Alarming-Ego — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.60K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

499

Trades

1,054

lifetime

Volume

$31.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-02 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

95% 35% +$1,439

Sports

5% 80% +$267

Crypto

1% 0% -$102

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 10 2026	7	$714	522	409	+112	Yes	+$32	01-05 22:17
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	5	$579	354	354	+0	Yes	+$105	05-27 21:05
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	10	$522	408	408	+0	Yes	+$122	09-29 17:48
will russia strike kyiv on february 22 2026	12	$515	266	605	-339	No	+$397	02-22 09:11
will russia strike kyiv on february 7 2026	6	$511	715	715	+0	No	+$111	02-06 21:26
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 20?	2	$505	306	306	+0	No	+$105	09-21 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 5?	2	$472	276	276	+0	No	+$72	10-05 04:54
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 17?	17	$470	322	322	+0	No	+$70	09-17 18:57
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$468	553	277	+277	Yes	+$102	05-30 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1?	7	$460	274	274	+0	No	+$60	10-01 06:39
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?	5	$459	654	593	+60	No	+$159	09-28 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 30?	5	$453	257	257	+0	No	+$53	09-30 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 30?	4	$448	258	258	+0	No	+$48	09-30 20:01
Will Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	4	$410	258	258	+0	Yes	+$69	05-26 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on October 3?	8	$409	244	244	+0	No	+$9	10-03 11:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 13?	7	$399	251	251	+0	No	-$1	09-13 11:20
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	13	$381	621	621	+0	Yes	+$281	09-27 23:01
will russia strike kyiv on february 12 2026	2	$361	274	274	+0	Yes	+$161	02-12 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 13?	2	$323	244	244	+0	Yes	+$163	09-13 10:40
russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 10 2026 538 895	12	$309	25,754	25,754	+0	Yes	-$2	01-09 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17?	4	$277	183	183	+0	No	+$77	09-17 13:08
russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 17	7	$270	400	200	+200	Yes	+$50	01-12 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C or higher on September 8?	4	$266	172	172	+0	No	+$66	09-08 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19?	2	$259	159	159	+0	No	+$59	09-19 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 3?	8	$248	196	196	+0	Yes	+$48	10-03 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 28?	2	$238	146	146	+0	No	+$38	09-28 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on September 12?	5	$236	260	51	+208	Yes	-$164	09-12 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 7?	5	$236	140	140	+0	No	+$36	09-07 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 29?	2	$235	136	136	+0	No	+$35	09-29 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 4?	2	$235	136	136	+0	No	+$35	10-04 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 16:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 34°C or higher on November 4?	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x897f01…
11-02 16:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x62f3a0…
11-02 16:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaf9dd0…
11-02 16:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xafdb86…
11-02 15:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x83cc4e…
11-02 15:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 3?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0758ba…
11-02 15:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xda98c0…
11-02 15:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x06b5a4…
11-02 12:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf78f46…
11-02 10:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on November 3?	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x3c9b24…
11-02 10:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 2?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$129	0x3120fd…
11-02 10:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x2d6296…
11-02 10:45:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x9a7313…
11-02 10:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd6054a…
11-02 08:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x100ef6…
11-02 08:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x84e2b7…
11-01 17:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x7d6df5…
11-01 17:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x046ebc…
11-01 17:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6350ba…
11-01 17:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd6d037…
11-01 16:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x66febc…
11-01 16:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbf5b9a…
11-01 16:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xb71adb…
11-01 16:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2?	No	SELL	86	54¢	$46	0x4cd2c8…
11-01 16:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 1?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x43058c…
11-01 08:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 1?	No	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xdd4dc6…
11-01 07:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9ee810…
11-01 07:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2?	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x987ad6…
11-01 07:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 2?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x8f82c6…
10-31 16:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 1?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd6509c…
10-08 13:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	318	24¢	$76	0xe83d2e…
10-08 13:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x9da9a8…
10-07 14:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	308	10¢	$30	0xd22e88…
10-07 12:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	443	11¢	$50	0x952ea5…
10-07 11:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	722	14¢	$100	0xe062b3…
10-07 11:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x544cd4…
10-07 11:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$10	0x2aa78e…
10-07 10:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x95f625…
10-07 07:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0xeb226f…
10-07 07:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7?	No	SELL	95	97¢	$92	0xa9200a…
10-07 07:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xac5d21…
10-07 06:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x2c33d5…
10-06 20:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x0642d8…
10-06 20:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x43dca2…
10-06 19:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x9f185c…
10-06 14:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x17ea50…
10-06 13:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	No	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x6b2007…
10-06 12:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0x1f22b8…
10-06 12:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	35	71¢	$24	0x19f06a…
10-06 12:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x0d7717…
10-06 10:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x6a908c…
10-06 10:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x1a7290…
10-06 10:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xb42353…
10-06 10:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	44	49¢	$22	0x8c5ac3…
10-06 09:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x83d718…
10-06 09:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0xc9f16b…
10-06 09:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0x9fe04c…
10-06 09:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	54	39¢	$21	0xa88970…
10-06 09:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x304dbd…
10-06 08:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	34	95¢	$33	0xe7b321…
10-06 08:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0xf44a64…
10-06 08:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	64	6¢	$4	0xac45ee…
10-06 08:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x5d9af3…
10-06 08:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x3e0e01…
10-06 08:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xfed81b…
10-06 07:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xf5776d…
10-06 07:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xb77e6c…
10-06 07:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0x965302…
10-06 07:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x9ffc3c…
10-06 07:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x93b6a6…
10-06 06:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 6?	No	SELL	83	82¢	$68	0x9681a9…
10-06 06:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 6?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x09006f…
10-06 06:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 6?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xa59ed9…
10-06 05:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 6?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0xca224b…
10-06 05:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 6?	No	SELL	55	82¢	$45	0x819922…
10-06 05:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0x2355d7…
10-05 17:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x0deb4c…
10-05 17:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	178	3¢	$6	0x8c47cf…
10-05 17:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x972ae4…
10-05 17:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9cf900…
10-05 17:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf9d069…
10-05 17:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x536666…
10-05 13:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xf8c37f…
10-05 13:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xa7bb6d…
10-05 13:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa5e409…
10-05 12:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x58f27c…
10-05 12:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x6ad41b…
10-05 12:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0xd2aa86…
10-05 12:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 5?	No	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0x504b0a…
10-05 11:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x24abd7…
10-05 11:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x2e7677…
10-05 11:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0xea47c1…
10-05 10:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	71	8¢	$6	0xd99a73…
10-05 10:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on October 5?	Yes	BUY	175	1¢	$1	0xeb7652…
10-05 10:02:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	44	25¢	$11	0x7d00c4…
10-05 09:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	53	40¢	$21	0x0343bd…
10-05 09:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 5?	No	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x5bbb11…
10-05 09:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x37d3bd…
10-05 09:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	237	1¢	$2	0x2e11a4…
10-05 08:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0x7a14a8…