Realized P&L
-$27.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.46K
Hit rate
51.4%
Resolved
496
Trades
1,643
lifetime
Volume
$525.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$320
Open exposure
$8.78K
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 10-27 03:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
87% 36% -$21,134
Politics
5% 32% -$1,930
Crypto
5% 17% -$5,307
Sports
2% 40% +$331
Tech
0% 100% +$124
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -1,173 -$1,011 96¢ $-1130 -$119 07-31 06:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +2,069 $1,100 54¢ $1.1K +$7 10-27 03:25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -2,845 -$1,241 36¢ $-1039 +$203 05-07 17:42
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1,151 $1,000 90¢ $1.0K +$30 07-31 07:41
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -2,359 -$18 34¢ $-810 -$792 07-07 15:34
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? Yes +4,495 $900 14¢ $607 -$293 10-27 03:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +624 $382 82¢ $509 +$127 08-20 11:19
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +9,534 $800 4¢ $429 -$371 10-27 03:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +433 $300 94¢ $405 +$105 09-28 15:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +400 $371 98¢ $392 +$21 07-06 02:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +370 $200 94¢ $348 +$148 10-14 12:56
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,164 $609 6¢ $271 -$338 08-26 00:51
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +3,723 $1,287 4¢ $138 -$1,149 09-14 04:47
will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8 Yes +455 $100 24¢ $107 +$7 07-27 16:59
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes +3,905 $400 2¢ $92 -$308 07-04 14:58
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,602 $150 6¢ $88 -$62 08-19 22:36
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +366 $100 24¢ $86 -$14 10-22 18:03
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +4,631 $500 2¢ $76 -$424 08-20 06:05
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +500 $100 8¢ $42 -$58 10-14 16:21
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +333 $100 12¢ $38 -$62 08-24 10:43
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,146 $150 3¢ $31 -$119 07-31 06:48