Complex-Wear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,978

lifetime

Volume

$287.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

$366

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 01:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

58% 67% $-32

Politics

35% — —

Crypto

5% 100% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		-400	$-360	92¢	$-366	$-6	06-12 13:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	52	$27.2K	13,752	13,735	+18	open	—	03-01 07:40
trump out as president by march 31	37	$12.4K	5,800	6,878	-1,078	open	—	03-19 08:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	31	$12.4K	7,810	7,810	+0	open	—	04-08 03:13
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	51	$12.2K	6,226	6,226	+0	open	—	03-20 01:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	52	$12.2K	6,248	6,575	-327	open	—	04-01 20:22
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	27	$8.0K	4,300	4,100	+200	open	—	03-13 04:10
lol gen g2 2026 03 21	42	$7.7K	5,990	3,800	+2,190	open	—	03-21 15:28
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	19	$6.0K	6,117	0	+6,117	open	—	02-28 07:09
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	5	$4.2K	2,973	2,973	+0	open	—	03-22 10:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	27	$3.9K	2,400	2,046	+354	open	—	04-07 23:00
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	18	$3.8K	1,943	1,943	+0	open	—	02-09 15:52
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20	11	$3.6K	2,239	2,239	+0	open	—	03-20 14:33
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	21	$3.4K	2,152	2,152	+0	open	—	03-02 00:38
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	17	$3.4K	2,253	1,200	+1,053	open	—	02-01 03:45
lol blg jdg 2026 03 21	13	$3.3K	1,988	1,988	+0	open	—	03-21 12:52
will trump visit china by march 31	21	$2.9K	1,467	1,467	+0	open	—	03-27 03:50
lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15	13	$2.8K	2,194	900	+1,294	open	—	02-15 11:16
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 600 619	31	$2.8K	1,393	1,393	+0	open	—	01-06 13:15
hsi up or down on january 5 2026	20	$2.6K	1,625	1,104	+521	open	—	01-05 11:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	18	$2.4K	2,202	400	+1,802	open	—	03-31 03:57
netanyahu arrested by march 31	12	$2.3K	1,396	1,000	+396	open	—	03-26 19:09
lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01	6	$2.3K	2,424	0	+2,424	open	—	07-01 09:24
lol t1 dk 2026 02 22	11	$2.2K	2,031	449	+1,582	open	—	02-22 12:34
will dplus kia win the lck cup 2026	6	$2.0K	1,034	1,034	+0	open	—	02-28 12:27
lol hle1 gen 2026 02 01 game1	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-01 08:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	6	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-28 07:17
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	4	$1.9K	2,017	0	+2,017	open	—	06-30 21:59
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$1.8K	894	894	+0	open	—	02-10 13:51
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	13	$1.7K	867	867	+0	open	—	02-09 02:22
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	5	$1.7K	1,734	0	+1,734	open	—	06-12 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 09:14:46	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	500	87¢	$436	0x846cb8…
07-02 01:57:14	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	562	98¢	$551	0xc0adf6…
07-02 01:53:41	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	438	98¢	$430	0x48c74c…
07-01 21:15:10	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xfb8f1e…
07-01 16:31:25	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	SELL	300	68¢	$204	0xa1906b…
07-01 16:21:25	lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x7fdc52…
07-01 15:52:01	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x275ff6…
07-01 15:51:31	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x038ae4…
07-01 13:06:41	lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	179	98¢	$175	0x329aaf…
07-01 13:06:13	lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xea3455…
07-01 09:24:01	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01	T1	BUY	98	91¢	$89	0x5cb77a…
07-01 09:23:35	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01	T1	BUY	402	91¢	$366	0xafba4b…
07-01 09:22:40	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01	T1	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x39c962…
07-01 09:08:40	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	485	97¢	$471	0x03ccb4…
07-01 09:04:04	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc642dd…
07-01 04:52:28	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01	T1	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x671ed1…
06-30 21:59:44	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	632	95¢	$600	0xb9aa02…
06-30 21:58:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0xfbf947…
06-30 21:58:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xcb0ea7…
06-30 21:57:59	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xa0fdf1…
06-30 21:57:17	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x662b32…
06-30 21:46:53	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	621	95¢	$590	0xc8df7d…
06-30 19:06:59	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01	T1	BUY	424	94¢	$398	0x374781…
06-30 18:09:59	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	73	84¢	$61	0x6f013e…
06-30 17:17:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	652	100¢	$652	0xbfab8e…
06-30 08:50:47	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	386	88¢	$340	0xeb2fa2…
06-30 03:35:44	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	378	89¢	$337	0x46e0ae…
06-29 07:08:43	lol t1 kc 2026 06 28	T1	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2e9994…
06-28 20:51:19	lol t1 kc 2026 06 28	T1	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x705936…
06-27 22:10:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xe141db…
06-27 19:29:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$281	0xd95165…
06-26 01:42:49	hsi up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0xd852ae…
06-25 14:04:10	Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xfa6b3b…
06-25 09:42:04	Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xc508a3…
06-24 19:10:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x89cc64…
06-24 19:01:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	99	84¢	$83	0x869ac7…
06-24 16:51:26	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5ab766…
06-24 13:54:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	54	17¢	$9	0x88e574…
06-22 07:32:11	hsi up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x0b327e…
06-22 01:39:14	hsi up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x240953…
06-21 08:01:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x25eaa1…
06-21 07:28:11	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x5a4a19…
06-21 07:27:40	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	228	94¢	$214	0xf69de4…
06-21 07:00:10	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	Yes	SELL	190	97¢	$184	0xe0a135…
06-21 06:52:46	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xccc00e…
06-21 05:41:41	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8e3726…
06-21 05:41:38	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	197	98¢	$194	0xb0286b…
06-21 05:40:50	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9d455f…
06-21 05:04:08	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	SELL	448	100¢	$445	0x7a45e3…
06-21 04:13:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0x119489…
06-21 03:09:16	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	Yes	BUY	176	96¢	$169	0xdae12d…
06-21 03:09:16	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xb8dfae…
06-21 03:09:16	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x4bde66…
06-21 02:49:34	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	136	96¢	$130	0xced2aa…
06-20 02:25:52	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	SELL	699	100¢	$696	0x84bea7…
06-19 20:51:20	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa0763c…
06-19 15:58:35	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0xee98dd…
06-19 13:52:52	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xecb8a4…
06-19 08:02:23	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$137	0x8e4d66…
06-17 03:35:10	hsi up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xd28239…
06-17 02:54:18	hsi up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xc169a7…
06-17 02:54:06	hsi up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x283644…
06-16 05:45:21	hsi up or down on june 16 2026	Down	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x977f23…
06-16 02:08:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x4fd1f9…
06-16 02:07:24	hsi up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	46	95¢	$43	0xcc8157…
06-16 01:41:36	hsi up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xf22bdd…
06-16 01:41:31	hsi up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	38	92¢	$34	0x73df4f…
06-15 15:59:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	199	95¢	$189	0x70e16d…
06-15 08:23:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x37f55b…
06-15 07:55:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	176	97¢	$170	0x4a5679…
06-15 02:52:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	93	97¢	$91	0x818643…
06-15 01:27:49	hsi up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xbf6a1b…
06-15 01:27:42	hsi up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x43798e…
06-14 23:31:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	400	17¢	$68	0x176731…
06-14 20:22:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf65c83…
06-14 20:15:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x221014…
06-14 18:46:10	Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	SELL	213	99¢	$212	0x553051…
06-14 09:54:40	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	T1	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xcac9fc…
06-14 09:54:39	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	T1	BUY	68	81¢	$55	0x25e43a…
06-14 09:54:37	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	T1	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x6936fa…
06-14 08:37:46	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	Gen.G	SELL	97	65¢	$63	0xbaf3bc…
06-14 08:37:45	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	Gen.G	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xe31bb5…
06-14 08:02:55	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	Gen.G	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x5597ff…
06-14 07:57:48	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	Gen.G	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xa75ba5…
06-14 07:49:27	Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x11a875…
06-13 22:55:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8cb267…
06-13 22:12:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x520b7c…
06-13 18:09:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd08619…
06-13 12:45:31	lol we blg 2026 06 13	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x6fb1cf…
06-13 12:31:30	lol we blg 2026 06 13	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xbfc392…
06-13 09:10:19	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	Gen.G	SELL	350	100¢	$350	0x8c8aac…
06-13 08:47:37	Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	244	31¢	$76	0x48ffb9…
06-13 07:51:16	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	Gen.G	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xa9586e…
06-13 07:51:12	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	Gen.G	BUY	323	97¢	$314	0xca8189…
06-13 06:52:21	lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game1	KT Rolster	SELL	88	46¢	$40	0xd8c808…
06-13 06:52:19	lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game1	KT Rolster	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xb671ad…
06-13 06:52:19	lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game1	KT Rolster	SELL	109	46¢	$50	0x38caf6…
06-13 06:43:57	lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game1	KT Rolster	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x36fd48…
06-13 06:43:40	lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game1	KT Rolster	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x92df16…
06-13 06:34:40	lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game1	Gen.G	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x9fd9f9…