Swift-Condition — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$294

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved (90d)

1,254

Trades (90d)

4,684

13,534 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$16.9K

$203.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 51% -$2,009

Other

8% 56% +$294

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 646 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 2	12	$10.0K	6,601	6,601	+0	Up	+$3,233	02-02 17:29
bitcoin up or down on january 11	72	$8.0K	15,725	0	+15,725	Up	+$7,705	01-10 17:46
bitcoin up or down on january 12	72	$8.0K	15,473	0	+15,473	Up	+$7,466	01-11 17:21
bitcoin up or down on january 8	7	$8.0K	15,695	0	+15,695	Down	-$8,004	01-07 17:02
bitcoin up or down on january 10	42	$8.0K	17,082	0	+17,082	Down	-$8,002	01-09 18:15
bitcoin up or down on january 9	37	$5.4K	10,664	0	+10,664	Up	+$5,226	01-08 20:02
bitcoin up or down on january 14	17	$4.4K	3,925	3,925	+0	Up	+$353	01-13 18:49
bitcoin up or down on january 7	7	$4.0K	7,925	0	+7,925	Down	-$4,002	01-06 17:18
bitcoin up or down on january 4	7	$4.0K	7,925	0	+7,925	Up	+$3,923	01-03 17:09
bitcoin up or down on january 22	9	$3.4K	6,588	0	+6,588	Up	+$3,228	01-21 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:30 UTC	3	$3.2K	2,654	1,724	+930	Up	+$289	02-20 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:55 UTC	49	$2.5K	4,218	1,231	+2,988	Down	-$80	02-19 22:57
bitcoin up or down on january 6	1	$2.0K	3,925	0	+3,925	Down	-$2,002	01-05 11:56
bitcoin up or down on january 5	1	$2.0K	3,925	0	+3,925	Up	+$1,923	01-03 17:56
bitcoin up or down on january 2	29	$2.0K	3,925	0	+3,925	Up	+$1,923	01-01 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:10 UTC	3	$1.9K	3,841	1,905	+1,936	Down	+$47	02-20 14:13
bitcoin up or down on january 13	41	$1.9K	3,794	0	+3,794	Up	+$1,859	01-12 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:55 UTC	44	$1.9K	3,599	1,768	+1,831	Down	+$138	02-20 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:15 UTC	5	$1.9K	2,701	1,239	+1,463	Down	-$317	02-20 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:20 UTC	3	$1.8K	3,205	1,737	+1,468	Down	-$120	02-19 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:35 UTC	3	$1.8K	3,162	1,349	+1,813	Up	+$165	02-19 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:05 UTC	4	$1.8K	4,456	2,191	+2,265	Up	+$546	02-20 14:08
bitcoin up or down on january 3	37	$1.8K	3,438	0	+3,438	Down	-$1,753	01-02 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:15 UTC	4	$1.7K	3,267	1,544	+1,723	Down	+$92	02-20 18:19
bitcoin up or down on january 21	25	$1.7K	3,294	0	+3,294	Down	-$1,680	01-20 17:02
bitcoin up or down on february 1	6	$1.7K	3,294	0	+3,294	Down	-$1,680	01-31 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:20 UTC	3	$1.7K	3,592	0	+3,592	Up	-$833	02-20 18:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:05 UTC	2	$1.7K	3,102	0	+3,102	Down	-$283	02-20 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:45 UTC	28	$1.7K	2,677	1,109	+1,568	Down	+$114	02-19 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	2,429	831	+1,598	Down	-$1,384	02-19 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 14:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x98dfb3…
10-31 14:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x443e96…
10-31 14:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x965adf…
10-31 14:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xefe262…
10-31 14:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa5bfbe…
10-31 14:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$0	0x04be7c…
10-31 14:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x18af51…
10-31 14:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6a6fc3…
10-31 14:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x9d4408…
10-31 14:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8b075a…
10-31 14:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xb94dc4…
10-31 14:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa6a80e…
10-31 14:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xa0c9f4…
10-31 14:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xf9c2fb…
10-31 14:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x4597a9…
10-31 14:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x685b9d…
10-31 14:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x5307da…
10-31 14:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa09eed…
10-31 14:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x6cd02b…
10-31 14:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf177e2…
10-31 14:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb5ff30…
10-31 14:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xf06ba0…
10-31 14:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3573a8…
10-31 14:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xaf4412…
10-31 13:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x56668c…
10-31 13:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xe7ab37…
10-31 13:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xead6f0…
10-31 13:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x547b6d…
10-31 13:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xaa52ff…
10-31 13:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7b47a5…
10-31 13:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x3cb862…
10-31 13:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xcd94a8…
10-31 13:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x86e741…
10-31 13:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2dfec6…
10-31 13:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x78667e…
10-31 13:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x565293…
10-31 13:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x19df69…
10-31 13:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfdbe0c…
10-31 13:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xdc1112…
10-31 13:35:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x2826fb…
10-31 13:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x713499…
10-31 13:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x02c8d1…
10-31 13:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x7682dd…
10-31 13:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x388b02…
10-31 13:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xea54b2…
10-31 13:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xdcec1d…
10-31 13:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3b2a7f…
10-31 13:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xac28cd…
10-31 13:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xfb81c4…
10-31 13:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xba4844…
10-31 13:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x513c69…
10-31 13:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0xbd9bc3…
10-31 13:05:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc3736a…
10-31 13:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x83be67…
10-31 12:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6525fc…
10-31 12:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x7265ff…
10-31 12:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xfc8afd…
10-31 12:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa79eb1…
10-31 12:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x013478…
10-31 12:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0xee3c93…
10-31 12:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2b297d…
10-31 12:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x3bec6a…
10-31 12:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1bbd59…
10-31 12:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x54486f…
10-31 12:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x94f84f…
10-31 12:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd472cf…
10-31 12:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x6a8662…
10-31 12:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x83e6c5…
10-31 12:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x44a00a…
10-31 12:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe616f9…
10-31 12:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x2760a6…
10-31 12:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0f5f00…
10-31 12:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa87d2f…
10-31 12:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa683b5…
10-31 12:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf08fab…
10-31 12:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa29246…
10-31 12:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x29accc…
10-31 12:06:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xa9f770…
10-31 12:03:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xceab26…
10-31 12:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x5006f2…
10-31 12:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8db138…
10-31 12:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdfe1ea…
10-31 11:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x29c0c3…
10-31 11:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd429a7…
10-31 11:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcda782…
10-31 11:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xa76a83…
10-31 11:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa28594…
10-31 11:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcdb1bc…
10-31 11:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x012d9c…
10-31 11:39:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xe1cdde…
10-31 11:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2fc1ee…
10-31 11:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4c45fa…
10-31 11:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd7e111…
10-31 11:33:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x3b9352…
10-31 11:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x00abf8…
10-31 11:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x2b43d8…
10-31 11:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x363931…
10-31 11:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x204a5a…
10-31 11:22:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x9e1024…
10-31 11:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x0db782…