Timely-Disparity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$554

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,096

lifetime

Volume

$210.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 08-10 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

27% 0% $-636

Crypto

20% 100% +$83

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	10	$11.0K	6,989	4,597	+2,392	open	—	02-28 20:58
will trump say jesus this week march 8	5	$5.2K	2,605	2,605	+0	open	—	03-10 01:46
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	12	$4.2K	2,587	3,000	-413	open	—	02-17 12:34
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	3	$4.2K	4,326	0	+4,326	open	—	02-24 07:20
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	5	$4.1K	3,806	343	+3,464	open	—	03-03 07:50
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$4.1K	4,177	0	+4,177	open	—	02-22 08:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	13	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-14 06:39
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	4	$2.7K	1,376	1,376	+0	open	—	02-08 22:46
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$2.6K	2,772	0	+2,772	open	—	03-06 12:48
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	7	$2.6K	1,450	1,450	+0	open	—	07-28 18:41
us forces enter iran by march 7	3	$2.5K	2,589	0	+2,589	open	—	03-07 04:52
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$2.5K	1,283	1,283	+0	open	—	02-16 00:46
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$2.2K	2,197	0	+2,197	open	—	02-23 08:21
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.2K	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	02-20 12:13
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	3	$2.2K	2,183	0	+2,183	open	—	02-21 07:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$2.0K	2,041	0	+2,041	open	—	03-02 13:37
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	5	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	03-08 02:46
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-21 07:58
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	4	$1.8K	1,828	0	+1,828	open	—	02-14 07:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$1.7K	899	899	+0	open	—	03-02 07:17
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$1.7K	875	875	+0	open	—	03-06 10:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	4	$1.6K	979	750	+229	open	—	06-26 03:50
will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	1	$1.6K	1,561	0	+1,561	open	—	03-02 01:27
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-06 07:58
Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?	5	$1.5K	753	753	+0	open	—	02-12 22:56
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	3	$1.5K	1,010	505	+505	open	—	07-30 18:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	12	$1.4K	1,358	190	+1,169	open	—	04-25 19:41
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	3	$1.4K	1,445	0	+1,445	open	—	02-28 20:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	4	$1.3K	1,452	0	+1,452	open	—	05-19 09:42
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	3	$1.3K	1,378	0	+1,378	open	—	07-18 10:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 06:06:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	280	87¢	$244	0x4b0452…
08-10 05:38:25	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	114	84¢	$96	0x3af842…
08-10 05:37:22	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	122	84¢	$102	0xc1ac07…
08-10 02:24:03	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	178	90¢	$160	0xee7b3f…
08-08 19:34:52	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	250	86¢	$215	0x87b8e6…
08-08 19:33:52	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	Yes	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0x4db3fe…
08-08 19:32:58	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x72a0d5…
08-08 19:31:37	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x878383…
08-08 19:30:51	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x618f82…
08-08 10:34:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x13faba…
08-08 10:05:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	150	81¢	$122	0x29c6c0…
08-08 10:03:58	will dune part three be delayed 20260720163825706	No	BUY	559	87¢	$486	0xe18e68…
08-07 20:39:12	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	76	91¢	$69	0x5d2330…
08-07 20:34:43	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xac2a61…
08-07 19:59:45	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x99d689…
08-07 19:59:43	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	180	91¢	$164	0x44a29a…
08-07 19:50:42	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x49f365…
08-07 04:17:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	80	82¢	$66	0xe08872…
08-07 04:17:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0x475764…
08-04 23:08:50	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x8971b8…
08-04 23:06:42	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xfa4a9e…
08-03 18:52:32	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0x492dc3…
08-03 00:46:59	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	97	96¢	$93	0x0fbc60…
08-03 00:35:35	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	203	96¢	$194	0x1fb3c5…
08-02 11:53:15	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	175	90¢	$158	0x69fd0e…
08-02 11:21:24	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	292	85¢	$248	0xcc3bae…
08-02 10:42:00	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	175	90¢	$158	0x90fd77…
08-02 10:41:56	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xf5f626…
08-02 09:51:12	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	162	85¢	$137	0x5c2cfa…
08-02 09:26:02	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xa3ab41…
08-02 09:10:11	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	BUY	53	84¢	$45	0x57c13f…
08-02 08:41:44	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xfcaf61…
08-02 08:34:24	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xb28d0e…
08-02 00:11:35	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xa28ede…
08-01 22:26:32	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	246	62¢	$152	0xd09eab…
08-01 21:02:24	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xea87ed…
08-01 21:01:54	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	146	87¢	$127	0x56e183…
08-01 20:41:24	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0x698ede…
08-01 20:32:21	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0xa68f9a…
08-01 20:17:23	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	110	41¢	$45	0x0f58bf…
08-01 19:39:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xbc8253…
08-01 19:37:32	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	250	67¢	$167	0x701a13…
07-30 18:31:50	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	505	100¢	$503	0xd16c34…
07-29 20:25:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	500	94¢	$472	0x444923…
07-29 09:04:20	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x52aac1…
07-28 18:41:19	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	SELL	1,392	100¢	$1,385	0x70adcd…
07-27 10:01:58	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xa08982…
07-23 18:03:55	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	340	61¢	$208	0x8af6f7…
07-23 18:03:33	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	452	85¢	$384	0xf45487…
07-23 18:02:52	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	SELL	600	100¢	$598	0x051295…
07-21 20:12:51	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xb8f1b9…
07-21 20:12:45	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x772001…
07-18 10:08:16	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	160	79¢	$126	0x4fc16f…
07-18 09:19:51	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0xcd39a9…
07-16 02:32:34	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0xa70e01…
07-13 07:53:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0x711e56…
07-07 07:16:59	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	125	90¢	$112	0x17f249…
07-06 13:04:34	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xaf3c03…
07-06 12:24:59	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x2fee0d…
07-06 12:24:55	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	75¢	$93	0x4ea3ee…
07-06 07:19:04	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x647d34…
07-06 07:18:52	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xe1997f…
07-06 06:37:46	will msft reach 465 in july 2026	No	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x98288f…
07-06 06:37:01	will tsla dip to 345 in july 2026	No	BUY	114	67¢	$76	0xc70065…
07-06 06:36:16	will tsla reach 465 in july 2026	No	BUY	301	83¢	$250	0x7ea941…
07-06 06:35:02	will spy reach 790 in july 2026	No	BUY	110	90¢	$99	0xdf051b…
07-06 06:34:41	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xb0c927…
07-06 03:52:05	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xa48d14…
07-06 03:43:05	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xc65d00…
07-05 07:49:46	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	300	94¢	$281	0x99c131…
07-05 07:49:35	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0xc77ac2…
07-03 07:52:47	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	130	80¢	$104	0x9cc3ed…
07-03 07:52:19	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x291e54…
07-03 07:52:04	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x573a53…
07-03 07:51:44	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x153950…
07-03 07:51:28	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0xacddef…
07-03 04:56:10	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	255	67¢	$171	0x30ac65…
07-02 05:48:58	will wti dip to 65 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	145	93¢	$135	0x1ada67…
07-02 05:47:07	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	250	79¢	$198	0xe46f98…
07-02 03:11:10	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x06317b…
07-02 03:10:11	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xd62430…
07-02 00:07:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0x5b86ec…
07-02 00:04:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	250	87¢	$218	0xc3a4e4…
07-02 00:01:22	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0x37ffec…
07-01 14:23:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	250	31¢	$77	0x6ec43e…
07-01 10:37:38	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	73	97¢	$71	0x3b28dd…
07-01 09:55:20	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	158	97¢	$153	0x9947ad…
07-01 09:43:11	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	350	82¢	$287	0x176c79…
07-01 08:36:56	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,200	94¢	$1,132	0x9e86bc…
07-01 07:30:25	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	350	82¢	$287	0x5ab1b6…
07-01 07:30:05	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xb0a990…
07-01 07:01:34	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	110	76¢	$84	0xdf2131…
07-01 07:00:31	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0x285f4f…
07-01 06:56:11	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	410	96¢	$394	0x37e46f…
07-01 06:55:25	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xe1cc36…
07-01 06:55:25	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	129	97¢	$125	0x53225d…
07-01 06:53:34	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	78	85¢	$67	0x5951bb…
07-01 06:49:59	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	202	90¢	$182	0x1e33bc…
07-01 03:42:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	280	81¢	$227	0x9cc862…
07-01 01:13:43	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x2f5681…