Swift-Condition — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$269

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved (30d)

1,174

Trades (30d)

4,202

13,048 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$15.1K

$202.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 51% -$2,009

Other

7% 56% +$269

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 646 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 2	12	$10.0K	6,601	6,601	+0	Up	+$3,233	02-02 17:29
bitcoin up or down on january 11	72	$8.0K	15,725	0	+15,725	Up	+$7,705	01-10 17:46
bitcoin up or down on january 12	72	$8.0K	15,473	0	+15,473	Up	+$7,466	01-11 17:21
bitcoin up or down on january 8	7	$8.0K	15,695	0	+15,695	Down	-$8,004	01-07 17:02
bitcoin up or down on january 10	42	$8.0K	17,082	0	+17,082	Down	-$8,002	01-09 18:15
bitcoin up or down on january 9	37	$5.4K	10,664	0	+10,664	Up	+$5,226	01-08 20:02
bitcoin up or down on january 14	17	$4.4K	3,925	3,925	+0	Up	+$353	01-13 18:49
bitcoin up or down on january 7	7	$4.0K	7,925	0	+7,925	Down	-$4,002	01-06 17:18
bitcoin up or down on january 4	7	$4.0K	7,925	0	+7,925	Up	+$3,923	01-03 17:09
bitcoin up or down on january 22	9	$3.4K	6,588	0	+6,588	Up	+$3,228	01-21 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:30 UTC	3	$3.2K	2,654	1,724	+930	Up	+$289	02-20 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:55 UTC	49	$2.5K	4,218	1,231	+2,988	Down	-$80	02-19 22:57
bitcoin up or down on january 6	1	$2.0K	3,925	0	+3,925	Down	-$2,002	01-05 11:56
bitcoin up or down on january 5	1	$2.0K	3,925	0	+3,925	Up	+$1,923	01-03 17:56
bitcoin up or down on january 2	29	$2.0K	3,925	0	+3,925	Up	+$1,923	01-01 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:10 UTC	3	$1.9K	3,841	1,905	+1,936	Down	+$47	02-20 14:13
bitcoin up or down on january 13	41	$1.9K	3,794	0	+3,794	Up	+$1,859	01-12 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:55 UTC	44	$1.9K	3,599	1,768	+1,831	Down	+$138	02-20 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:15 UTC	5	$1.9K	2,701	1,239	+1,463	Down	-$317	02-20 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:20 UTC	3	$1.8K	3,205	1,737	+1,468	Down	-$120	02-19 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:35 UTC	3	$1.8K	3,162	1,349	+1,813	Up	+$165	02-19 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:05 UTC	4	$1.8K	4,456	2,191	+2,265	Up	+$546	02-20 14:08
bitcoin up or down on january 3	37	$1.8K	3,438	0	+3,438	Down	-$1,753	01-02 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:15 UTC	4	$1.7K	3,267	1,544	+1,723	Down	+$92	02-20 18:19
bitcoin up or down on january 21	25	$1.7K	3,294	0	+3,294	Down	-$1,680	01-20 17:02
bitcoin up or down on february 1	6	$1.7K	3,294	0	+3,294	Down	-$1,680	01-31 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:20 UTC	3	$1.7K	3,592	0	+3,592	Up	-$833	02-20 18:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:05 UTC	2	$1.7K	3,102	0	+3,102	Down	-$283	02-20 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:45 UTC	28	$1.7K	2,677	1,109	+1,568	Down	+$114	02-19 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	2,429	831	+1,598	Down	-$1,384	02-19 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x984209…
10-30 17:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc0a275…
10-30 17:47:01	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x03476d…
10-30 17:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x38b0db…
10-30 17:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x6f05cd…
10-30 17:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xb995a8…
10-30 17:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x9dabfa…
10-30 17:11:00	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x8fb7a7…
10-30 17:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x6bcce5…
10-30 17:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x072980…
10-30 17:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xe9ce03…
10-30 17:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x7e58d2…
10-30 17:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x24f6b4…
10-30 16:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x788ad1…
10-30 16:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x8d4068…
10-30 16:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xf1daae…
10-30 16:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1fb81c…
10-30 16:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x76f6f6…
10-30 16:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9773a2…
10-30 16:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1ff66a…
10-30 16:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6f59c5…
10-30 16:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x18e519…
10-30 16:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x6bc3d3…
10-30 16:28:37	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x4ac54f…
10-30 16:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd6bb66…
10-30 16:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1adb2d…
10-30 16:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xe2fd7b…
10-30 16:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x6062e8…
10-30 16:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3a685c…
10-30 16:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe82286…
10-30 16:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xd8e2e2…
10-30 16:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5969c5…
10-30 16:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa7e715…
10-30 16:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x28c43f…
10-30 16:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x8bafdb…
10-30 15:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xd55440…
10-30 15:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x68acd7…
10-30 15:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf703c2…
10-30 15:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xa0bbdc…
10-30 15:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x495dcc…
10-30 15:43:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc9c597…
10-30 15:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x9bd32e…
10-30 15:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4b9f4a…
10-30 15:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x7fe24d…
10-30 15:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x6f42a3…
10-30 15:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xf165c6…
10-30 15:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x0735ae…
10-30 15:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc374dd…
10-30 15:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on October 30?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x1bfaba…
10-30 15:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x067d1a…
10-30 15:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x45a06c…
10-30 15:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x1ff7d0…
10-30 15:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc6ef3d…
10-30 15:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x75f08f…
10-30 15:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf01cde…
10-30 15:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x49ec6f…
10-30 15:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x9ffe79…
10-30 15:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x4b1967…
10-30 15:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x088ae7…
10-30 15:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xfcf35b…
10-30 15:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x36f869…
10-30 15:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x241ede…
10-30 15:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x2dea5c…
10-30 15:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x1a3914…
10-30 15:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8c56de…
10-30 15:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x22c829…
10-30 15:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xe3cefe…
10-30 14:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x9333b2…
10-30 14:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x78de2f…
10-30 14:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xcd1921…
10-30 14:46:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x911ea3…
10-30 14:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa177c1…
10-30 14:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x631349…
10-30 14:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe8c96f…
10-30 14:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x68eebe…
10-30 14:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x48c1b7…
10-30 14:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb1d13c…
10-30 14:11:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xefec15…
10-30 14:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x9bc8db…
10-30 14:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x622d32…
10-30 14:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7aac73…
10-30 14:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xdb76a7…
10-30 14:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x279c4e…
10-30 13:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0xe98596…
10-30 13:53:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2f9b2b…
10-30 13:49:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x9c9b6f…
10-30 13:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x6668e7…
10-30 13:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xa6f0d8…
10-30 13:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x462e5a…
10-30 13:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x7f4616…
10-30 13:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x607e4e…
10-30 13:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x3e028a…
10-30 13:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xeac068…
10-30 13:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x4ceb91…
10-30 13:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x324a01…
10-30 13:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xb3a573…
10-30 13:15:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6fcc73…
10-30 13:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3424c6…
10-30 13:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd1d70b…
10-30 13:13:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd65ec2…