Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 15?
open
Total volume
$275
$1,408 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$2,865
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 18:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $27 | $185 | $158 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 6 | $8 | $119 | $111 |
| Below median | 7 | $5 | $10 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $10 | $28 | $18 |
| unranked | 4 | — | $55 | $55 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granular-Purse 0xee24…bd15 | Yes | +115 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-14 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe7f…7428 | Yes | +100 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 03:23 |
| Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 05-14 02:30 |
| Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | +42 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 07:04 |
| Lovely-Sensor 0x1a4d…4122 | Yes | +36 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 04:50 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-13 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x8fd6…37fa | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 00:31 |
| Elegant-Evaporation 0x698d…b0bd | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-14 01:10 |
| Entire-Muffin 0x69d3…33e2 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 18:12 |
| Early-Bitten 0xa5a3…8414 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 11:00 |
| Discrete-Grade 0xad60…4e36 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 01:10 |
| Granular-Imbalance 0xbd93…ebfa | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 12:10 |
| Scented-Metallurgist 0x5baf…966b | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:01 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:34 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 01:50 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-14 13:07 |
| Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | +3 | $3 | $14 | 5 | 05-14 05:10 |
| Prestigious-Feather 0xd695…f470 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:12 |
| Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 05:06 |
| Beloved-Insert 0xfb75…41b0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 18:12:12 | Entire-Muffin 0x69d3…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x50909a… |
| 05-14 15:54:18 | Wordy-Cross 0xa363…6036 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4ad4e3… |
| 05-14 13:07:59 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x317406… |
| 05-14 12:57:33 | Mundane-Currency 0x5451…6f23 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x11265a… |
| 05-14 12:10:47 | Granular-Imbalance 0xbd93…ebfa | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x74d176… |
| 05-14 11:00:12 | Early-Bitten 0xa5a3…8414 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x7a1682… |
| 05-14 05:10:44 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xd1e3fb… |
| 05-14 05:06:30 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xb43713… |
| 05-14 05:06:28 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x87d6bc… |
| 05-14 05:06:21 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xd83524… |
| 05-14 05:05:31 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf3313c… |
| 05-14 04:50:31 | Lovely-Sensor 0x1a4d…4122 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xad883e… |
| 05-14 04:26:19 | Beloved-Insert 0xfb75…41b0 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x236c3a… |
| 05-14 04:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x16f72e… |
| 05-14 03:23:19 | (anonymous) 0xfe7f…7428 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x873f9e… |
| 05-14 02:30:17 | Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x82e644… |
| 05-14 02:12:17 | Prestigious-Feather 0xd695…f470 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x075358… |
| 05-14 01:50:27 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x13fbe2… |
| 05-14 01:10:15 | Elegant-Evaporation 0x698d…b0bd | No | BUY | 18 | 89¢ | $16 | 0x2f9f29… |
| 05-14 01:10:01 | Discrete-Grade 0xad60…4e36 | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0xc21889… |
| 05-14 01:10:01 | Scented-Metallurgist 0x5baf…966b | No | BUY | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x73250f… |
| 05-14 00:34:14 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6f95bc… |
| 05-14 00:34:05 | Granular-Purse 0xee24…bd15 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x112332… |
| 05-14 00:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x8fd6…37fa | Yes | BUY | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xf5f144… |
| 05-14 00:08:06 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x298fcd… |
| 05-14 00:08:01 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xcc566e… |
| 05-13 22:31:09 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x39d799… |
| 05-13 22:31:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xd1e2b6… |
| 05-13 22:31:09 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2689a5… |
| 05-13 21:42:04 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x4e3adc… |
| 05-13 21:01:47 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x484467… |
| 05-13 13:43:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9b5bef… |
| 05-13 12:38:20 | Granular-Purse 0xee24…bd15 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x8ff221… |
| 05-13 07:04:16 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | BUY | 42 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x5ec02e… |