Posh-Hedge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

9.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$115

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$49

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-16 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 100% +$1

Other

16% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (4)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	+133	$50	32¢	$42	$-8	05-16 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	+3	$1	100¢	$3	+$2	05-16 20:17
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+12	$3	25¢	$3	+$0	05-16 16:26
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	+5	$1	20¢	$1	$-0	05-16 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	+43	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-16 19:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 20:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x02f4e0…
05-16 20:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5dfd9b…
05-16 19:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xf304dc…
05-16 16:41:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x039a04…
05-16 16:26:53	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x0f4522…
05-16 16:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfa253a…
05-16 14:51:18	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd3b9f0…
05-16 14:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x6bc114…
05-16 14:09:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0x898b46…
05-16 09:25:18	Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x27438b…
05-16 09:16:37	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7c8408…
05-15 19:48:26	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc5cd02…
05-15 18:07:20	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xfe4526…
05-15 13:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	186	5¢	$9	0x6e15b4…
05-15 09:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xf6b817…
05-14 12:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	29	37¢	$11	0x96d316…
05-12 20:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x536ee2…
05-08 17:37:27	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc3587c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	6	$733	39	05-16 14:56
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	5	$1.01K	40	05-16 16:37
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	5	$528	22	05-16 16:25
Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7	3	$7.24K	35	05-15 13:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	1	$50	133	0	+133	open	—	05-16 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	2	$19	61	186	-125	open	—	05-15 13:22
Ethereum Up or Down on May 14?	1	$11	0	29	-29	open	—	05-14 12:24
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	1	$10	20	0	+20	Fenerbahce	$-10	05-08 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-16 14:47
No one announced as next James Bond?	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	05-16 16:26
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-15 19:48
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 18:07
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 09:16
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-16 14:51
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 16?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-16 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-16 20:17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?	1	$1	43	0	+43	open	—	05-16 19:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	05-16 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-16 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 20:57