Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$50

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-26

last 10-25 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

70% 18% -$8

Politics

30% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?	3	$3	25	18	+8	No	+$1	09-07 10:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	37	$3	1,000	800	+200	No	+$1	09-05 18:03
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	2	$2	31	31	+0	open	—	10-10 10:16
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	2	$2	31	31	+0	open	—	10-10 10:16
US military draft authorized in 2026?	2	$2	25	25	+0	open	—	10-25 17:46
US x China Military clash before 2027?	2	$2	40	40	+0	open	—	10-25 17:46
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	2	$2	31	31	+0	open	—	10-10 10:16
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	2	$2	40	40	+0	open	—	10-10 10:16
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	2	$2	40	40	+0	open	—	10-25 17:46
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	2	$2	100	100	+0	open	—	10-25 17:46
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?	2	$2	20	20	+0	open	—	10-10 10:17
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	2	$2	50	50	+0	open	—	10-25 17:46
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	20	20	+0	open	—	10-10 10:17
OPEC dissolves in 2026?	2	$2	31	31	+0	open	—	10-10 10:17
Will Alberta join the US?	2	$1	50	50	+0	open	—	10-10 10:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	2	$1	50	50	+0	open	—	10-10 10:16
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	2	$1	40	40	+0	open	—	10-10 10:16
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	2	$1	40	40	+0	open	—	10-10 10:17
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	2	$1	20	20	+0	open	—	10-25 17:46
Iran leadership change by September 30?	1	$1	40	0	+40	No	-$1	09-08 16:44
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	08-31 00:00
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	1	$1	62	0	+62	No	-$1	08-26 14:16
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	1	$1	200	0	+200	No	-$1	08-26 14:10
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	08-30 20:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	1	$1	50	0	+50	No	-$1	09-05 09:33
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	08-31 11:15
Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	08-31 04:00
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	125	0	+125	No	-$1	09-01 19:26
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	25	0	+25	No	-$1	09-04 20:07
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	-$1	09-06 11:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:46:41	US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x99ce63…
10-25 17:46:32	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xe3d228…
10-25 17:46:26	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x2b3868…
10-25 17:46:17	US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xca6335…
10-25 17:46:11	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xfa329e…
10-25 17:46:05	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xbd9b16…
10-11 08:37:58	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x94e6c6…
10-11 03:22:33	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeb4cfe…
10-10 23:22:10	US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x48110a…
10-10 18:51:58	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x839de8…
10-10 14:30:51	US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xc26e68…
10-10 10:25:27	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x16ac54…
10-10 10:17:36	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x717b68…
10-10 10:17:28	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x5c62da…
10-10 10:17:21	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x129905…
10-10 10:17:13	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x23b86e…
10-10 10:17:06	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x4eeeb3…
10-10 10:16:58	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x37a52e…
10-10 10:16:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x2bb860…
10-10 10:16:46	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xae6b76…
10-10 10:16:40	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x9eb9d3…
10-10 10:16:33	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0xd3b740…
10-10 10:16:25	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x667b90…
09-09 04:45:33	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xe2df7b…
09-08 16:44:18	Iran leadership change by September 30?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x7f8a7f…
09-07 10:23:03	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xa44bdd…
09-07 09:16:45	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8d3911…
09-07 04:52:13	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9f929d…
09-07 00:40:51	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa30f12…
09-06 20:00:28	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xd564ca…
09-06 15:33:19	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5ed015…
09-06 14:03:22	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xb29eb4…
09-06 11:23:25	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x735c17…
09-06 05:47:52	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd7603b…
09-05 18:03:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	148	0¢	$0	0x65b665…
09-05 17:48:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0xa6a1e1…
09-05 17:33:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0x4936b3…
09-05 17:18:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x1af3b3…
09-05 17:03:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x48d62e…
09-05 16:51:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x9cd9d3…
09-05 16:36:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x727b1d…
09-05 16:21:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xd206d5…
09-05 16:06:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x661fac…
09-05 15:51:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x89d1b5…
09-05 15:36:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x535af6…
09-05 15:21:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xf53aba…
09-05 15:06:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x534c91…
09-05 14:51:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xb2039c…
09-05 14:36:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x733e64…
09-05 14:21:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x97cba3…
09-05 14:11:15	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2e91ed…
09-05 14:06:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x96cdb1…
09-05 13:51:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x21270a…
09-05 13:36:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x0f04fe…
09-05 13:21:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x9184ca…
09-05 13:05:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x30aaba…
09-05 12:50:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x2562b2…
09-05 12:36:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x1fdf26…
09-05 12:25:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x430094…
09-05 12:11:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xb7e96f…
09-05 11:55:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xbec3ae…
09-05 11:40:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xff7e2f…
09-05 11:35:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x61a17c…
09-05 11:30:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xa84b5d…
09-05 11:15:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1dfe5f…
09-05 11:00:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x2df2a5…
09-05 10:55:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc6b8ef…
09-05 10:50:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xbf2929…
09-05 10:45:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4a71ab…
09-05 10:20:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x36ef8d…
09-05 09:33:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb8fb2f…
09-05 08:48:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x5bd5fa…
09-05 00:17:40	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x9e5f33…
09-04 20:07:18	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfae607…
09-04 15:36:51	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x2bbbce…
09-04 11:36:25	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x742c92…
09-02 20:53:54	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xbcef90…
09-02 15:53:18	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x75fbcf…
09-02 11:27:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6afc1c…
09-02 05:27:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe93dc4…
09-02 00:01:43	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x1ad5bb…
09-01 19:26:18	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd29ad3…
09-01 15:22:03	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xb95845…
09-01 10:47:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x53c243…
08-31 11:15:02	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x87f84f…
08-31 04:00:48	Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb56139…
08-31 00:00:22	Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbffbe4…
08-30 20:00:00	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x72538d…
08-30 15:59:43	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x57fca0…
08-26 14:16:24	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x36c4d2…
08-26 14:10:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x362a93…