Realized P&L
-$6.24K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.30K
Hit rate
76.5%
Resolved
380
Trades
3,296
lifetime
Volume
$419.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$127
Open exposure
$7.88K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 05:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Politics
55% 65% -$4,021
Other
32% 61% -$3,689
Crypto
8% 74% +$657
Tech
4% 75% +$415
Sports
1% 39% +$396
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -3,798 -$3,190 98¢ $-3708 -$518 05-25 03:08
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,000 $850 96¢ $965 +$115 06-05 18:23
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -1,002 -$860 91¢ $-912 -$52 10-30 17:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +530 $382 68¢ $358 -$24 11-01 02:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,800 $639 7¢ $343 -$296 07-05 22:46
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -393 -$330 77¢ $-302 +$27 09-11 20:20
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -300 -$284 98¢ $-294 -$11 08-02 03:55
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +213 $197 100¢ $213 +$16 10-17 07:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +300 $237 70¢ $210 -$27 10-27 13:59
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -153 -$145 97¢ $-148 -$2 08-01 15:32
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 Yes +367 $213 34¢ $125 -$88 10-17 05:44
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +380 $71 23¢ $87 +$16 10-16 14:21
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,889 $209 3¢ $57 -$152 11-04 20:26
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +950 $40 5¢ $50 +$10 10-27 16:59
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $96 5¢ $50 -$46 11-05 05:51
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1,000 $377 4¢ $40 -$337 07-30 08:13
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $84 5¢ $15 -$69 10-28 19:30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 -$77 44¢ $0 +$77 10-27 20:23
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +0 -$59 100¢ $0 +$59 11-04 04:56