Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 16?
open
Total volume
$191
$10 in 24h
Trades
47
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$884
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 11:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $56 | $79 | $23 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $6 | $20 | $14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $28 | $35 | $7 |
| Median | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Below median | 3 | $10 | $6 | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $2 | $18 | $16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | +86 | $23 | $23 | 5 | 05-14 22:22 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +46 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 05-14 22:27 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +32 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 09:35 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-14 16:09 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +14 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-15 04:08 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 21:34 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 22:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd1b…da1e | Yes | +10 | $3 | $7 | 4 | 05-14 22:22 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 12:54 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:25 |
| Rare-Stimulus-Shoelace 0xcf9a…e559 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 20:37 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 06:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:01 |
| Altruistic-Likeness 0xbbcb…c018 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:31 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 05-14 22:22 |
| Half-League 0x2451…09fa | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 11:51:11 | Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x49fb65… |
| 05-15 11:01:37 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x90dc53… |
| 05-15 09:35:05 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 32 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x4c122b… |
| 05-15 09:35:03 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xefe727… |
| 05-15 06:34:47 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $6 | 0xe20ac1… |
| 05-15 04:08:58 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x810ecc… |
| 05-15 04:05:51 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0xd8c334… |
| 05-14 23:00:16 | Animated-Leptocephalus 0xc12c…da6e | No | SELL | 19 | 78¢ | $15 | 0x7acf84… |
| 05-14 22:42:43 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 12 | 73¢ | $9 | 0x1c1be8… |
| 05-14 22:27:01 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x6d8d81… |
| 05-14 22:22:34 | Silent-Terminal 0x45c2…68ee | Yes | SELL | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x2a0604… |
| 05-14 22:22:11 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x785609… |
| 05-14 22:22:11 | (anonymous) 0xbd1b…da1e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xb2ad18… |
| 05-14 22:22:11 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x1b3fba… |
| 05-14 22:22:09 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…9317 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xab4e03… |
| 05-14 22:22:07 | (anonymous) 0xbd1b…da1e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x43f5a3… |
| 05-14 22:22:06 | (anonymous) 0xbd1b…da1e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x1b8cc8… |
| 05-14 22:22:04 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 28¢ | $16 | 0xde755a… |
| 05-14 22:22:04 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xf1db8e… |
| 05-14 22:22:02 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | SELL | 61 | 27¢ | $16 | 0x6d2f27… |
| 05-14 22:22:02 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x982669… |
| 05-14 22:21:59 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xbf165f… |
| 05-14 21:34:54 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xdef282… |
| 05-14 21:34:54 | (anonymous) 0xbd1b…da1e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x03957f… |
| 05-14 21:34:51 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0xdc6d1e… |
| 05-14 21:34:51 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xa0a461… |
| 05-14 21:09:33 | Half-League 0x2451…09fa | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x68545b… |
| 05-14 20:37:42 | Rare-Stimulus-Shoelace 0xcf9a…e559 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xa628e5… |
| 05-14 20:37:42 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x5886ea… |
| 05-14 20:27:26 | Cuddly-Chaplain 0x307a…9e51 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x1a6654… |
| 05-14 20:24:16 | Silent-Terminal 0x45c2…68ee | Yes | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x0d8417… |
| 05-14 20:17:45 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x043d55… |
| 05-14 20:17:42 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 23 | 77¢ | $18 | 0x06f424… |
| 05-14 20:17:30 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xdbeca4… |
| 05-14 20:17:26 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 24¢ | $4 | 0xe89cf8… |
| 05-14 20:17:26 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xd9897d… |
| 05-14 20:17:24 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 11 | 77¢ | $9 | 0x8c5174… |
| 05-14 16:31:39 | Altruistic-Likeness 0xbbcb…c018 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xad3139… |
| 05-14 16:09:38 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xec32e0… |
| 05-14 16:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xe7040b… |
| 05-14 16:09:24 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x9c4831… |
| 05-14 13:25:57 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | BUY | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xd4850e… |
| 05-14 13:25:57 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xf809f9… |
| 05-14 12:54:29 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $7 | 0x133a78… |
| 05-14 12:09:20 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x13072b… |
| 05-14 12:09:20 | (anonymous) 0x3e14…9187 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x55e01f… |
| 05-14 11:32:38 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | SELL | 3 | 79¢ | $3 | 0x8fee99… |