Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 15?
open
Total volume
$602
$508 in 24h
Trades
48
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$28,455
Latest YES mid
52¢
Latest NO mid
48¢
End date
2026-11-15
First seen
2026-11-13
last 11-14 00:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-35.9¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $160
vs crowd: 53% YES on $602)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $131 | $98 | +$33 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $56 | $157 | $101 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $122 | $15 | +$107 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $12 | $11 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $28 | $132 | $104 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $115 | $4 | +$111 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 5 | $31 | $19 | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $5 | $7 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $142 | $108 | +$34 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | No | +203 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 11-13 11:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | +193 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 11-14 00:00 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +100 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 11-13 11:20 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +100 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 11-13 11:20 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +98 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 11-13 11:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | +86 | $41 | $41 | 4 | 11-14 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | +50 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 11-13 11:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | +40 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 11-14 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x31c2…34cd | Yes | +37 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-13 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | No | +36 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 11-13 16:38 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +30 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 11-13 11:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +27 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 11-13 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xca08…28a0 | Yes | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-13 11:20 |
| Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-14 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-14 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | Yes | +16 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 11-13 23:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x0172…4e84 | Yes | +16 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-13 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x71e3…4333 | No | +16 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-13 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x72da…a89e | Yes | +14 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-13 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xca08…28a0 | No | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-13 16:00 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 16:25 |
| Evil-Recession 0xa86b…96b8 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ca4…6aa2 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-13 11:20 |
| Lively-Cormorant 0x7328…dbff | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-13 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ef…c476 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-13 11:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b52…6d8c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-13 06:07 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-13 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7c3…36dd | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-13 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ef…c476 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x5662…0b10 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-13 16:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xa568…bd84 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-13 16:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f3a…9ef2 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 23:08 |
| Pointless-Handover 0x1dfe…b4f9 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9e8…02cc | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 11:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-14 00:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 34 | 47¢ | $16 | 0x388a47… |
| 11-14 00:00:04 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x388a47… |
| 11-14 00:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 94 | 53¢ | $50 | 0x388a47… |
| 11-14 00:00:04 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x388a47… |
| 11-14 00:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x388a47… |
| 11-13 23:28:33 | (anonymous) 0x31c2…34cd | Yes | BUY | 37 | 53¢ | $20 | 0xdec342… |
| 11-13 23:28:33 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xdec342… |
| 11-13 23:28:33 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xdec342… |
| 11-13 23:28:33 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 12 | 46¢ | $5 | 0xdec342… |
| 11-13 23:08:06 | (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xd11ded… |
| 11-13 23:08:06 | (anonymous) 0x4f3a…9ef2 | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xd11ded… |
| 11-13 19:26:21 | Lively-Cormorant 0x7328…dbff | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xd3bb9e… |
| 11-13 19:26:21 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xd3bb9e… |
| 11-13 16:38:21 | (anonymous) 0xa568…bd84 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x10be53… |
| 11-13 16:38:21 | (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x10be53… |
| 11-13 16:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xf6db31… |
| 11-13 16:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x5662…0b10 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xf6db31… |
| 11-13 16:25:42 | (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x11100e… |
| 11-13 16:25:42 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x11100e… |
| 11-13 16:00:04 | (anonymous) 0xca08…28a0 | No | BUY | 12 | 49¢ | $6 | 0x165a70… |
| 11-13 16:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 18 | 49¢ | $9 | 0x165a70… |
| 11-13 16:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 51¢ | $50 | 0x165a70… |
| 11-13 16:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 35 | 49¢ | $17 | 0x165a70… |
| 11-13 16:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | No | BUY | 34 | 49¢ | $17 | 0x165a70… |
| 11-13 15:52:04 | (anonymous) 0xa568…bd84 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xf5a7ba… |
| 11-13 15:52:04 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xf5a7ba… |
| 11-13 11:56:18 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xc1299d… |
| 11-13 11:56:18 | Pointless-Handover 0x1dfe…b4f9 | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xc1299d… |
| 11-13 11:20:45 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x350cfd… |
| 11-13 11:20:45 | (anonymous) 0x1ca4…6aa2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x350cfd… |
| 11-13 11:20:45 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x1e5f14… |
| 11-13 11:20:45 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…02cc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x1e5f14… |
| 11-13 11:20:43 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 57¢ | $17 | 0x890751… |
| 11-13 11:20:43 | (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | No | BUY | 203 | 44¢ | $89 | 0x890751… |
| 11-13 11:20:43 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 56¢ | $27 | 0x890751… |
| 11-13 11:20:43 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 56¢ | $56 | 0x890751… |
| 11-13 11:20:43 | (anonymous) 0x48ef…c476 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x890751… |
| 11-13 11:20:43 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 98 | 55¢ | $54 | 0xa13797… |
| 11-13 11:20:43 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 100 | 45¢ | $45 | 0xa13797… |
| 11-13 11:20:43 | (anonymous) 0xca08…28a0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0x890751… |
| 11-13 11:20:43 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xa13797… |
| 11-13 09:46:31 | (anonymous) 0x71e3…4333 | No | BUY | 16 | 51¢ | $8 | 0xb41871… |
| 11-13 09:46:31 | (anonymous) 0x0172…4e84 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 49¢ | $8 | 0xb41871… |
| 11-13 08:31:45 | Evil-Recession 0xa86b…96b8 | No | BUY | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x7fc1ea… |
| 11-13 08:31:45 | (anonymous) 0xd7c3…36dd | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x7fc1ea… |
| 11-13 08:31:45 | (anonymous) 0x72da…a89e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 46¢ | $6 | 0x7fc1ea… |
| 11-13 06:07:18 | (anonymous) 0x2b52…6d8c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x589afb… |
| 11-13 06:07:18 | (anonymous) 0x48ef…c476 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x589afb… |