Timely-Disparity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$554

Unrealized P&L

-$121

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

Trades

993

lifetime

Volume

$192.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$194

Open exposure

$285

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-26 03:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Politics

30% 0% $-636

Crypto

21% 100% +$83

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	+250	$175	84¢	$209	+$34	06-01 13:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+250	$140	30¢	$76	$-64	06-19 00:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	+150	$44	0¢	$0	$-43	06-16 02:36
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	+70	$48	0¢	$0	$-48	05-31 02:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	10	$11.0K	6,989	4,597	+2,392	open	—	02-28 20:58
will trump say jesus this week march 8	5	$5.2K	2,605	2,605	+0	open	—	03-10 01:46
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	12	$4.2K	2,587	3,000	-413	open	—	02-17 12:34
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	3	$4.2K	4,326	0	+4,326	open	—	02-24 07:20
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	5	$4.1K	3,806	343	+3,464	open	—	03-03 07:50
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$4.1K	4,177	0	+4,177	open	—	02-22 08:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	13	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-14 06:39
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	4	$2.7K	1,376	1,376	+0	open	—	02-08 22:46
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$2.6K	2,772	0	+2,772	open	—	03-06 12:48
us forces enter iran by march 7	3	$2.5K	2,589	0	+2,589	open	—	03-07 04:52
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$2.5K	1,283	1,283	+0	open	—	02-16 00:46
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$2.2K	2,197	0	+2,197	open	—	02-23 08:21
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.2K	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	02-20 12:13
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	3	$2.2K	2,183	0	+2,183	open	—	02-21 07:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$2.0K	2,041	0	+2,041	open	—	03-02 13:37
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	5	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	03-08 02:46
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-21 07:58
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	4	$1.8K	1,828	0	+1,828	open	—	02-14 07:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$1.7K	899	899	+0	open	—	03-02 07:17
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$1.7K	875	875	+0	open	—	03-06 10:48
will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	4	$1.6K	979	750	+229	open	—	06-26 03:50
will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	1	$1.6K	1,561	0	+1,561	open	—	03-02 01:27
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-06 07:58
Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?	5	$1.5K	753	753	+0	open	—	02-12 22:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	12	$1.4K	1,358	190	+1,169	open	—	04-25 19:41
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	3	$1.4K	1,445	0	+1,445	open	—	02-28 20:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	4	$1.3K	1,452	0	+1,452	open	—	05-19 09:42
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	12	$1.3K	1,133	500	+633	open	—	03-10 18:14
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	3	$1.3K	852	725	+127	open	—	02-27 06:26
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$1.3K	1,309	0	+1,309	open	—	02-27 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 03:52:31	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x43178d…
06-26 03:52:10	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x126f75…
06-26 03:51:20	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	709	92¢	$652	0x7355b4…
06-26 03:50:28	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	SELL	750	100¢	$748	0xdc2790…
06-23 23:59:31	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x738938…
06-22 02:13:17	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	237	84¢	$199	0x1aff6b…
06-22 02:12:35	will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0xdfed67…
06-20 08:08:13	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	219	95¢	$208	0x9912d1…
06-19 12:50:53	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	32	89¢	$28	0x73e007…
06-19 12:47:11	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	172	94¢	$163	0xb6a365…
06-19 11:39:20	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0c517f…
06-19 10:15:38	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x6738f3…
06-19 09:53:23	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xcf6031…
06-19 09:51:56	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xe67cb3…
06-19 09:48:13	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xba86f2…
06-19 09:41:52	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb94268…
06-19 09:33:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1bf5a6…
06-19 09:17:02	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x790532…
06-19 08:50:46	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x01fd0f…
06-19 08:48:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd57bc2…
06-19 08:26:14	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0x368f20…
06-19 08:24:49	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	115	88¢	$102	0xff5271…
06-19 08:23:38	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	162	65¢	$105	0x27b133…
06-19 07:43:47	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x96ff15…
06-19 07:11:11	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1852f0…
06-19 07:10:29	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x478856…
06-19 06:59:10	will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xf9c22e…
06-19 06:58:11	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x896087…
06-19 05:18:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	254	80¢	$202	0xd6b4c6…
06-19 02:27:13	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	250	92¢	$231	0x712330…
06-19 02:27:01	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0xa3bb93…
06-19 01:07:02	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xbf5e21…
06-19 00:42:47	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	256	89¢	$228	0x554a5c…
06-19 00:41:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	250	56¢	$140	0x0bff70…
06-19 00:40:16	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	250	89¢	$224	0x0fc5e3…
06-18 09:19:41	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	110	13¢	$14	0x063432…
06-16 07:02:51	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	110	71¢	$78	0x97b53f…
06-16 02:36:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	29¢	$44	0x6970e5…
06-15 06:37:10	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0x53c073…
06-15 00:29:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	592	84¢	$500	0x53bb42…
06-14 23:47:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	500	83¢	$417	0x87e80b…
06-14 23:46:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xa24bea…
06-14 19:41:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	77¢	$22	0x9e380c…
06-14 19:32:27	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x635c91…
06-14 19:01:51	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	153	98¢	$151	0x9b4647…
06-14 00:32:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	78	76¢	$59	0x7e7d2d…
06-14 00:23:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x79ea75…
06-10 16:47:49	will tsla dip to 330 in june 2026	No	BUY	35	81¢	$28	0xd2bf95…
06-10 03:35:40	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	550	87¢	$478	0xd6c5d9…
06-07 20:52:49	will tsla dip to 330 in june 2026	No	BUY	165	81¢	$134	0x2990cd…
06-05 21:18:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	150	58¢	$87	0x939f1d…
06-05 20:09:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xc88651…
06-05 19:56:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	136	77¢	$104	0xe37afc…
06-05 19:31:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x1a669d…
06-05 19:30:19	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0x44923d…
06-05 16:06:09	will tsla dip to 345 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xc82cb3…
06-04 22:24:06	will googl reach 420 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xd1b33f…
06-04 16:24:13	will meta reach 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x5a3d72…
06-04 15:38:18	will meta reach 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xa16dad…
06-04 13:33:28	will meta reach 740 in june 2026	No	BUY	350	91¢	$318	0xf764a0…
06-04 13:32:39	will meta reach 740 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x96ae4e…
06-04 13:32:24	will tsla reach 525 in june 2026	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0xa32457…
06-02 08:50:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	BUY	110	95¢	$104	0x191bd7…
06-02 08:43:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xf6de7b…
06-02 08:43:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xc51c07…
06-02 08:42:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xa8cea6…
06-02 02:23:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x5360be…
06-02 00:14:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0xf25288…
06-01 23:40:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x0dd822…
06-01 23:34:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	132	62¢	$82	0x47cc7f…
06-01 22:05:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x160e6c…
06-01 22:05:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0xe35eb5…
06-01 21:57:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	104	70¢	$73	0x7ef708…
06-01 13:48:19	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	243	70¢	$170	0x5e9e42…
06-01 13:25:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	373	88¢	$328	0xc2c75e…
06-01 08:25:42	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9f2bce…
06-01 08:23:03	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0x1bf216…
06-01 02:57:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	595	88¢	$524	0x48ffb9…
05-31 20:54:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xa18264…
05-31 19:02:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	205	77¢	$158	0xf50843…
05-31 17:38:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	24	77¢	$19	0xedb26d…
05-31 17:36:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0xb1ce36…
05-31 06:38:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x41c7ee…
05-31 03:36:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xebd6aa…
05-31 02:49:59	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xec9092…
05-31 01:02:58	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	63	68¢	$43	0x9ce397…
05-31 00:24:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x491936…
05-30 23:12:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x30f62b…
05-30 22:55:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x51adab…
05-30 21:47:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	87	77¢	$67	0x213608…
05-30 20:46:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in June?	No	BUY	188	98¢	$184	0x841644…
05-30 20:17:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	277	72¢	$200	0x8928b1…
05-30 20:12:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xacc2cb…
05-30 20:11:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x071ec8…
05-30 19:50:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0xda6f40…
05-30 19:39:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0xa557ce…
05-30 19:38:55	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x414a3c…
05-30 19:38:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	186	72¢	$134	0x70698f…
05-30 19:38:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x06130a…
05-30 19:36:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x939cba…