Shallow-Astrology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$913

Unrealized P&L

+$728

Hit rate

5.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,623

lifetime

Volume

$356.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

$3.87K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% 0% $-927

Other

32% 100% +$14

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No		+3,943	$2,294	76¢	$3.0K	+$723	07-02 09:44
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No		+1,000	$850	86¢	$855	+$5	06-05 18:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	74	$28.7K	15,690	15,517	+174	open	—	02-26 18:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	75	$15.5K	8,859	8,627	+232	open	—	06-12 04:49
will trump cut off trade with spain	72	$13.6K	6,551	8,120	-1,568	open	—	03-29 03:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	62	$13.1K	8,541	7,894	+646	open	—	04-21 15:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	66	$11.3K	7,025	7,025	+0	open	—	05-30 19:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	56	$9.1K	8,908	5,243	+3,664	open	—	06-14 21:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	12	$8.6K	4,773	4,773	+0	open	—	06-01 13:21
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	58	$7.8K	8,383	1,498	+6,884	open	—	05-25 22:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	42	$7.3K	4,500	4,498	+2	open	—	04-23 00:04
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	7	$5.4K	2,863	2,862	+1	open	—	02-02 02:42
will silver si hit high 140 by end of february 384 774 953 735 356	18	$5.3K	2,854	2,854	+0	open	—	02-10 02:37
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	126	$5.0K	6,087	1,544	+4,543	open	—	07-02 09:44
will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	26	$4.5K	2,905	2,905	+0	open	—	06-11 18:53
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	9	$4.4K	2,336	2,336	+0	open	—	02-02 12:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	14	$4.3K	1,847	2,996	-1,149	open	—	05-25 01:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	16	$4.3K	1,625	2,928	-1,303	open	—	05-25 22:16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	14	$4.3K	5,468	3,226	+2,243	open	—	05-01 21:36
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	80	$4.1K	3,029	3,029	+0	open	—	04-22 21:41
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	12	$3.9K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	01-08 14:43
will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	47	$3.5K	2,495	2,320	+174	open	—	02-27 14:02
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	9	$3.5K	2,736	1,006	+1,729	open	—	05-25 21:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	20	$3.4K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	04-21 21:02
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	23	$3.4K	1,902	1,940	-38	open	—	06-11 03:48
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	17	$3.1K	1,845	1,810	+35	open	—	02-10 05:13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	10	$3.1K	1,975	1,975	+0	open	—	05-01 20:17
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	8	$3.1K	1,708	1,708	+0	open	—	02-10 08:35
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	9	$2.8K	1,597	1,597	+0	open	—	02-01 19:32
will the dhs shutdown last 90 days or more 828 938	14	$2.8K	1,620	1,620	+0	open	—	04-30 23:23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	46	$2.7K	2,123	2,201	-78	open	—	04-29 14:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$2.7K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-30 13:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:00:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xea88da…
07-19 22:00:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xa4f51a…
07-19 22:00:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	260	94¢	$246	0x53c06e…
07-19 22:00:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	33	94¢	$32	0x1b34ec…
07-19 16:52:03	megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	No	SELL	225	96¢	$216	0xf5ec0b…
07-12 22:13:47	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	SELL	519	84¢	$438	0x262277…
07-09 12:30:23	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x41fa64…
07-09 02:02:58	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb20da5…
07-09 01:15:53	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf397ec…
07-09 00:39:56	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xf1a72c…
07-09 00:38:53	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	Yes	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0xd7d54b…
07-08 23:16:23	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0xc786f6…
07-08 14:53:19	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0x23ec7c…
07-08 14:03:22	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	322	89¢	$287	0x563f64…
07-08 13:15:26	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x06a7b0…
07-08 13:15:04	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	48	88¢	$42	0x58ad61…
07-08 13:14:41	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	154	88¢	$135	0xdddf38…
07-02 09:44:19	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	817	75¢	$613	0xea02d5…
07-02 08:29:23	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x9d9d37…
07-02 08:29:08	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xd531bb…
07-02 08:28:14	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x710807…
07-02 08:27:58	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0x060b9d…
07-02 08:27:40	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0x9f6e7c…
07-02 08:27:28	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0xad9687…
07-02 08:09:13	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x3ac87c…
07-02 08:08:49	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0xc08b10…
07-02 08:08:31	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0xb9d9ad…
07-02 08:07:58	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0xc2a6c5…
07-02 08:07:29	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0xb6d43b…
07-02 08:07:01	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0xa06aa5…
07-02 08:06:38	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0xc813d1…
07-02 08:06:11	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0x222f77…
07-02 08:05:53	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x475460…
07-02 08:05:22	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x0929ce…
07-02 07:53:23	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0xbde853…
07-02 07:52:35	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0xf299ae…
07-02 07:52:34	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x298824…
07-02 07:52:20	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x91dba3…
07-02 07:52:10	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0xfa0b49…
07-02 07:52:07	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0x5bcaf4…
07-02 07:51:47	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x141f85…
07-02 07:44:35	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0x11bc5c…
07-02 07:44:08	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xa4672b…
07-02 07:43:26	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xf17fe9…
07-02 07:34:43	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0xffb117…
07-02 07:32:40	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	30	75¢	$23	0xb7030f…
07-02 07:21:08	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	31	75¢	$24	0x40a60b…
07-02 07:20:23	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0xa11d63…
07-02 07:13:07	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	37	75¢	$28	0xa273b9…
07-02 07:11:26	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0x9493ca…
07-02 07:07:02	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x1ee319…
07-02 06:59:55	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x053c75…
07-02 06:59:11	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	31	75¢	$23	0x2d6bc2…
07-02 06:56:46	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	31	75¢	$23	0xe69200…
07-02 06:50:55	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xea8037…
07-01 19:57:19	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xdc16a3…
07-01 17:58:31	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x90574e…
06-30 03:34:56	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	996	88¢	$876	0x258418…
06-30 03:18:47	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	304	88¢	$268	0x1df91d…
06-29 15:46:17	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	SELL	324	100¢	$323	0xb75cd9…
06-28 13:57:23	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	700	73¢	$511	0xfa630a…
06-25 00:02:43	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	600	74¢	$444	0x6419b5…
06-24 04:59:53	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	324	60¢	$195	0x92b8e4…
06-23 23:04:25	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xe7a2b7…
06-23 22:13:13	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0x5c73fd…
06-23 16:46:31	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0x61ea6c…
06-23 09:17:55	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	974	63¢	$614	0xfeb025…
06-23 09:11:58	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xcc148e…
06-22 21:38:10	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x95cc86…
06-22 21:27:17	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x3de3a1…
06-22 21:26:16	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x98c0c0…
06-22 20:36:11	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	940	63¢	$592	0x08f6b1…
06-22 16:53:17	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	31	63¢	$19	0x7e0a4c…
06-22 13:07:56	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8db888…
06-22 13:02:40	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa80a9b…
06-22 11:33:37	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2af6ed…
06-22 11:04:07	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6b063c…
06-22 10:06:34	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x67dd37…
06-22 09:27:04	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x208646…
06-22 08:42:32	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdebaf6…
06-22 03:38:01	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x09f899…
06-21 15:56:23	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,990	0x0cd8f7…
06-20 07:33:34	megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	No	BUY	225	75¢	$168	0xdc9b5c…
06-19 08:44:32	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	148	63¢	$93	0xda3d3a…
06-19 06:36:17	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	65	63¢	$41	0x3fedd5…
06-19 02:05:41	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xc2ea7c…
06-19 00:18:10	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x402591…
06-19 00:09:40	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7d37ae…
06-17 00:25:50	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa63fd4…
06-17 00:20:53	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x61f7e9…
06-17 00:15:17	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2eb002…
06-17 00:14:43	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xcc30f2…
06-17 00:03:59	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9ee846…
06-16 23:59:40	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe16fb9…
06-16 23:54:19	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x7a7827…
06-16 23:48:58	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x67501b…
06-16 23:38:05	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3ef684…
06-16 23:31:11	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4ecb6a…
06-16 23:30:34	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbc049c…
06-16 23:26:19	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x914a63…