Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$372

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

2,691

Trades

8,805

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-07

last 10-09 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 31% -$411

Other

20% 2% +$17

Politics

3% 0% -$5

Sports

0% 1% +$30

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 1708 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+55	$0	3¢	$2	+$2	09-04 19:54
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?	Yes	+55	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	09-11 04:21
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	Yes	+100	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	09-12 09:57
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	+5	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	09-09 18:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	15	$787	822	822	+0	No	+$13	09-16 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 11?	133	$497	1,743	1,743	+0	No	+$137	08-11 11:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$389	400	400	+0	open	—	09-21 10:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 11?	156	$307	4,811	4,811	+0	No	-$67	08-11 17:15
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	6	$253	300	300	+0	No	+$31	09-19 10:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:00 UTC	18	$189	981	314	+667	Up	+$49	09-28 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	14	$182	2,126	126	+2,000	Down	+$62	09-28 20:43
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	5	$181	175	175	+0	Yes	-$9	09-21 10:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	5	$180	433	0	+433	Yes	-$80	09-16 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	23	$180	893	139	+754	Up	-$10	09-28 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$165	126	126	+0	Up	-$38	08-09 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 15:15 UTC	2	$144	80	80	+0	Up	+$3	08-13 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:25 UTC	2	$140	78	78	+0	Up	+$9	08-31 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 09:05 UTC	2	$139	94	94	+0	Up	-$6	08-27 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$139	75	75	+0	Down	+$4	08-23 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$136	80	80	+0	Up	+$12	08-13 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 12:15 UTC	2	$134	79	79	+0	Down	-$3	08-22 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:50 UTC	3	$132	81	81	+0	Down	+$4	08-30 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:25 UTC	3	$129	94	49	+45	Up	+$5	08-10 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:55 UTC	2	$120	65	65	+0	Down	+$3	08-14 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 21:55 UTC	2	$118	76	76	+0	Down	+$28	08-08 21:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 17:00 UTC	2	$117	65	65	+0	Down	+$3	08-13 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 23:10 UTC	2	$117	64	64	+0	Down	+$6	08-12 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$111	76	76	+0	Down	-$3	08-11 09:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:55 UTC	4	$110	71	71	+0	Up	$0	08-12 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 01:35 UTC	2	$110	59	59	+0	Down	+$8	08-10 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:30 UTC	2	$110	63	63	+0	Down	+$8	08-10 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 21:45 UTC	2	$104	63	63	+0	Down	+$20	08-08 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 01:00 UTC	2	$102	56	56	+0	Up	+$3	08-09 01:03
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	5	$98	101	101	+0	No	+$1	09-14 21:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 21:48:20	Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x041d47…
09-28 21:02:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	264	3¢	$8	0xd8d48a…
09-28 21:02:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x629524…
09-28 21:02:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0x87c9ea…
09-28 21:02:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x794e8c…
09-28 21:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	252	10¢	$24	0xa7f5d1…
09-28 21:01:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0x7d52f6…
09-28 21:01:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x05e57a…
09-28 21:01:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x270b16…
09-28 20:58:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbd935b…
09-28 20:58:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8b9bb2…
09-28 20:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb6abda…
09-28 20:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xe8c87b…
09-28 20:57:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xa30a6f…
09-28 20:57:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x43f71a…
09-28 20:57:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xceedec…
09-28 20:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xea5784…
09-28 20:56:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Down	SELL	22	21¢	$5	0x69d580…
09-28 20:55:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x9f0f09…
09-28 20:55:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x8f3b7c…
09-28 20:55:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x574cc4…
09-28 20:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd0941b…
09-28 20:54:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x0c61fd…
09-28 20:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xddc690…
09-28 20:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xade53f…
09-28 20:48:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x5d7255…
09-28 20:48:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0xac8e26…
09-28 20:48:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x75af97…
09-28 20:47:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2ed40a…
09-28 20:47:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xdffab1…
09-28 20:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x810b2e…
09-28 20:45:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x702b13…
09-28 20:45:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe75681…
09-28 20:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb94ee7…
09-28 20:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf0e1cc…
09-28 20:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7775d6…
09-28 20:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2d3e12…
09-28 20:43:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0xab1c79…
09-28 20:42:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x532492…
09-28 20:41:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe52391…
09-28 20:41:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x5a5645…
09-28 20:40:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xd0c424…
09-28 20:40:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbd235a…
09-28 20:40:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xccb0d7…
09-28 20:40:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xca6679…
09-28 20:40:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc351fe…
09-28 20:40:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x06b60d…
09-28 20:39:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x83f2da…
09-28 20:39:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x631dab…
09-28 20:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf92f6e…
09-28 20:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xd4a566…
09-28 20:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xfa8951…
09-28 20:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa60bb4…
09-28 20:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe33e2b…
09-28 20:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc72ffe…
09-28 20:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	41	65¢	$26	0x2613ce…
09-28 20:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3f52f3…
09-28 20:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb8ad7a…
09-28 20:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8846d9…
09-28 20:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x1035d7…
09-28 20:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	210	2¢	$5	0x801b2b…
09-28 20:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x4eb26e…
09-28 20:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	165	2¢	$4	0x0b27bb…
09-28 20:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd2ec14…
09-28 20:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xcce79e…
09-28 20:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x24847d…
09-28 20:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	56	28¢	$16	0xb74430…
09-28 20:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xf0ca0e…
09-28 20:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xcc1884…
09-28 20:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x40312b…
09-28 20:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x31e207…
09-28 20:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	175	3¢	$5	0xf5064d…
09-28 20:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9b73d1…
09-28 20:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbbae4b…
09-28 20:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xccff4f…
09-28 20:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x56a15f…
09-28 20:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x0f2ab9…
09-28 20:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x1023c7…
09-28 20:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe9cf6e…
09-28 20:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc52860…
09-28 20:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x87c960…
09-28 20:23:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8391a3…
09-28 20:21:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7eb470…
09-28 20:21:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x2a6b58…
09-28 20:20:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x9f57bb…
09-28 20:20:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0x5c1623…
09-28 20:20:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x49f9a9…
09-28 20:20:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x8195fc…
09-28 20:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x31f691…
09-28 20:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x86f0d1…
09-28 20:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x7b76c1…
09-28 20:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xad87b9…
09-28 20:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x7407eb…
09-28 20:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xb9bb26…
09-28 20:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x35ac2f…
09-28 20:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7ac875…
09-28 20:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdcc4e1…
09-28 20:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x06e336…
09-28 20:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9138ee…
09-28 20:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa7c51a…