Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$439
$1,226 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$2,450
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 18:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $48 | $48 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $38 | $38 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $11 | $342 | $331 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $64 | $64 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 4 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $351 | $351 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leading-Porter 0x2032…e43e | No | +343 | $330 | $330 | 1 | 05-13 06:17 |
| Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | +85 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 06:04 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:53 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +48 | $48 | $48 | 11 | 05-14 14:36 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 20:47 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-14 00:29 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:18 |
| Granular-Imbalance 0xbd93…ebfa | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 12:12 |
| Outlandish-Evaporation 0x7747…fe40 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 23:42 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:18 |
| Frozen-Control 0x10c0…a15e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 18:09:24 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x00052e… |
| 05-14 18:09:24 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbf9de3… |
| 05-14 18:09:24 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcd5042… |
| 05-14 18:09:24 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f7a04… |
| 05-14 18:09:24 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb7d184… |
| 05-14 18:09:24 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad34b6… |
| 05-14 18:09:24 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd5b1a… |
| 05-14 14:36:16 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x676a29… |
| 05-14 14:21:15 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x022bd2… |
| 05-14 14:21:13 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96a0ce… |
| 05-14 14:01:16 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x381bbd… |
| 05-14 14:01:16 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x633189… |
| 05-14 14:01:15 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x84fd87… |
| 05-14 14:01:15 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x5d84d3… |
| 05-14 13:18:10 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x733710… |
| 05-14 13:18:08 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0afc9a… |
| 05-14 13:18:08 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x873ebf… |
| 05-14 13:18:08 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x1972c2… |
| 05-14 13:18:08 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x11b108… |
| 05-14 13:05:50 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xac5095… |
| 05-14 13:05:39 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x4692a0… |
| 05-14 13:05:37 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x7fccde… |
| 05-14 13:05:36 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf572aa… |
| 05-14 12:12:32 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xa0660f… |
| 05-14 12:12:32 | Granular-Imbalance 0xbd93…ebfa | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x8f1654… |
| 05-14 00:46:18 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xce7bae… |
| 05-14 00:44:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x0275b7… |
| 05-14 00:29:32 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8dd61d… |
| 05-14 00:29:25 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xba69a2… |
| 05-14 00:29:15 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe92e5a… |
| 05-13 23:57:01 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xf0436a… |
| 05-13 23:49:14 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x11aa28… |
| 05-13 23:45:47 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x7e1f74… |
| 05-13 23:42:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd20812… |
| 05-13 23:42:01 | Outlandish-Evaporation 0x7747…fe40 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x282ce9… |
| 05-13 22:53:14 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x479c34… |
| 05-13 22:22:06 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5440ad… |
| 05-13 22:14:31 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe2e9a8… |
| 05-13 22:10:56 | Frozen-Control 0x10c0…a15e | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x8fff1f… |
| 05-13 20:58:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x73f2dd… |
| 05-13 20:56:58 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x411e59… |
| 05-13 20:47:54 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xd946a4… |
| 05-13 06:17:46 | Leading-Porter 0x2032…e43e | No | BUY | 343 | 96¢ | $330 | 0xe00197… |
| 05-13 06:04:02 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 12¢ | $10 | 0xd46562… |