Defensive-Ocelot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$708

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

1,130

Trades

1,692

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-24

last 07-19 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 63% -$209

Other

12% 14% -$500

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+12	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-13 19:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	5	$160	4,946	0	+4,946	Spain	-$160	07-19 22:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:30 UTC	8	$50	308	0	+308	Down	+$68	07-02 12:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 06:45 UTC	3	$50	85	0	+85	Up	-$12	06-30 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 02:35 UTC	5	$40	61	0	+61	Down	+$5	07-03 02:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 08:40 UTC	4	$39	64	0	+64	Up	+$9	07-03 08:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 11:15 UTC	6	$39	63	0	+63	Up	-$9	07-02 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:05 UTC	5	$38	44	26	+18	Down	$0	06-30 14:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 10:45 UTC	2	$34	51	0	+51	Down	-$19	06-30 10:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 13:30 UTC	2	$34	53	0	+53	Up	-$20	06-30 13:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 08:45 UTC	2	$34	51	0	+51	Up	+$2	06-30 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 14:15 UTC	2	$34	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	06-30 14:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 10:15 UTC	2	$34	52	0	+52	Up	-$19	06-30 10:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 07:00 UTC	2	$30	46	0	+46	Down	+$1	06-30 07:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 05:15 UTC	2	$30	46	0	+46	Down	-$15	06-30 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 08:45 UTC	3	$30	36	0	+36	Down	+$6	07-03 08:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:25 UTC	4	$30	45	0	+45	Down	-$1	07-02 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 20:30 UTC	3	$30	49	0	+49	Up	+$1	07-02 20:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 15:05 UTC	5	$30	36	0	+36	Down	+$6	07-02 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 05:25 UTC	4	$30	162	0	+162	Down	-$10	07-03 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 15:15 UTC	3	$30	1,190	0	+1,190	Up	-$30	07-10 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 00:45 UTC	3	$30	51	0	+51	Down	+$21	06-26 00:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 16:45 UTC	3	$30	53	0	+53	Up	-$30	06-25 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 02:45 UTC	3	$30	34	0	+34	Down	+$4	06-20 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:35 UTC	3	$30	40	0	+40	Down	+$10	06-30 23:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 13:35 UTC	3	$30	34	0	+34	Down	+$4	06-24 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 04:30 UTC	5	$30	49	0	+49	Down	+$5	07-03 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$30	41	0	+41	Up	-$2	07-03 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 16:20 UTC	3	$30	43	0	+43	Up	-$30	07-02 16:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:45 UTC	9	$30	49	0	+49	Down	-$6	07-02 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 16:00 UTC	3	$30	47	0	+47	Down	-$30	07-02 16:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:02:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	4,000	0¢	$10	0x8e5e6c…
07-19 21:58:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x8eafdb…
07-19 21:54:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x72ac12…
07-19 21:44:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x652a03…
07-19 21:31:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	149	33¢	$50	0x456225…
07-19 20:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdfd7f8…
07-19 19:21:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	127	39¢	$50	0x3381b3…
07-19 18:08:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xbb96d7…
07-19 17:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x427a4d…
07-19 16:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0xa18ead…
07-19 12:33:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbe98db…
07-19 12:33:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc6d44b…
07-19 11:18:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x877c99…
07-19 10:24:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x763030…
07-19 00:28:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd7d8fa…
07-18 17:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	146	7¢	$10	0x7d4591…
07-18 17:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	153	7¢	$10	0x3c66cd…
07-18 17:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf5c482…
07-18 17:09:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x67483a…
07-18 16:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe8c157…
07-18 15:03:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x93994f…
07-18 12:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6f9e22…
07-18 09:33:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x94e5b8…
07-18 04:28:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb6e277…
07-18 02:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf969f2…
07-17 22:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x9744ad…
07-17 22:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x74abdd…
07-17 22:33:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xec32b8…
07-17 19:58:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1b3ad2…
07-17 16:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc766a8…
07-17 15:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x61221d…
07-17 14:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe9d47f…
07-17 14:13:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x3e4692…
07-17 14:08:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x146319…
07-17 13:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0bb356…
07-17 11:34:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc19b85…
07-17 10:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x134a48…
07-17 07:54:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8e9ffb…
07-17 07:54:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8777c5…
07-17 07:48:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1a5da5…
07-17 07:43:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf4f609…
07-17 07:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xa74875…
07-17 06:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x5a7db1…
07-17 05:38:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd65804…
07-17 03:33:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xc5a591…
07-17 00:53:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x55b9de…
07-17 00:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xad95da…
07-16 23:34:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x6a6091…
07-16 23:34:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5c8ba1…
07-16 23:18:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x983192…
07-16 23:18:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x51088f…
07-16 22:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x76a152…
07-16 22:38:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x7dfa31…
07-16 19:08:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x0fc8a3…
07-16 15:49:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4efc29…
07-16 14:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb86af7…
07-16 13:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9164f0…
07-16 12:04:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0b2857…
07-16 09:08:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc948fc…
07-16 08:18:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x322784…
07-16 07:48:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe0a595…
07-16 06:54:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x879f75…
07-16 05:39:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc01133…
07-16 03:18:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9c518c…
07-16 02:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x9c10de…
07-16 02:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xda0c49…
07-15 21:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xf5cb60…
07-15 21:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf3aa86…
07-15 19:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xf78244…
07-15 19:03:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4aa1f5…
07-15 17:39:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7416ad…
07-15 17:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xd5fd9f…
07-15 16:48:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xc5c3ab…
07-15 16:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x35cfc5…
07-15 15:28:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x515fd8…
07-15 14:59:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x3b5ee4…
07-15 14:59:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x21a7ec…
07-15 12:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x3482a9…
07-15 08:28:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xdc941d…
07-15 07:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	239	4¢	$10	0xaaa729…
07-15 06:28:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x575717…
07-15 05:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xfada79…
07-15 02:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf0cd2c…
07-15 00:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa56fb9…
07-15 00:24:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x21cae7…
07-15 00:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x52b440…
07-15 00:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x70e68a…
07-14 22:14:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0xbb6a53…
07-14 18:59:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb7cf61…
07-14 17:03:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x492e5d…
07-14 15:58:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd4e37a…
07-14 14:13:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6aebd2…
07-14 13:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x567477…
07-14 12:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xd8004d…
07-14 10:44:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x045c66…
07-14 10:44:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xdf0c88…
07-14 10:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa62b7b…
07-14 10:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x87fbde…
07-14 09:43:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x311aa8…
07-14 09:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x83a47f…