Sturdy-Hemisphere — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.56K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

44,174

Trades

92,780

lifetime

Volume

$219.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 23:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 296 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 49% -$2,007

Other

20% 42% -$241

Politics

0% 0% -$307

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 2988 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 12 2026 26c	4	$1.2K	1,020	200	+820	Yes	+$35	04-13 02:14
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 77forbelow	2	$958	500	498	+2	Yes	+$38	04-17 23:44
highest temperature in paris on april 11 2026 18corbelow	4	$778	876	0	+876	Yes	+$98	04-10 14:59
highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 74forhigher	5	$581	327	323	+3	No	+$68	04-24 23:12
highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 55forbelow	12	$570	315	313	+2	Yes	+$57	04-22 23:30
highest temperature in seoul on april 19 2026 24corhigher	8	$556	804	100	+704	Yes	-$339	04-19 02:09
highest temperature in chongqing on april 20 2026 20c	15	$516	283	281	+2	Yes	+$46	04-20 11:00
highest temperature in panama city on april 15 2026 32corhigher	4	$509	272	270	+2	Yes	+$33	04-15 17:05
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$302	983	0	+983	No	-$302	10-25 23:34
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	12	$248	233	230	+3	Yes	-$93	04-21 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 22?	3	$201	113	113	+0	Yes	+$25	05-22 10:47
bitcoin up or down january 3 7pm et	2	$196	100	100	+0	Up	+$4	01-04 00:56
highest temperature in wuhan on april 20 2026 23c	5	$191	102	102	+0	Yes	+$12	04-20 10:40
highest temperature in dallas on april 13 2026 82forhigher	3	$188	100	99	+1	Yes	+$11	04-13 20:37
highest temperature in madrid on april 11 2026 23corhigher	8	$177	103	102	+1	Yes	+$27	04-11 15:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 18:15 UTC	4	$137	70	70	+0	Down	+$2	01-07 18:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 18:15 UTC	5	$136	70	70	+0	Up	+$2	01-07 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 64°F or higher on April 26?	7	$124	68	68	+1	No	+$12	04-26 18:41
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 16:30 UTC	5	$121	80	48	+32	Up	+$6	01-09 16:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 17:00 UTC	5	$114	80	40	+40	Down	+$5	01-09 17:12
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 16:15 UTC	3	$113	80	40	+40	Down	+$6	01-09 16:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 18:00 UTC	3	$113	80	40	+40	Down	+$6	01-09 18:12
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 17:45 UTC	4	$112	80	40	+40	Up	+$7	01-09 17:57
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 16:45 UTC	3	$112	80	40	+40	Up	+$8	01-09 16:58
highest temperature in toronto on april 15 2026 18corbelow	8	$108	99	97	+2	No	+$52	04-15 21:45
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 24corhigher	6	$103	58	58	+0	Yes	+$13	04-08 13:52
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 12:45 UTC	10	$102	125	25	+100	Down	-$53	01-10 13:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 13:15 UTC	3	$100	125	25	+100	Down	-$51	01-10 13:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 01:15 UTC	2	$97	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	01-10 01:30
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 02:00 UTC	5	$97	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	01-10 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:34:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	504	6¢	$32	0xf68b85…
10-25 23:30:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x10f358…
10-25 21:14:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	67¢	$200	0x4b0fef…
10-25 20:55:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	99	65¢	$65	0xc13eef…
10-25 04:08:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x2ec49e…
10-25 04:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x0a4cf0…
10-25 04:02:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x842c49…
10-25 04:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb3e7e2…
10-24 22:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x83a7ba…
10-24 06:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x743825…
10-24 04:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x165d38…
10-24 04:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9563a4…
10-24 02:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2a92b6…
10-23 22:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x41279d…
10-23 16:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xf6bf24…
10-23 16:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0xd30f01…
10-23 16:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x3051e5…
10-23 16:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xeb78e9…
10-23 16:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x61d352…
10-23 16:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x8b667d…
10-23 16:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe82d59…
10-23 11:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xec778f…
10-23 11:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x8a415e…
10-23 10:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x265b93…
10-23 09:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8ac6de…
10-23 08:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa185b9…
10-23 07:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x70a915…
10-23 07:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5879f1…
10-23 07:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8df763…
10-23 07:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfab1b2…
10-23 06:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x309fc0…
10-23 06:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8d7852…
10-23 06:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf9f463…
10-23 06:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xd89371…
10-23 06:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb95e6a…
10-23 05:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7c167d…
10-23 04:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc9bdcb…
10-23 03:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xbac7c9…
10-23 03:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xa70abc…
10-23 03:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x76a519…
10-23 02:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc96524…
10-23 01:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc2bf8f…
10-23 01:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xece7bc…
10-23 01:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x0c559f…
10-23 00:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x7c06c0…
10-23 00:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xb56be1…
10-23 00:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x5f292e…
10-23 00:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x35c9e1…
10-23 00:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x100e6e…
10-22 23:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4c3b45…
10-22 23:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd84e30…
10-22 23:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1875eb…
10-22 23:02:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe1c4fb…
10-22 22:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x8aea90…
10-22 22:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xfbf2f5…
10-22 22:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xe4cd21…
10-22 22:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x13617c…
10-22 22:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xffa72e…
10-22 22:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfbf1b3…
10-22 18:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2c7ab7…
10-22 14:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xb3cc22…
10-22 14:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x8e4fae…
10-22 12:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x410f02…
10-22 10:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc9ca40…
10-22 08:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xe50e39…
10-22 08:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x332c20…
10-22 08:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5f7652…
10-22 06:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8ec56e…
10-22 06:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xb80a79…
10-22 05:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdbd967…
10-22 01:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc2f7a9…
10-22 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xd943b8…
10-22 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xb8f37a…
10-21 23:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8cd806…
10-21 19:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xf3f056…
10-21 19:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xd507d8…
10-21 16:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1b15d5…
10-21 14:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xc44a5a…
10-21 14:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x0e3bb6…
10-21 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x641809…
10-21 14:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x429ab9…
10-21 13:48:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4e265a…
10-21 12:59:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x8f5fce…
10-21 12:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0xe89253…
10-21 12:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0xbb1e34…
10-21 11:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xfa0710…
10-21 09:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x22076a…
10-21 08:29:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xb07b5b…
10-21 07:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x6f13e1…
10-21 07:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2abd4b…
10-21 06:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xe7bb1c…
10-21 05:59:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x152b82…
10-21 05:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x2668f1…
10-21 05:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xe6cac8…
10-21 05:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd4d2e8…
10-21 04:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x77059a…
10-21 02:29:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x84bc2e…
10-21 02:09:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa7af93…
10-21 01:14:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf709a2…
10-21 01:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xadf319…