Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
92.8%
Resolved
17
Trades
80
lifetime
Volume
$344
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$16
14 positions
First seen
2026-08-04
last 10-06 08:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
44% 100% +$0
Other
36% 78% +$0
Crypto
10% 100% +$0
Sports
4% 50% +$0
Tech
3% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 $0 09-06 20:56
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +6 $6 97¢ $5 $0 08-21 06:13
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 10-06 08:32
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-10 17:40
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-31 13:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-18 19:41
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-22 10:52
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-04 18:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-23 16:05
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-05 19:32
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-27 20:23
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-28 08:06
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 09-20 19:08
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +0 $0 35¢ $0 $0 08-05 21:11