Repentant-Genie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-15 13:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$5

Politics

22% 88% -$66

Tech

22% 100% +$3

Crypto

10% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?	1	$196	196	+196	No	+$0	04-02 11:18
us and iran sign an agreement by july 31 2026 20260611221049854	1	$133	135	+135	Yes	+$2	06-15 15:15
will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	1	$132	132	+132	Yes	+$0	02-27 15:00
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	1	$130	130	+130	No	+$0	04-21 05:02
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	1	$129	129	+129	No	+$0	06-16 11:21
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$120	120	+120	Yes	+$0	05-14 11:37
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	2	$109	109	+109	No	+$1	03-27 23:58
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in May?	3	$105	106	+106	No	+$1	05-12 10:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$101	101	+101	Yes	+$0	03-01 03:17
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$100	100	+100	Yes	+$0	07-08 00:50
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	05-20 01:18
will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	1	$95	96	+96	No	+$0	01-22 07:54
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	03-23 13:05
another us strike on venezuela on january 5	2	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	01-07 06:46
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	03-17 00:22
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	05-19 00:13
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July?	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	07-10 03:28
will the us next strike iran on january 16 2026 et 766	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	01-17 05:59
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	09-22 14:17
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$75	75	+75	Yes	+$0	03-26 15:23
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$70	70	+70	No	+$0	05-06 00:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	1	$70	70	+70	Yes	+$0	05-16 06:00
Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$68	68	+68	No	+$0	04-18 09:29
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	1	$68	68	+68	Yes	+$0	09-02 00:51
will claude go down 3 4 times in march	1	$63	63	+63	No	+$0	03-19 11:08
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 140 164	1	$61	61	+61	No	+$0	04-08 03:01
Billions FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	05-05 07:41
bitcoin above 76k on march 10	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	03-10 10:57
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$60	60	+60	Yes	+$0	02-12 01:23
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	1	$58	58	+58	No	+$0	06-22 23:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 13:37:35	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x2d7c8d…
09-22 14:17:37	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xb9b1e5…
09-02 00:51:36	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x506faf…
08-31 00:28:21	Iran leadership change by August 31?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5d0074…
08-26 10:06:15	Does Ox Alpha belong to Google?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x07c8f6…
08-17 08:08:43	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x17b60a…
07-10 03:28:19	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x088e09…
07-08 00:50:08	Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x318ff1…
07-01 15:08:35	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x37f6b0…
06-22 23:35:25	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xd8c102…
06-16 11:21:22	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x36433f…
06-16 11:19:49	Anthropic CEO arrested?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x07fa7d…
06-15 15:15:24	us and iran sign an agreement by july 31 2026 20260611221049854	Yes	BUY	135	99¢	$133	0x9b198e…
06-12 22:04:28	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xcd8ff1…
05-24 10:08:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x6e1e3a…
05-20 01:18:03	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xa6a53f…
05-19 00:13:26	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xce1709…
05-17 19:34:10	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x78c2f3…
05-17 15:13:11	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa358bb…
05-16 06:00:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x51f90b…
05-15 06:06:31	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0xe70d42…
05-15 04:56:41	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x536b18…
05-14 11:37:18	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x704e14…
05-14 04:12:50	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x67ebc0…
05-12 10:03:07	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in May?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0x9442ed…
05-08 00:41:42	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in May?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x94d835…
05-07 00:07:46	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in May?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x3f1da5…
05-06 00:45:16	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xafa474…
05-05 07:41:18	Billions FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x07ced2…
05-04 12:03:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xeb664c…
04-21 05:02:32	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x4cd7d1…
04-19 00:50:14	Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x11327a…
04-18 09:29:48	Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xe1d6b3…
04-08 03:01:39	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 140 164	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x8209e7…
04-02 11:18:43	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0xe98cb0…
03-27 23:58:07	Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x55b322…
03-27 23:42:39	Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdf1c1f…
03-26 15:23:09	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x8bbe17…
03-25 07:41:47	will temu shop like a billionaire be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 27 237	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xba81f5…
03-23 13:05:15	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xda6482…
03-21 17:40:27	deepseek v4 released by march 21	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x2cff94…
03-21 02:46:41	deepseek v4 released by march 21	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x582117…
03-19 11:08:39	will claude go down 3 4 times in march	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xae72a0…
03-17 00:22:49	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x7ddb86…
03-11 00:08:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x138376…
03-10 10:57:25	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd944a4…
03-05 11:49:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x16294c…
03-03 13:02:27	will iran strike bahrain in march	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xb52f68…
03-02 12:19:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x003c25…
03-01 03:17:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x5205aa…
02-28 12:31:03	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28 2026	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x5ee1c6…
02-27 15:00:43	will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xd9f561…
02-25 09:43:52	will grayscale be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x5a438c…
02-18 11:21:04	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 190 214	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xad5636…
02-12 01:23:35	Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x84f334…
02-04 01:25:12	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x48e64c…
02-03 07:16:48	Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xbea22d…
01-23 01:35:04	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc9eb8a…
01-22 07:54:38	will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0xc126d6…
01-17 05:59:12	will the us next strike iran on january 16 2026 et 766	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xbddcc2…
01-14 00:53:38	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 13 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x49067d…
01-12 05:08:12	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 11 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x12fa42…
01-11 09:55:40	bitcoin above 88k on january 11	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x594fec…
01-11 08:35:34	bikinis back on x by january 31	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xed130c…
01-11 08:32:28	nflx above 30 on january 16 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa0d91f…
01-10 16:42:00	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 10 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb8e2c6…
01-09 14:42:50	will khamenei leave iran by friday	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xba3789…
01-09 07:22:56	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 8 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x669146…
01-08 02:24:27	another us strike on venezuela on january 7	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcc8ec7…
01-07 07:51:47	nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2d5db7…
01-07 06:46:51	another us strike on venezuela on january 5	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x52d025…
01-07 02:28:57	grok 4pt20 released by april 20 988 375 998 452	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7e94fd…
01-07 02:28:21	nvda above 215 on january 9 2026	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x6f1678…
01-07 02:27:17	will israel strike gaza on january 6 2026	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x383693…
01-07 02:25:47	another us strike on venezuela on january 5	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x2c08d6…
01-07 02:25:29	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 6 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xcc625f…