(anonymous) 0x67d657…1c245e
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5.57K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.75K
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved
317
Trades
9,291
lifetime
Volume
$2.07M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$222
Open exposure
$64.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 23:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Politics
71% 64% +$10,551
Other
15% 53% -$3,616
Sports
8% 47% -$3,826
Tech
5% 40% +$598
Crypto
1% 71% +$1,860
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 240 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +10,915 $7,206 99¢ $10.8K +$3,600 10-27 23:56
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10,915 $9,602 99¢ $10.8K +$1,204 10-27 23:40
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,505 $9,211 96¢ $10.0K +$826 09-28 12:24
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +10,034 $6,887 94¢ $9.4K +$2,495 10-26 14:59
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +4,033 $2,970 97¢ $3.9K +$941 09-16 20:47
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +3,769 $2,187 92¢ $3.4K +$1,261 10-26 14:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,943 $1,891 98¢ $1.9K +$9 10-27 20:37
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +2,512 $1,769 72¢ $1.8K +$27 10-26 12:56
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +1,637 $849 95¢ $1.6K +$706 10-18 16:15
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2,475 $2,038 60¢ $1.5K -$540 10-27 19:07
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,943 $1,498 77¢ $1.5K -$2 10-27 20:36
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +1,137 $467 80¢ $916 +$449 10-27 22:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +2,106 $421 35¢ $737 +$316 10-23 19:04
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +2,511 $653 29¢ $716 +$62 10-26 12:56
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +625 $581 96¢ $600 +$18 09-16 09:49
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +914 $357 64¢ $580 +$224 10-13 15:10
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +807 $655 72¢ $577 -$78 10-25 15:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,943 $445 24¢ $457 +$11 10-27 20:36
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +7,829 $2,205 5¢ $391 -$1,814 10-26 13:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +724 $390 54¢ $391 +$1 10-27 16:20
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 No +569 $80 64¢ $367 +$287 09-23 14:04
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +4,274 $1,205 8¢ $363 -$841 10-26 14:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +724 $334 48¢ $351 +$18 10-27 16:20
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +914 $537 36¢ $324 -$213 10-27 20:57
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +10,501 $1,096 3¢ $315 -$780 09-28 12:23
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +302 $163 83¢ $251 +$88 09-12 10:56
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +268 $196 88¢ $234 +$39 10-27 11:09
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +807 $159 29¢ $230 +$71 10-25 15:55
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +569 $458 36¢ $208 -$250 09-23 14:03
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +1,160 $584 17¢ $197 -$386 10-23 18:42