:13
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +34 $23 80¢ $27 +$4 06-24 16:57
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +22 $18 84¢ $19 +$1 06-29 19:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +21 $14 86¢ $18 +$4 07-20 19:26
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +30 $17 57¢ $17 +$0 07-06 01:17
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +13 $11 87¢ $11 +$0 07-20 21:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +14 $5 42¢ $6 +$1 07-06 19:05
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +24 $11 16¢ $4 $-8 07-21 16:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $3 14¢ $3 $-0 07-13 18:23
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 +$0 07-03 22:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -9 $1 29¢ $-3 $-4 06-21 19:42
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes +12 $2 16¢ $2 $-0 07-21 20:09
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +16 $1 13¢ $2 +$1 06-09 07:50
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +7 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 07-21 20:38
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $8 12¢ $1 $-7 07-04 10:00
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 $-0 06-22 15:33