Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C or higher on May 15?
open
Total volume
$711
$212 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$5,338
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 17:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $288 | $288 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $9 | $411 | $402 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 7 | — | $426 | $426 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $263 | $263 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatherly-Novel 0xdbe1…608d | No | +273 | $272 | $272 | 1 | 05-15 17:41 |
| Rapid-Medication 0x5201…34c3 | No | +248 | $245 | $245 | 1 | 05-14 20:44 |
| Defensive-Ocelot 0x17a8…3509 | Yes | +181 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 11:25 |
| Exalted-Relationship 0x3183…c74e | No | +124 | $121 | $121 | 1 | 05-14 15:26 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-14 13:17 |
| Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-15 01:23 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 13:00 |
| Youthful-Discovery 0xdb3f…a6ef | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 20:09 |
| Gleaming-Perfume 0x007a…8283 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 20:09 |
| Constant-Knife 0xf7a8…9f68 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 15:32 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 13:49 |
| Superficial-Arithmetic 0x1aff…3c63 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 09:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 17:41:58 | Fatherly-Novel 0xdbe1…608d | No | BUY | 273 | 100¢ | $272 | 0x48a208… |
| 05-15 15:57:22 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x901b5c… |
| 05-15 15:57:22 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaea6d3… |
| 05-15 15:56:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b4753… |
| 05-15 15:56:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc79b4… |
| 05-15 15:32:03 | Constant-Knife 0xf7a8…9f68 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xda11fa… |
| 05-15 14:16:20 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb257e4… |
| 05-15 14:16:20 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8009d… |
| 05-15 14:16:20 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1a1c83… |
| 05-15 13:49:53 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x2d1ef9… |
| 05-15 13:20:52 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe37f34… |
| 05-15 13:20:52 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5ceef4… |
| 05-15 11:25:52 | Defensive-Ocelot 0x17a8…3509 | Yes | BUY | 181 | 5¢ | $8 | 0xceea23… |
| 05-15 09:01:48 | Superficial-Arithmetic 0x1aff…3c63 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xbd95bc… |
| 05-15 01:23:08 | Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x4fde84… |
| 05-14 20:44:55 | Rapid-Medication 0x5201…34c3 | No | BUY | 248 | 99¢ | $245 | 0xdddbc4… |
| 05-14 20:09:48 | Youthful-Discovery 0xdb3f…a6ef | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe909eb… |
| 05-14 20:09:48 | Gleaming-Perfume 0x007a…8283 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe77517… |
| 05-14 19:14:31 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x052b38… |
| 05-14 15:26:18 | Exalted-Relationship 0x3183…c74e | No | BUY | 124 | 98¢ | $121 | 0x3ebee3… |
| 05-14 13:17:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1d3b63… |
| 05-14 13:17:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x46fc23… |
| 05-14 13:17:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7789b5… |
| 05-14 13:17:58 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0xa7f489… |
| 05-14 13:00:38 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x587d79… |