Swift-Condition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.90K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

3,680

Trades

11,850

lifetime

Volume

$197.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 51% -$2,009

Other

5% 54% +$111

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 646 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 2	12	$10.0K	6,601	6,601	+0	Up	+$3,233	02-02 17:29
bitcoin up or down on january 11	72	$8.0K	15,725	0	+15,725	Up	+$7,705	01-10 17:46
bitcoin up or down on january 12	72	$8.0K	15,473	0	+15,473	Up	+$7,466	01-11 17:21
bitcoin up or down on january 8	7	$8.0K	15,695	0	+15,695	Down	-$8,004	01-07 17:02
bitcoin up or down on january 10	42	$8.0K	17,082	0	+17,082	Down	-$8,002	01-09 18:15
bitcoin up or down on january 9	37	$5.4K	10,664	0	+10,664	Up	+$5,226	01-08 20:02
bitcoin up or down on january 14	17	$4.4K	3,925	3,925	+0	Up	+$353	01-13 18:49
bitcoin up or down on january 7	7	$4.0K	7,925	0	+7,925	Down	-$4,002	01-06 17:18
bitcoin up or down on january 4	7	$4.0K	7,925	0	+7,925	Up	+$3,923	01-03 17:09
bitcoin up or down on january 22	9	$3.4K	6,588	0	+6,588	Up	+$3,228	01-21 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:30 UTC	3	$3.2K	2,654	1,724	+930	Up	+$289	02-20 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:55 UTC	49	$2.5K	4,218	1,231	+2,988	Down	-$80	02-19 22:57
bitcoin up or down on january 6	1	$2.0K	3,925	0	+3,925	Down	-$2,002	01-05 11:56
bitcoin up or down on january 5	1	$2.0K	3,925	0	+3,925	Up	+$1,923	01-03 17:56
bitcoin up or down on january 2	29	$2.0K	3,925	0	+3,925	Up	+$1,923	01-01 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:10 UTC	3	$1.9K	3,841	1,905	+1,936	Down	+$47	02-20 14:13
bitcoin up or down on january 13	41	$1.9K	3,794	0	+3,794	Up	+$1,859	01-12 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:55 UTC	44	$1.9K	3,599	1,768	+1,831	Down	+$138	02-20 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:15 UTC	5	$1.9K	2,701	1,239	+1,463	Down	-$317	02-20 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:20 UTC	3	$1.8K	3,205	1,737	+1,468	Down	-$120	02-19 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:35 UTC	3	$1.8K	3,162	1,349	+1,813	Up	+$165	02-19 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:05 UTC	4	$1.8K	4,456	2,191	+2,265	Up	+$546	02-20 14:08
bitcoin up or down on january 3	37	$1.8K	3,438	0	+3,438	Down	-$1,753	01-02 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:15 UTC	4	$1.7K	3,267	1,544	+1,723	Down	+$92	02-20 18:19
bitcoin up or down on january 21	25	$1.7K	3,294	0	+3,294	Down	-$1,680	01-20 17:02
bitcoin up or down on february 1	6	$1.7K	3,294	0	+3,294	Down	-$1,680	01-31 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:20 UTC	3	$1.7K	3,592	0	+3,592	Up	-$833	02-20 18:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:05 UTC	2	$1.7K	3,102	0	+3,102	Down	-$283	02-20 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:45 UTC	28	$1.7K	2,677	1,109	+1,568	Down	+$114	02-19 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	2,429	831	+1,598	Down	-$1,384	02-19 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x148c1a…
10-27 12:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xdf0a99…
10-27 12:00:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf18da2…
10-27 11:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xee96a5…
10-27 11:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xd6460c…
10-27 11:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x41fb59…
10-27 11:33:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x21a99d…
10-27 11:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x790ef0…
10-27 11:30:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x9aa5fd…
10-27 11:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x23a08f…
10-27 11:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xfcf87b…
10-27 11:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1d1fdd…
10-27 11:17:18	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x3b4fc7…
10-27 11:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xf7bbfc…
10-27 11:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xf982a1…
10-27 11:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x33bb59…
10-27 11:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x114b0a…
10-27 11:06:59	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x3e6aef…
10-27 11:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x9947a5…
10-27 11:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x676078…
10-27 11:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x1f2154…
10-27 10:59:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd97662…
10-27 10:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xab65aa…
10-27 10:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa6894a…
10-27 10:54:38	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x62d679…
10-27 10:53:57	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdd58b5…
10-27 10:35:57	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x5fccee…
10-27 10:32:57	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x543248…
10-27 10:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x9275d0…
10-27 10:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xbe4345…
10-27 10:00:54	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x9941a3…
10-27 10:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x7e46e8…
10-27 10:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x83f491…
10-27 09:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x7b2f0b…
10-27 09:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x6c7afd…
10-27 09:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x7d061f…
10-27 09:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe46116…
10-27 09:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xe39139…
10-27 09:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6c64e6…
10-27 09:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6d2319…
10-27 09:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xa7a41b…
10-27 09:52:35	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x34e96e…
10-27 09:51:54	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xb845db…
10-27 09:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x405ad4…
10-27 09:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x09ee29…
10-27 09:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x0ba5e2…
10-27 09:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x9ac0c1…
10-27 09:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x18186f…
10-27 09:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x7770e7…
10-27 09:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x7d789c…
10-27 09:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xe7276d…
10-27 09:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc42a1d…
10-27 09:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x62d853…
10-27 09:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xdabe57…
10-27 09:17:33	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xd0d644…
10-27 09:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xf4cd8e…
10-27 09:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x1c783a…
10-27 09:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x52dda7…
10-27 09:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xa4f32f…
10-27 09:10:32	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x8846b8…
10-27 09:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xbaacb0…
10-27 09:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x875f2b…
10-27 09:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xad4ccf…
10-27 09:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3aea96…
10-27 08:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xebb20e…
10-27 08:46:12	highest temperature in chengdu on october 29 2026 21c	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x327c40…
10-27 08:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x66cffd…
10-27 08:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x763631…
10-27 08:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x21cb84…
10-27 08:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xd71070…
10-27 08:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x2bd81a…
10-27 08:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x70d89a…
10-27 08:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x3e9500…
10-27 08:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x52ebf5…
10-27 08:19:30	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdcfcdd…
10-27 08:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x2ced2f…
10-27 08:15:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd24c71…
10-27 08:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb2a5a5…
10-27 08:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xa32535…
10-27 07:48:47	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x54b8fe…
10-27 07:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x9b64cf…
10-27 07:41:47	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbad50a…
10-27 07:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xe64845…
10-27 07:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xad97d2…
10-27 07:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x35fddd…
10-27 07:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x68122c…
10-27 07:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x7a940e…
10-27 07:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x395954…
10-27 07:11:06	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7cbc87…
10-27 07:10:45	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfbcf51…
10-27 07:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x5866b6…
10-27 07:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x1e3136…
10-27 07:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x49948a…
10-27 06:58:45	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xd540ac…
10-27 06:50:24	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8055ff…
10-27 06:41:05	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0368b3…
10-27 06:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xe6d31b…
10-27 06:25:24	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1667fd…
10-27 06:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xed07b9…
10-27 06:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x0c4e3a…