Harmful-Validity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$235

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

550

Trades

1,134

lifetime

Volume

$2.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-18 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Other

93% 32% -$237

Crypto

7% 44% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	3	$64	50	90	-40	No	-$4	01-06 17:00
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 115 139	5	$36	70	50	+20	Yes	-$4	01-14 16:34
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 190 214	5	$36	55	0	+55	No	-$36	01-17 14:55
highest temperature in london on february 10 2026 11c	6	$32	134	17	+117	No	+$1	02-10 13:24
highest temperature in london on february 13 2026 7c	7	$28	40	10	+30	No	+$6	02-13 06:10
highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 14c	3	$28	35	15	+20	No	-$14	02-27 09:04
highest temperature in london on february 12 2026 10c	9	$27	50	10	+40	No	+$24	02-12 12:58
highest temperature in london on february 12 2026 11c	8	$26	60	0	+60	Yes	+$3	02-12 13:05
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 140 164	4	$22	50	50	+0	No	-$6	01-10 09:35
highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 12c	5	$22	35	15	+20	No	-$1	02-27 08:44
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	7	$20	42	40	+2	Yes	-$5	01-17 13:31
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 90 114	3	$18	40	0	+40	No	+$2	03-26 17:16
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 40 64	2	$18	40	0	+40	No	+$2	03-27 04:36
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 140plus	2	$18	40	0	+40	Yes	+$22	01-07 07:46
highest temperature in london on february 13 2026 9corhigher	4	$17	120	0	+120	No	+$3	02-13 14:00
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	3	$16	40	0	+40	No	+$4	03-29 04:50
highest temperature in london on february 23 2026 14c	2	$15	15	15	+0	No	+$4	02-23 09:05
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	7	$15	50	40	+10	Yes	+$5	01-06 15:29
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 190 214	4	$15	60	10	+50	No	-$10	01-10 16:45
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 40 64	1	$14	20	0	+20	No	+$6	03-29 06:17
highest temperature in london on february 23 2026 13c	4	$14	15	15	+0	Yes	+$12	02-23 09:02
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	1	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	-$14	03-28 16:43
highest temperature in london on february 24 2026 14c	5	$14	30	15	+15	No	+$2	02-24 13:12
highest temperature in london on february 24 2026 16c	2	$14	30	0	+30	Yes	+$2	02-24 12:54
highest temperature in london on february 25 2026 19c	3	$14	30	0	+30	Yes	+$2	02-25 00:20
highest temperature in london on march 1 2026 12c	3	$14	30	0	+30	No	+$2	03-01 02:01
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 140 164	5	$14	50	50	+0	No	-$10	01-13 23:49
highest temperature in london on february 24 2026 13c	4	$13	30	0	+30	No	+$1	02-23 13:01
highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 10c	7	$13	30	0	+30	No	+$1	02-27 10:51
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	1	$13	20	0	+20	Yes	-$13	03-26 04:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 10:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x79b2d4…
06-16 17:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9a5df8…
06-15 07:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbdc9e3…
06-15 05:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x7cdec6…
06-14 11:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 14?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x6bec68…
06-14 10:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x84d951…
06-14 10:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x5e2414…
06-13 13:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 86°F or higher on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x46dd6b…
06-12 23:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x36993e…
06-12 12:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2364cd…
06-11 21:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x55ae50…
06-11 00:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2dcee7…
06-10 08:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xdf8576…
06-10 08:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 10?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x2376ae…
06-09 23:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc8d6a7…
06-09 21:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on June 9?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa3d06d…
06-09 15:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe72519…
06-09 14:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x08bfb9…
06-08 14:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x27ae78…
06-08 14:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x287fb8…
06-07 14:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x56291a…
06-06 22:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe7f424…
06-06 21:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x1b12ee…
06-06 21:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa74679…
06-06 15:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfdabfa…
06-06 01:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb1b1a7…
06-04 22:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x70ab44…
06-04 22:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x06d380…
06-04 22:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xc52a5c…
06-04 22:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x8a8f97…
06-04 15:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6f8f74…
06-04 15:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe1bae0…
06-04 05:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfcb084…
06-03 11:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x69d39c…
06-03 08:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xa85c0e…
06-03 08:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x0ce6cf…
06-03 07:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xb69103…
06-02 14:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x104995…
06-01 18:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x732cb4…
06-01 12:53:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x8ab4ae…
06-01 05:23:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4ab62f…
06-01 05:23:16	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3b5ca0…
05-31 11:43:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xcdf089…
05-31 10:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x08f6c7…
05-31 10:41:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf2612a…
05-31 10:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x4022ae…
05-31 10:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x19395f…
05-31 10:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf072c5…
05-31 06:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0ac263…
05-30 11:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7b9bf5…
05-30 11:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x13665c…
05-30 10:55:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x2247e9…
05-30 10:54:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8f0c26…
05-30 10:53:34	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x362a8c…
05-30 10:52:58	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xdab973…
05-29 18:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2113a0…
05-29 18:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5924f7…
05-29 17:15:24	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcb5176…
05-29 17:12:31	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xba244f…
05-29 15:41:15	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xd32aee…
05-29 15:41:15	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x17c666…
05-29 14:57:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x4168c1…
05-29 13:46:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xedc34a…
05-29 13:41:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd1c014…
05-29 10:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0d3992…
05-29 10:47:56	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd89ae5…
05-29 10:46:19	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0xa45bd1…
05-29 09:59:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc00290…
05-29 09:55:13	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x11b804…
05-29 09:49:16	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4b52fa…
05-29 09:41:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x33c457…
05-28 16:20:54	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb0de5c…
05-28 15:39:17	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6e23ef…
05-28 15:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb5c61c…
05-28 14:59:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa6727c…
05-28 12:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7c6cb2…
05-28 11:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa5c62a…
05-28 10:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8f326a…
05-28 09:59:05	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x459be4…
05-28 09:58:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xda1e6b…
05-28 03:56:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0xa3d5cb…
05-28 03:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x431fc1…
05-28 03:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x21b692…
05-27 16:05:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x308850…
05-27 13:35:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc9cd5f…
05-27 13:32:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xb37d1e…
05-27 13:31:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x3f87b8…
05-27 12:22:43	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2246ed…
05-27 11:24:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xb8099d…
05-27 09:47:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x72282f…
05-27 09:47:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xc96444…
05-27 09:47:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x236988…
05-27 09:44:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1ef53f…
05-27 09:22:35	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xd417d3…
05-27 09:22:09	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb6f199…
05-27 08:53:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd2b25f…
05-27 08:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xed776d…
05-27 08:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x465729…
05-27 08:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa033e0…
05-27 05:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x666297…