Timely-Disparity 0xe86bd5…8f9371
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.94K
Unrealized P&L
+$324
Hit rate
89.0%
Resolved
574
Trades
1,574
lifetime
Volume
$239.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$152
Open exposure
$5.01K
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 10-07 01:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
48% 89% +$5,267
Politics
28% 69% -$282
Crypto
19% 82% -$499
Tech
3% 88% +$317
Sports
2% 85% +$119
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +1,922 $1,040 56¢ $1.1K +$46 08-01 03:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +1,001 $751 82¢ $826 +$75 08-16 20:39
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +752 $588 81¢ $609 +$21 09-30 14:46
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +610 $471 87¢ $531 +$59 09-28 07:10
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +510 $423 92¢ $467 +$43 07-01 06:09
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +503 $382 84¢ $420 +$38 09-18 15:24
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +328 $279 88¢ $287 +$8 09-14 23:20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +300 $183 66¢ $196 +$14 09-28 07:11
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +255 $171 76¢ $195 +$24 07-03 04:56
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +202 $182 94¢ $191 +$9 07-01 06:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +250 $134 55¢ $137 +$3 09-15 05:26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +117 $79 54¢ $63 -$16 07-01 18:20