Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$365
$43 in 24h
Trades
52
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$878
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 19:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $33 | $33 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $72 | $72 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $38 | $154 | $116 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $10 | $91 | $81 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $12 | $66 | $54 |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $66 | $65 |
| Below median | 13 | $10 | $27 | $17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 4 | $4 | $10 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Posh-Hedge 0xd4d5…1119 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 16:06 |
| Woozy-Break 0x9686…1701 | Yes | +98 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 18:52 |
| Negligible-Grabbag 0xa811…75b8 | No | +79 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 05-14 09:38 |
| Flawless-Policeman 0x9ad9…7e66 | Yes | +70 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 15:57 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +67 | $3 | $5 | 2 | 05-16 15:01 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +64 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 05-14 17:19 |
| Fancy-Clan 0x3b1f…4e2d | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 05-16 15:41 |
| Productive-Reminder 0xb5ec…7dc1 | Yes | +52 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | +49 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 09:38 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +35 | $33 | $33 | 6 | 05-16 06:24 |
| Phony-Sundial 0x6bcb…db8c | Yes | +31 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 11:21 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +23 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 09:38 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-15 20:35 |
| Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-15 11:54 |
| Uncommon-Granddaughter 0xbcd0…b52f | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 09:38 |
| Weird-Takeover 0xe4f3…9f84 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 11:06 |
| Bewitched-Cleat 0x1207…5560 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 07:51 |
| Peppery-Virtue 0x15cb…d1ae | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 13:32 |
| Mealy-Photograph 0xc745…ce79 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 13:32 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 04:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 19:52:44 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5dfa91… |
| 05-16 17:11:44 | Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | No | SELL | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0xc729ca… |
| 05-16 16:06:47 | Posh-Hedge 0xd4d5…1119 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xfa253a… |
| 05-16 15:41:40 | Fancy-Clan 0x3b1f…4e2d | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x16c8fe… |
| 05-16 15:21:20 | Fancy-Clan 0x3b1f…4e2d | No | BUY | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0x278ea4… |
| 05-16 15:01:15 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x832250… |
| 05-16 14:55:00 | Expert-Liquid 0xd564…58d0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa88592… |
| 05-16 14:36:41 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x018641… |
| 05-16 14:36:38 | Expert-Liquid 0xd564…58d0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6b1b4d… |
| 05-16 14:36:34 | Expert-Liquid 0xd564…58d0 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xbc946e… |
| 05-16 14:36:25 | Expert-Liquid 0xd564…58d0 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x80f8d5… |
| 05-16 14:36:08 | Expert-Liquid 0xd564…58d0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb541d7… |
| 05-16 14:35:00 | Expert-Liquid 0xd564…58d0 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x9879b7… |
| 05-16 14:16:46 | Uncommon-Granddaughter 0xbcd0…b52f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x09a2a4… |
| 05-16 11:21:37 | Phony-Sundial 0x6bcb…db8c | Yes | BUY | 31 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xa6b54b… |
| 05-16 11:21:34 | Wiggly-Helicopter 0x1725…9160 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x14955e… |
| 05-16 09:00:08 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 75 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xcddbb3… |
| 05-16 07:51:30 | Bewitched-Cleat 0x1207…5560 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x0d259b… |
| 05-16 06:24:21 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xcc456b… |
| 05-16 04:26:10 | Scholarly-Prayer 0xe679…636a | Yes | SELL | 89 | 9¢ | $8 | 0xeebbcd… |
| 05-15 20:43:42 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x901fab… |
| 05-15 20:35:29 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xb9c425… |
| 05-15 20:35:27 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf00fb2… |
| 05-15 20:33:33 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x46cbb1… |
| 05-15 18:52:19 | Crafty-Nondisclosure 0xe961…fc41 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4a7229… |
| 05-15 18:01:51 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x077de8… |
| 05-15 15:57:21 | Flawless-Policeman 0x9ad9…7e66 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x056be1… |
| 05-15 13:32:25 | Mealy-Photograph 0xc745…ce79 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2fea31… |
| 05-15 13:32:25 | Peppery-Virtue 0x15cb…d1ae | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1ab66c… |
| 05-15 11:54:37 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7dc64c… |
| 05-15 11:06:03 | Weird-Takeover 0xe4f3…9f84 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd6534c… |
| 05-15 09:35:09 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd1be27… |
| 05-15 07:24:34 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x107c77… |
| 05-14 21:18:39 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x46d7b6… |
| 05-14 21:18:36 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x68eb41… |
| 05-14 20:14:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x93f562… |
| 05-14 19:39:31 | Scholarly-Prayer 0xe679…636a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xedc19d… |
| 05-14 18:52:13 | Woozy-Break 0x9686…1701 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x26d8a3… |
| 05-14 18:14:39 | (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xab1c02… |
| 05-14 18:14:35 | Productive-Reminder 0xb5ec…7dc1 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x2dee03… |
| 05-14 18:04:07 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xbc980d… |
| 05-14 17:32:02 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7d3244… |
| 05-14 17:31:53 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4ef329… |
| 05-14 17:19:24 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 23 | 93¢ | $22 | 0x8ed7ae… |
| 05-14 13:20:49 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x9103c5… |
| 05-14 11:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x69f9a4… |
| 05-14 09:38:52 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x4b3151… |
| 05-14 09:38:50 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xfb55bc… |
| 05-14 09:38:48 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x577ff9… |
| 05-14 09:38:48 | Negligible-Grabbag 0xa811…75b8 | No | BUY | 79 | 83¢ | $66 | 0xfb6628… |
| 05-14 06:06:11 | Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | No | BUY | 0 | 74¢ | $0 | 0x0d13d7… |
| 05-14 04:26:12 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x694304… |