Posh-Hedge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.0%

Resolved

459

Trades

1,074

lifetime

Volume

$130.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-06 21:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Politics

36% 38% -$37,515

Other

33% 34% -$31,141

Crypto

24% 46% +$19,652

Sports

7% 69% +$386

Tech

1% 25% -$182

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	27	$37.6K	40,651	40,651	+0	Yes	-$37,466	05-04 15:25
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	16	$29.6K	38,004	0	+38,004	Yes	-$29,643	04-20 21:48
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	75	$17.3K	32,970	121	+32,849	Yes	+$15,682	03-18 15:45
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	1	$11.0K	15,052	0	+15,052	Yes	+$4,079	04-21 06:18
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$3.5K	1,861	1,861	+0	Yes	-$29	02-28 20:46
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$3.5K	1,772	1,772	+0	Yes	+$12	03-08 23:50
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$1.5K	3,196	3,196	+0	No	+$134	06-29 17:41
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	3	$1.5K	1,566	41	+1,525	Over	-$2	05-10 20:44
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Secret" this week?	2	$1.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	$0	05-11 15:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	8	$1.4K	704	704	+0	No	-$1	05-18 16:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	30	$1.3K	1,304	0	+1,304	No	+$4	05-15 06:52
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	6	$1.2K	650	650	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$51	05-27 22:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$1.0K	1,034	0	+1,034	No	+$4	05-13 16:31
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	2	$1.0K	521	521	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$20	05-27 21:42
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	9	$997	881	725	+157	LGD Gaming	-$342	05-29 16:04
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$945	500	500	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$35	05-27 19:32
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	3	$884	844	844	+0	No	-$716	07-01 21:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$845	500	500	+0	No	+$25	05-14 20:25
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	3	$810	819	0	+819	Chicago White Sox	+$9	05-28 19:59
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	4	$683	369	369	+0	Los Angeles Angels	+$53	05-28 19:58
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	7	$633	744	0	+744	Baltimore Orioles	+$112	05-27 23:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$559	398	398	+0	No	-$41	05-23 16:02
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	6	$458	472	34	+437	Yes	+$19	06-29 19:01
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	6	$437	520	520	+0	Yes	+$69	05-18 11:51
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	1	$420	421	0	+421	Yes	+$1	02-09 19:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$407	304	304	+0	Yes	+$7	05-18 10:33
Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Walton	2	$402	220	220	+0	Zachary Svajda	+$2	05-28 10:49
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	3	$333	190	190	+0	England	+$13	07-18 22:49
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	6	$325	191	170	+21	Alexander Zverev	+$15	06-05 16:38
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	1	$321	322	0	+322	No	+$1	02-10 21:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 21:24:17	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x4c18d0…
07-19 21:24:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xe406b5…
07-18 22:49:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	190	91¢	$173	0xd1d40a…
07-18 21:41:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xbedc06…
07-18 21:34:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0x09ceb2…
07-15 21:00:01	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x0ee8c6…
07-14 20:44:50	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x10e5f7…
07-14 20:13:34	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x7a77eb…
07-14 20:00:58	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xfb868b…
07-14 19:39:01	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xadfacf…
07-14 19:30:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xa00f98…
07-11 22:31:23	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x0873c0…
07-11 21:38:52	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xbae01e…
07-11 21:22:16	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x24c595…
07-11 21:18:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbb8fc1…
07-11 20:41:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9949fd…
07-10 20:51:05	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0xe8089b…
07-10 20:50:40	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x9e069f…
07-10 20:49:40	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x3620b0…
07-10 20:43:55	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x84afa0…
07-10 20:41:23	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x720365…
07-10 20:38:31	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x999808…
07-10 20:36:35	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xc35285…
07-10 19:50:40	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x372453…
07-10 19:47:26	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd186eb…
07-10 19:46:22	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xf674cd…
07-10 19:37:10	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2ee5bb…
07-10 19:36:25	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd435a8…
07-09 20:12:05	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4a3e3b…
07-09 19:59:29	Morocco to score first vs. France?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8a3586…
07-09 19:55:35	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe935b6…
07-09 19:54:53	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x355276…
07-09 19:54:34	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x5d3d85…
07-07 17:44:56	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0x3b2eaf…
07-07 16:28:34	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x25d0c4…
07-06 20:46:22	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9fd660…
07-06 19:45:05	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x4d251b…
07-06 18:59:02	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x61257e…
07-05 21:52:16	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x0f4558…
07-05 20:24:32	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xdf6ea7…
07-05 20:24:04	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x1daec0…
07-02 19:10:40	Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	121	9¢	$11	0xdf441e…
07-02 18:37:11	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xe3e488…
07-02 18:36:07	Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0x7dd283…
07-02 16:38:26	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe43249…
07-02 13:33:56	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0xc3f886…
07-02 13:03:37	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x79ad5b…
07-01 21:51:46	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	844	10¢	$84	0xb894d1…
07-01 21:45:53	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	614	98¢	$600	0xf35224…
07-01 21:20:25	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xeb49d5…
07-01 21:19:47	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x81204b…
07-01 21:19:17	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0xa44c0b…
07-01 21:16:52	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x67913f…
07-01 19:39:17	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x4142d9…
07-01 18:14:01	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x94e4e8…
07-01 17:13:58	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x48570a…
07-01 17:12:07	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xbe4361…
07-01 17:09:01	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfab04f…
07-01 16:36:31	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x64e1cc…
07-01 16:34:26	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	83	23¢	$19	0x76c85c…
07-01 13:20:34	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe71892…
06-30 20:45:14	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xfd59e4…
06-30 20:06:49	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xbbe4dd…
06-30 18:54:31	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x9dbfeb…
06-29 22:10:55	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb0dfcc…
06-29 22:00:25	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xd9ec04…
06-29 21:21:58	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9e6b5e…
06-29 21:19:08	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5acc8d…
06-29 20:53:04	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xe2b84f…
06-29 20:09:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4367fd…
06-29 19:01:49	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xbef329…
06-29 18:59:38	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	216	97¢	$210	0x8605a7…
06-29 18:37:41	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x4a2672…
06-29 18:20:41	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6b7f1f…
06-29 18:20:08	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?	Yes	SELL	11	32¢	$3	0xc58255…
06-29 18:10:29	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x7c36cf…
06-29 17:41:38	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	253	0¢	$1	0x9108bd…
06-29 17:41:07	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,196	26¢	$835	0x659695…
06-29 16:52:41	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	88	71¢	$62	0x36b631…
06-29 15:59:41	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	88	74¢	$65	0x6661da…
06-29 10:10:04	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	34	57¢	$20	0x273f2a…
06-28 20:33:56	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x26eed6…
06-27 21:02:22	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x84230a…
06-26 20:26:31	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1d722c…
06-26 19:36:29	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	148	95¢	$140	0xb520c3…
06-26 18:50:28	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc93285…
06-26 08:56:46	dota2 navi mouz 2026 06 26 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0c88ab…
06-25 23:18:07	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xe28a54…
06-25 23:02:34	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6d2b8d…
06-25 22:55:02	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe636f4…
06-25 22:54:31	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4f3574…
06-25 17:34:01	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x3e2c2d…
06-25 16:18:46	dota2 vp vsn2 2026 06 25	TEAM VISION	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x94869d…
06-24 20:52:01	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xd793df…
06-23 18:40:59	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1b8b22…
06-23 18:39:01	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa0e70d…
06-23 17:43:41	dota2 ngx navi 2026 06 23	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa5adad…
06-23 17:27:47	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x413fd8…
06-22 17:46:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x690393…
06-22 16:19:46	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xab95bb…