Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$366

Hit rate

30.3%

Resolved

105

Trades

1,784

lifetime

Volume

$103.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$296

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-12 12:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

88% 15% -$9,564

Crypto

6% 23% -$1,322

Politics

6% 30% -$289

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+25,350	$383	0¢	$114	-$269	11-12 08:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+3,400	$118	3¢	$94	-$25	11-12 12:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	+2,823	$117	2¢	$71	-$47	11-10 14:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+5,000	$43	0¢	$17	-$25	10-12 12:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	76	$48.4K	66,471	66,471	+0	Yes	-$9,145	09-15 22:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	22	$17.6K	15,535	5,254	+10,282	No	+$1,247	09-16 18:52
Fed rate hike in 2026?	45	$4.6K	6,426	6,426	+0	Yes	+$40	08-23 10:13
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	129	$4.6K	23,919	24,827	-907	No	-$603	02-23 02:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	29	$4.3K	5,597	0	+5,597	No	+$1,329	07-29 15:48
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 48 and 50	54	$2.3K	2,967	4,076	-1,109	No	-$501	02-15 21:59
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 50 and 52	48	$2.2K	2,649	2,849	-200	Yes	+$482	02-15 21:59
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	32	$1.9K	45,646	41,751	+3,895	No	-$298	01-28 18:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	69	$1.8K	72,200	65,900	+6,300	No	-$348	09-10 13:02
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	48	$1.2K	6,088	6,088	+0	open	—	10-11 11:47
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	9	$1.2K	2,289	2,039	+250	Yes	+$355	01-22 14:05
will seguro win all of portugals districts	47	$943	5,402	5,725	-323	Yes	-$855	02-08 21:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 23	15	$884	872	872	+0	Yes	-$27	01-23 17:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	69	$754	1,869	2,151	-281	No	-$25	02-24 13:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$551	34,348	34,348	+0	No	-$10	09-16 17:17
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	68	$547	10,253	1,915	+8,338	Yes	-$126	09-10 11:57
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 52 and 54	12	$524	1,803	1,803	+0	No	-$144	02-08 21:03
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	36	$520	12,776	20,189	-7,413	No	-$195	02-10 08:36
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	22	$483	4,251	4,320	-69	No	-$9	01-24 13:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 23	10	$462	745	745	+0	No	-$430	01-23 16:59
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	10	$432	77,417	75,417	+2,000	No	-$74	01-28 12:46
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	7	$425	4,882	4,882	+0	No	-$55	01-21 10:27
bitcoin above 90k on january 22	26	$419	1,452	72	+1,379	No	-$336	01-22 16:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 24	9	$405	381	543	-162	Yes	-$215	01-23 16:50
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	23	$398	14,975	15,172	-197	No	-$16	02-15 17:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	139	$390	25,389	39	+25,350	open	—	11-12 08:54
fed rate cut by january 2027 meeting	17	$381	3,145	3,145	+0	open	—	10-20 21:28
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	20	$320	620	660	-40	No	-$121	02-06 18:28
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	18	$314	986	986	+0	Yes	-$84	01-29 12:57
bitcoin above 86k on january 22	16	$258	2,541	2,426	+115	Yes	-$34	01-22 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 12:34:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0x5a57a7…
11-12 10:28:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,900	4¢	$102	0xc54e8b…
11-12 08:58:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	626	9¢	$55	0xe253d9…
11-12 08:54:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0xbb1e0f…
11-10 14:50:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	230	5¢	$11	0xf34736…
11-10 14:50:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	180	5¢	$8	0xcc4ab3…
11-10 14:50:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$3	0xb8cd84…
11-07 10:53:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x88be1d…
11-05 13:00:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xf5e191…
11-05 13:00:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xbb2cfb…
11-05 13:00:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xb70b8f…
11-05 13:00:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0xa9364e…
11-05 13:00:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$11	0x8f235e…
11-05 13:00:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x563e74…
11-05 13:00:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3f3a25…
11-05 13:00:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	141	4¢	$6	0x336199…
11-05 12:53:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0xef3b19…
11-05 12:53:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	231	4¢	$9	0x7fc264…
11-04 16:10:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	725	2¢	$14	0xc407a7…
11-04 14:00:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	275	2¢	$6	0x029b8b…
11-04 10:10:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x6e0fcf…
11-04 10:10:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x9db1fc…
11-04 10:10:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xb37e6c…
11-04 02:34:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	204	4¢	$8	0xd28061…
11-04 02:34:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xb08330…
11-04 02:34:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x82a491…
11-04 02:34:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x0879eb…
11-02 08:42:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x889acd…
10-30 22:15:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	191	4¢	$7	0x7b3832…
10-30 22:15:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	112	3¢	$4	0x8531e0…
10-30 22:15:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x4095f7…
10-30 12:16:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	282	6¢	$16	0x1e023c…
10-30 12:16:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xc4ca0b…
10-29 12:58:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0xa8d506…
10-29 12:58:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$3	0x97ab80…
10-29 12:29:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x1be8ad…
10-29 12:12:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x6bba7c…
10-29 12:12:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x5178fa…
10-29 12:12:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2b4d51…
10-29 12:02:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x6ccebe…
10-29 12:00:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$2	0xbf3c7f…
10-29 11:58:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x6c4e84…
10-29 11:56:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xe96bda…
10-29 11:56:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x62c1cb…
10-29 11:56:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x55e639…
10-28 20:29:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x91da0d…
10-28 20:29:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x60f43b…
10-28 18:37:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	282	1¢	$3	0x319f93…
10-28 18:36:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x77f889…
10-28 18:36:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xb4565b…
10-28 18:36:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x978cd9…
10-28 18:36:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xe5b887…
10-28 18:36:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0x9a97d7…
10-28 18:36:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	269	1¢	$3	0x3f6be3…
10-28 18:36:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x2d2c03…
10-28 18:36:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	226	1¢	$2	0xcfaa17…
10-28 18:31:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0xe9affa…
10-25 22:41:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x48581d…
10-22 15:53:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	344	1¢	$3	0xfd2fae…
10-22 15:53:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	261	1¢	$2	0xe95f75…
10-22 15:53:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	239	1¢	$2	0xa4737d…
10-22 15:53:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x233f89…
10-22 01:24:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0xf96319…
10-22 01:24:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	229	1¢	$2	0x4b7e98…
10-22 01:24:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	292	1¢	$3	0x1194ba…
10-21 23:37:23	Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	700	14¢	$98	0x0c12f1…
10-20 21:28:15	Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,975	6¢	$170	0x86b312…
10-20 11:35:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	194	1¢	$2	0x5aa3f4…
10-20 11:32:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	406	1¢	$5	0x136853…
10-19 17:37:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$4	0x45f848…
10-19 17:37:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	307	1¢	$4	0x171396…
10-19 17:34:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	127	2¢	$2	0x407cee…
10-18 15:08:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	308	1¢	$4	0xf6ecec…
10-16 20:23:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$1	0xbb316b…
10-16 20:23:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$1	0x7714ae…
10-16 20:23:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	412	1¢	$5	0x1b3dd6…
10-16 12:58:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	115	2¢	$2	0x5e38ab…
10-16 12:58:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0x7f5dff…
10-16 11:52:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$1	0x9de2f0…
10-16 11:52:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	228	2¢	$4	0xdbf14d…
10-16 11:52:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xccbde8…
10-16 11:52:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9112eb…
10-16 11:52:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x8fcc5c…
10-16 11:52:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x33f646…
10-16 11:44:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0x67a4ac…
10-16 11:44:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf0f510…
10-16 11:44:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$0	0x151f30…
10-16 11:37:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	144	2¢	$2	0xd9cdd2…
10-16 11:37:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$4	0x41079c…
10-15 06:20:22	fed rate cut by january 2027 meeting	Yes	SELL	171	5¢	$9	0xd48977…
10-13 20:27:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	220	1¢	$3	0xbc6a97…
10-13 20:27:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,028	2¢	$15	0xa499fb…
10-13 20:27:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x37a43f…
10-13 20:27:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	430	1¢	$6	0x3424b0…
10-13 20:27:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x1d9bef…
10-13 20:27:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	824	1¢	$12	0x108216…
10-13 20:27:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x079be7…
10-13 18:29:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0x704127…
10-13 18:29:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	2¢	$2	0x3a3a8d…
10-13 18:29:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	126	2¢	$2	0x162527…