Swift-Condition — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$257

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved (90d)

1,184

Trades (90d)

4,293

13,143 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$15.4K

$202.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 23:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 51% -$2,009

Other

8% 55% +$257

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 646 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 2	12	$10.0K	6,601	6,601	+0	Up	+$3,233	02-02 17:29
bitcoin up or down on january 11	72	$8.0K	15,725	0	+15,725	Up	+$7,705	01-10 17:46
bitcoin up or down on january 12	72	$8.0K	15,473	0	+15,473	Up	+$7,466	01-11 17:21
bitcoin up or down on january 8	7	$8.0K	15,695	0	+15,695	Down	-$8,004	01-07 17:02
bitcoin up or down on january 10	42	$8.0K	17,082	0	+17,082	Down	-$8,002	01-09 18:15
bitcoin up or down on january 9	37	$5.4K	10,664	0	+10,664	Up	+$5,226	01-08 20:02
bitcoin up or down on january 14	17	$4.4K	3,925	3,925	+0	Up	+$353	01-13 18:49
bitcoin up or down on january 7	7	$4.0K	7,925	0	+7,925	Down	-$4,002	01-06 17:18
bitcoin up or down on january 4	7	$4.0K	7,925	0	+7,925	Up	+$3,923	01-03 17:09
bitcoin up or down on january 22	9	$3.4K	6,588	0	+6,588	Up	+$3,228	01-21 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:30 UTC	3	$3.2K	2,654	1,724	+930	Up	+$289	02-20 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:55 UTC	49	$2.5K	4,218	1,231	+2,988	Down	-$80	02-19 22:57
bitcoin up or down on january 6	1	$2.0K	3,925	0	+3,925	Down	-$2,002	01-05 11:56
bitcoin up or down on january 5	1	$2.0K	3,925	0	+3,925	Up	+$1,923	01-03 17:56
bitcoin up or down on january 2	29	$2.0K	3,925	0	+3,925	Up	+$1,923	01-01 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:10 UTC	3	$1.9K	3,841	1,905	+1,936	Down	+$47	02-20 14:13
bitcoin up or down on january 13	41	$1.9K	3,794	0	+3,794	Up	+$1,859	01-12 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:55 UTC	44	$1.9K	3,599	1,768	+1,831	Down	+$138	02-20 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:15 UTC	5	$1.9K	2,701	1,239	+1,463	Down	-$317	02-20 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:20 UTC	3	$1.8K	3,205	1,737	+1,468	Down	-$120	02-19 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:35 UTC	3	$1.8K	3,162	1,349	+1,813	Up	+$165	02-19 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:05 UTC	4	$1.8K	4,456	2,191	+2,265	Up	+$546	02-20 14:08
bitcoin up or down on january 3	37	$1.8K	3,438	0	+3,438	Down	-$1,753	01-02 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:15 UTC	4	$1.7K	3,267	1,544	+1,723	Down	+$92	02-20 18:19
bitcoin up or down on january 21	25	$1.7K	3,294	0	+3,294	Down	-$1,680	01-20 17:02
bitcoin up or down on february 1	6	$1.7K	3,294	0	+3,294	Down	-$1,680	01-31 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:20 UTC	3	$1.7K	3,592	0	+3,592	Up	-$833	02-20 18:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:05 UTC	2	$1.7K	3,102	0	+3,102	Down	-$283	02-20 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:45 UTC	28	$1.7K	2,677	1,109	+1,568	Down	+$114	02-19 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	2,429	831	+1,598	Down	-$1,384	02-19 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb75ed9…
10-30 23:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x59926a…
10-30 22:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x74bb6f…
10-30 22:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xbf9d94…
10-30 22:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x3b483f…
10-30 22:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x627392…
10-30 22:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x549773…
10-30 22:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x794beb…
10-30 22:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x2fc74e…
10-30 22:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x804e3f…
10-30 22:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xdff3be…
10-30 22:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb97c80…
10-30 22:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x941efa…
10-30 22:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xae2f2e…
10-30 22:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7d9d80…
10-30 22:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xbc856a…
10-30 22:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x2ff8cf…
10-30 22:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2b6f0f…
10-30 22:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x23c425…
10-30 22:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xc0c5bd…
10-30 22:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x35cc92…
10-30 22:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x727073…
10-30 21:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x0ce640…
10-30 21:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xb34db1…
10-30 21:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x3123c7…
10-30 21:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7ce783…
10-30 21:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 1?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc74a05…
10-30 21:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xdaa022…
10-30 21:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9f5266…
10-30 21:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x97d7db…
10-30 21:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x706ab2…
10-30 21:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xf4d89c…
10-30 21:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5a304e…
10-30 21:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x854169…
10-30 21:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x51f6a9…
10-30 21:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc0ad12…
10-30 21:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x6b37ce…
10-30 21:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xbda9ab…
10-30 20:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x858deb…
10-30 20:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0d05ab…
10-30 20:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfd5315…
10-30 20:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xf6bf8f…
10-30 20:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x965a1a…
10-30 20:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xc8e603…
10-30 20:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xf516d2…
10-30 20:16:28	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x8125ae…
10-30 20:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4c73d1…
10-30 20:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x3eda4a…
10-30 20:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xca6137…
10-30 20:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2c04e8…
10-30 20:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xe7a7b6…
10-30 20:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x88ea36…
10-30 20:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x1389dc…
10-30 19:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xa5c7ea…
10-30 19:59:09	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x65d075…
10-30 19:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x04297a…
10-30 19:54:30	highest temperature in seattle on november 1 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x05cb06…
10-30 19:53:10	highest temperature in seattle on november 1 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x5a2bd5…
10-30 19:51:49	highest temperature in seattle on november 1 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x2ba96f…
10-30 19:49:49	highest temperature in seattle on november 1 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x46f477…
10-30 19:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x45d9c3…
10-30 19:39:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf4222f…
10-30 19:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xbabd65…
10-30 19:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x12c014…
10-30 19:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x52c5ca…
10-30 19:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x1598b2…
10-30 19:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x770c9d…
10-30 19:19:06	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x5a806f…
10-30 19:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x54eec7…
10-30 19:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xaaf384…
10-30 19:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x66f4e1…
10-30 19:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x817835…
10-30 18:42:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc43212…
10-30 18:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc25e74…
10-30 18:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x414ff5…
10-30 18:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xe14a81…
10-30 18:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xc28d2c…
10-30 18:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xe2cba6…
10-30 18:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x7e50ec…
10-30 18:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xef61f3…
10-30 18:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc3a06b…
10-30 18:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x4b62f8…
10-30 17:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x439926…
10-30 17:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb6dfe4…
10-30 17:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x984209…
10-30 17:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc0a275…
10-30 17:47:01	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x03476d…
10-30 17:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x38b0db…
10-30 17:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x6f05cd…
10-30 17:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xb995a8…
10-30 17:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x9dabfa…
10-30 17:11:00	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x8fb7a7…
10-30 17:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x6bcce5…
10-30 17:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x072980…
10-30 17:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xe9ce03…
10-30 17:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x7e58d2…
10-30 17:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x24f6b4…
10-30 16:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x788ad1…
10-30 16:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x8d4068…
10-30 16:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xf1daae…