Sturdy-Hemisphere — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.9%

Resolved

Trades

29,965

lifetime

Volume

$160.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-30 11:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 43% $-16

Other

12% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 669 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 12 2026 26c	4	$1.2K	1,020	200	+820	open	—	04-13 02:14
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 77forbelow	2	$958	500	498	+2	open	—	04-17 23:44
highest temperature in paris on april 11 2026 18corbelow	4	$778	876	0	+876	open	—	04-10 14:59
highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 74forhigher	5	$581	327	323	+3	open	—	04-24 23:12
highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 55forbelow	12	$570	315	313	+2	open	—	04-22 23:30
highest temperature in seoul on april 19 2026 24corhigher	8	$556	804	100	+704	open	—	04-19 02:09
highest temperature in chongqing on april 20 2026 20c	15	$516	283	281	+2	open	—	04-20 11:00
highest temperature in panama city on april 15 2026 32corhigher	4	$509	272	270	+2	open	—	04-15 17:05
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	12	$248	233	230	+3	open	—	04-21 00:09
bitcoin up or down january 3 7pm et	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	01-04 00:56
highest temperature in wuhan on april 20 2026 23c	5	$191	102	102	+0	open	—	04-20 10:40
highest temperature in dallas on april 13 2026 82forhigher	3	$188	100	99	+1	open	—	04-13 20:37
highest temperature in madrid on april 11 2026 23corhigher	8	$177	103	102	+1	open	—	04-11 15:06
eth updown 15m 1767809700	4	$137	70	70	+0	open	—	01-07 18:30
btc updown 15m 1767809700	5	$136	70	70	+0	open	—	01-07 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 64°F or higher on April 26?	7	$124	68	68	+1	open	—	04-26 18:41
xrp updown 15m 1767976200	5	$121	80	48	+32	open	—	01-09 16:45
xrp updown 15m 1767978000	5	$114	80	40	+40	open	—	01-09 17:12
xrp updown 15m 1767975300	3	$113	80	40	+40	open	—	01-09 16:28
xrp updown 15m 1767981600	3	$113	80	40	+40	open	—	01-09 18:12
xrp updown 15m 1767980700	4	$112	80	40	+40	open	—	01-09 17:57
xrp updown 15m 1767977100	3	$112	80	40	+40	open	—	01-09 16:58
highest temperature in toronto on april 15 2026 18corbelow	8	$108	99	97	+2	open	—	04-15 21:45
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 24corhigher	6	$103	58	58	+0	open	—	04-08 13:52
xrp updown 15m 1768049100	10	$102	125	25	+100	open	—	01-10 13:00
xrp updown 15m 1768050900	3	$100	125	25	+100	open	—	01-10 13:28
xrp updown 15m 1768010400	5	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	01-10 02:14
sol updown 15m 1768007700	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	01-10 01:30
xrp updown 15m 1768005900	3	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	01-10 01:00
xrp updown 15m 1768009500	4	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	01-10 02:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 11:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4cd6f4…
05-30 11:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf7b2a9…
05-30 11:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x04426e…
05-30 11:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe887ca…
05-30 11:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x402f22…
05-30 11:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf81565…
05-30 11:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa111e3…
05-30 10:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x80f7b8…
05-30 10:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x4ca792…
05-30 10:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x191344…
05-29 20:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6f9a36…
05-29 19:29:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xc25a3e…
05-29 19:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xad3443…
05-29 19:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x58359a…
05-29 17:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xe862d2…
05-29 17:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xcb651d…
05-29 16:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb63fcb…
05-29 16:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x8d6e9a…
05-29 16:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2b3138…
05-29 16:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x56764a…
05-29 16:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xe66853…
05-29 16:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x48c280…
05-29 16:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xdad443…
05-29 16:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x4ee78f…
05-29 16:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xb5e802…
05-29 16:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x0473ee…
05-29 16:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x0d8474…
05-29 16:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xda3ba5…
05-29 16:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb7e1ec…
05-29 16:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x5d12ad…
05-29 16:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc7e5fb…
05-29 16:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xbdb1b4…
05-29 16:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xf66271…
05-29 16:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xecd327…
05-29 16:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x9585ad…
05-29 16:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x9accdc…
05-29 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x7f429f…
05-29 15:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x64b295…
05-29 15:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x15f573…
05-29 15:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x209cb6…
05-29 15:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xff9571…
05-29 15:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xb5dad6…
05-29 15:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x788824…
05-29 15:44:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x05ebfb…
05-29 15:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x03343f…
05-29 15:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x2d138a…
05-29 15:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x8a7576…
05-29 15:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9315bb…
05-29 15:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x57a711…
05-29 15:15:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x14f134…
05-29 15:00:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc83f4f…
05-29 15:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x63a812…
05-29 14:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xbdaaad…
05-29 08:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd0aa55…
05-29 07:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7b8852…
05-29 03:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x959915…
05-28 23:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x76222f…
05-28 23:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe6a075…
05-28 22:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe36656…
05-28 22:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xdc4c79…
05-28 22:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x93d836…
05-28 22:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8207bb…
05-28 21:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1d919e…
05-28 21:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4b2a5c…
05-28 20:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf8eab8…
05-28 20:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x296b3b…
05-28 20:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xd87deb…
05-28 20:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x02650f…
05-28 20:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xa48c59…
05-28 20:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9ab1f7…
05-28 20:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0a2510…
05-28 20:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xd76c61…
05-28 20:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x04a368…
05-28 20:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x0fc65a…
05-28 19:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x21b075…
05-28 19:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xb50d85…
05-28 19:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x799c3d…
05-28 19:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x58947d…
05-28 19:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x3a8fa2…
05-28 19:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x9952ca…
05-28 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x1c91ed…
05-28 19:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x3cf3bd…
05-28 19:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfac051…
05-28 19:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xff98a9…
05-28 19:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xcf23f5…
05-28 19:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x549591…
05-28 19:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xe87d2f…
05-28 19:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xfb890e…
05-28 19:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xff949b…
05-28 19:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x7ff1a3…
05-28 19:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6d23eb…
05-28 19:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xc1a729…
05-28 19:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xfbfad7…
05-28 19:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xb0211f…
05-28 19:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x845f80…
05-28 19:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5effbc…
05-28 19:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x01b22c…
05-28 19:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xc21bed…
05-28 19:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x3b360e…
05-28 19:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x198b43…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x375e…b7b4	954	$2.44K	3,886	01-27 01:12
(anonymous) 0x3415…71b7	943	$4.68K	956	01-27 01:07
(anonymous) 0x2645…5ad2	937	$1.30K	938	01-14 22:52
(anonymous) 0xcbd5…d185	929	$1.30K	931	01-27 01:07
(anonymous) 0xf49a…f9ba	928	$6.88K	16,550	01-27 01:12
Suburban-Classic 0x425c…a16e	923	$18.7K	1,494	01-27 00:45
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	923	$1.82K	3,936	04-24 10:30
(anonymous) 0xcaf3…84a4	916	$4.42K	926	01-27 01:10