Entire-Muffin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$363

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-02 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

38% 100% +$1

Crypto

29% 0% $-5

Other

18% — —

Sports

11% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	06-02 17:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$30	16	15	+1	open	—	04-26 17:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	2	$24	34	33	+1	open	—	05-23 18:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$21	12	11	+1	open	—	04-30 05:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-23 20:26
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	1	$19	72	0	+72	open	—	04-18 17:38
Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	05-01 11:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	2	$15	163	0	+163	open	—	05-16 04:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$14	19	19	+0	open	—	04-29 07:55
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	04-26 17:55
Kash Patel out by May 31?	2	$11	38	5	+33	open	—	04-29 21:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$11	22	7	+15	Yes	+$1	05-02 19:43
bitcoin above 76k on april 21	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-21 12:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	5	$9	24	23	+1	open	—	04-09 08:55
Will Toronto Raptors advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	05-02 19:23
bun lei uni 2026 04 24 total 2pt5	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-24 11:49
Will "Six Seven" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-17 13:34
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 08:40
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 10:58
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	3	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	04-29 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	112	0	+112	open	—	04-30 17:54
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 5?	1	$5	134	0	+134	No	$-5	05-06 00:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	05-11 03:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 04:31
Will "Bitcoin" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-21 09:01
btc updown 5m 1775736300	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	04-09 12:05
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 05:30
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-24 11:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$3	44	29	+15	open	—	05-11 02:53
bun lei uni 2026 04 24 btts	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-24 11:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 17:59:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x7de669…
05-23 18:42:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	33	44¢	$15	0x057695…
05-23 18:05:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x43cad2…
05-21 09:01:25	Will "Bitcoin" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe16708…
05-17 13:34:28	Will "Six Seven" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x5bd93d…
05-16 17:30:57	Will "In the Grey" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xb124f1…
05-16 16:11:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcc6d10…
05-16 16:11:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbe160f…
05-16 04:33:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x61652a…
05-16 04:31:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x23211e…
05-15 17:47:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x083a92…
05-15 05:30:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaf073e…
05-14 15:13:19	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x22e98d…
05-14 15:12:44	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x179979…
05-14 15:06:57	Will "Six Seven" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc56a0a…
05-13 16:17:23	Will Trump say "Uncle" or "Unc" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdc488c…
05-13 16:16:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe0a544…
05-11 03:01:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x190742…
05-11 02:53:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0xac0cea…
05-11 02:51:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x24fca5…
05-06 00:02:32	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	134	4¢	$5	0x452783…
05-02 19:43:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x828968…
05-02 19:23:46	Will Toronto Raptors advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xe70e75…
05-01 11:56:38	Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xb4df95…
05-01 11:55:26	Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x3d4a67…
04-30 17:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	112	4¢	$5	0x73ca22…
04-30 08:40:42	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x5d7e89…
04-30 05:58:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe3af24…
04-30 03:58:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x49f3dc…
04-30 03:58:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xb8a0ae…
04-29 21:03:12	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x4e9b7d…
04-29 20:58:18	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x8f5e6e…
04-29 10:40:00	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x4afa59…
04-29 08:19:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x12b48c…
04-29 08:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9f3b51…
04-29 07:55:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xa3d189…
04-29 07:55:08	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf29a1b…
04-29 07:54:10	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5724c9…
04-29 07:41:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xd9fc93…
04-27 23:37:52	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x01e462…
04-27 23:25:20	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xe2bb51…
04-27 23:21:32	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3a2203…
04-27 23:20:02	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xfc5fe3…
04-26 18:11:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x3f79af…
04-26 17:56:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb1f502…
04-26 17:55:44	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xe33b6a…
04-26 17:54:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa9ac2a…
04-26 06:51:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x2b91ef…
04-26 01:28:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0xd92c4e…
04-26 00:18:34	Nashville SC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6f2a3b…
04-25 21:46:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x64ae2a…
04-24 15:19:00	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x675d9b…
04-24 15:18:46	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xa1114a…
04-24 11:50:20	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 btts	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf5975b…
04-24 11:49:42	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x5962a1…
04-24 11:38:50	val pr1 ge1 2026 04 24	Paper Rex	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2c2e94…
04-24 11:33:26	bitcoin above 78k on april 24	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x834d93…
04-24 10:58:26	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x7a0f27…
04-24 10:57:18	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x46cc35…
04-23 22:06:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x57a650…
04-23 20:27:00	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x307b4b…
04-23 20:26:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x107146…
04-22 23:42:34	btc updown 5m 1776901200	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xb484b1…
04-22 23:31:18	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4a34be…
04-22 18:22:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1bdb1c…
04-22 15:49:30	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$0	0xd54801…
04-21 12:42:44	bitcoin above 76k on april 21	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf63b57…
04-18 17:38:26	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	Yes	BUY	72	26¢	$19	0x178184…
04-09 12:05:25	btc updown 5m 1775736300	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x6c9888…
04-09 12:03:39	btc updown 5m 1775736000	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8e2375…
04-09 09:06:13	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xeeedfa…
04-09 08:56:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x8d2611…
04-09 08:55:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0xe89f45…
04-09 01:13:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc3b232…
04-08 21:50:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x74219e…
04-08 21:50:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x694401…
04-08 21:42:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd9bb68…
04-08 21:42:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7ced4d…
04-07 00:15:27	btc updown 5m 1775520900	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcf13cf…
04-07 00:12:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xfecd36…