Exalted-Relationship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$90

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

390

Trades

1,030

lifetime

Volume

$41.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$636

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-31 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

98% 86% +$91

Politics

1% — —

Crypto

0% 78% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+455	$410	96¢	$436	+$26	10-11 21:34
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+204	$195	96¢	$195	$0	10-31 16:41
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	+168	$5	3¢	$5	$0	10-31 16:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 15?	4	$694	349	349	+0	No	+$4	07-15 11:55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 10?	4	$678	342	342	+0	No	+$6	07-10 15:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?	3	$667	337	337	+0	No	+$6	06-26 10:54
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 16 2026 34c	22	$662	340	340	+0	No	+$6	02-16 21:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on July 17?	8	$616	338	284	+54	No	+$5	07-17 16:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 22?	7	$601	305	305	+0	No	+$8	07-22 10:54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 18?	2	$516	517	0	+517	No	+$1	07-18 18:09
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 9?	3	$477	241	241	+0	No	+$5	06-09 04:43
highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 8corbelow	6	$460	234	234	+0	No	+$7	03-07 16:49
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14?	6	$452	244	244	+0	Yes	+$2	05-14 11:44
highest temperature in dallas on february 17 2026 78 79f	7	$422	227	227	+0	No	+$32	02-18 06:15
highest temperature in ankara on february 13 2026 12c	6	$414	220	220	+0	No	+$26	02-13 14:32
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$410	455	0	+455	open	—	10-11 21:34
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 8?	7	$405	204	204	+0	No	+$2	06-08 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 23?	3	$384	194	194	+0	No	+$3	06-23 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on June 4?	4	$369	194	194	+0	No	+$19	06-04 15:47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 15?	3	$355	184	184	+0	No	+$12	07-15 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on May 10?	3	$343	172	172	+0	No	+$2	05-10 04:40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 11?	3	$337	171	171	+0	No	+$5	06-11 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 25?	2	$336	170	170	+0	No	+$3	06-25 17:37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on July 7?	3	$335	169	169	+0	No	+$2	07-07 18:17
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 27?	1	$325	327	0	+327	No	+$2	07-26 23:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on July 18?	2	$325	178	178	+0	No	+$32	07-18 17:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 28?	2	$310	157	157	+0	No	+$3	06-28 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 3?	2	$309	156	156	+0	No	+$3	06-02 23:34
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 11?	2	$293	297	0	+297	No	+$4	05-10 11:50
highest temperature in london on march 5 2026 13c	3	$290	146	146	+0	No	+$2	03-05 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 16?	6	$290	146	146	+0	No	+$1	06-16 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 9?	3	$287	290	0	+290	No	+$3	05-08 22:12
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 8?	3	$287	290	0	+290	No	+$3	05-07 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:41:00	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	204	96¢	$195	0x73ec4d…
10-31 16:26:09	Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	3¢	$5	0x17b4d4…
10-11 21:34:34	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	90	87¢	$78	0x6a5f52…
10-06 20:27:45	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	365	91¢	$332	0xa2d3fe…
07-31 07:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x31f367…
07-31 06:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xfa944c…
07-31 06:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x3b8f11…
07-31 06:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x3631e6…
07-31 00:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7e8a9a…
07-26 23:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 27?	No	BUY	327	100¢	$325	0x519aee…
07-26 04:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xbd1400…
07-26 04:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x622461…
07-26 04:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x98d65b…
07-26 04:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x261abd…
07-26 00:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3e2342…
07-25 22:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xb1c7b9…
07-25 22:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x7b93df…
07-25 22:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x6164ea…
07-25 22:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x818bb3…
07-25 22:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x772c48…
07-25 22:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x79ec1a…
07-25 22:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x969b16…
07-25 22:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0x6a123b…
07-25 22:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x0761ea…
07-25 22:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	15	77¢	$11	0xf8d07c…
07-25 22:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xad5df9…
07-25 22:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x367c00…
07-25 22:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xfc5f1b…
07-25 22:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$0	0xf9545f…
07-25 22:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xc4fd2b…
07-22 10:54:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 22?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x66fd35…
07-22 10:54:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 22?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x62f24c…
07-22 10:54:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 22?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x53669b…
07-22 10:54:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 22?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x0c7ed5…
07-22 10:54:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 22?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x8c81b3…
07-22 04:26:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 22?	No	BUY	205	97¢	$200	0x02c331…
07-22 04:26:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 22?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xd47883…
07-21 18:29:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0xe3099b…
07-21 18:12:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc1bffe…
07-21 17:45:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x34e1c1…
07-21 01:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x1e08c0…
07-21 01:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x478985…
07-21 01:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xabbb48…
07-21 01:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x042ac5…
07-21 01:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x10fa09…
07-21 01:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x018b5d…
07-21 01:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xaad523…
07-21 01:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x390cca…
07-21 01:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x75a3d0…
07-21 01:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x019147…
07-21 00:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x4627b9…
07-21 00:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x5c937f…
07-21 00:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xa70f81…
07-21 00:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	77	86¢	$66	0x44dc4b…
07-20 23:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xb88739…
07-20 22:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x07caa6…
07-20 22:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 21?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xce4323…
07-20 22:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 21?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0d2261…
07-20 22:12:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x1d68f0…
07-20 22:12:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x57849d…
07-20 22:00:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd4fb85…
07-20 21:56:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 21?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x6fa934…
07-19 14:26:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc12309…
07-18 18:09:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 18?	No	BUY	419	100¢	$417	0x308dd4…
07-18 17:43:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 18?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x56078f…
07-18 17:31:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on July 18?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0x6b45db…
07-17 16:18:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on July 17?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x7b72e9…
07-17 15:52:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on July 17?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x8449a5…
07-17 15:47:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on July 17?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x1bc09a…
07-17 15:40:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on July 17?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x8bfcc2…
07-17 15:40:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on July 17?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0xcd0c9e…
07-17 15:32:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x815627…
07-17 15:31:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x27aee3…
07-17 15:30:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x1f61d4…
07-17 15:30:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xaa2260…
07-17 15:30:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xbd251f…
07-17 15:30:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x8d72f5…
07-17 15:30:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x43ab6b…
07-17 08:23:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on July 17?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x004c55…
07-17 08:02:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xccc3eb…
07-17 07:56:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on July 17?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5a0b23…
07-17 07:50:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on July 18?	No	BUY	178	82¢	$146	0xc1e3ab…
07-17 07:47:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xe708b2…
07-16 21:32:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on July 17?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x858429…
07-16 20:18:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xa69ed0…
07-16 20:18:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x9bb961…
07-16 20:18:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe6009f…
07-16 20:18:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x2ffb4d…
07-16 20:18:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x3e64d4…
07-16 19:59:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x9626b5…
07-16 19:57:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xaab4ae…
07-16 19:54:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x2bc5ce…
07-16 19:38:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?	No	BUY	18	63¢	$12	0x97372a…
07-16 14:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdc4144…
07-16 14:40:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2b8a70…
07-16 13:55:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xb21a7b…
07-15 16:12:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 15?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$183	0xcdb16c…
07-15 14:54:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 15?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xdc74ba…
07-15 11:55:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 15?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x27fb71…
07-15 11:55:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 15?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xf7e5e5…