Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 5?
open
Total volume
$211
$502 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$428
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 19:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $9 | $91 | $82 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $18 | $18 |
| Median | 5 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 13 | $2 | $58 | $56 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common-Beanstalk 0x3cb0…bfbf | Yes | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 08:05 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-05 09:01 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-05 09:00 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 08:00 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 08:00 |
| Sneaky-Consul 0x10a4…2895 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-05 14:52 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-05 08:00 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf16…3a05 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-04 21:09 |
| Salty-Proofreader 0x40b0…f139 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-05 19:03 |
| Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 12:25 |
| Absolute-Politics 0x3446…7e00 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 04:05 |
| Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 08:00 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 08:00 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 12:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-05 12:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbf2…f9f6 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 12:25 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 12:35 |
| Accurate-Date 0xa9c1…be67 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 08:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 19:07:52 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | No | SELL | 88 | 100¢ | $87 | 0xf7ed8a… |
| 05-05 19:03:08 | Salty-Proofreader 0x40b0…f139 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5763e1… |
| 05-05 18:54:12 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x213a26… |
| 05-05 18:54:10 | Important-Scooter 0xd721…57a7 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0a367f… |
| 05-05 18:53:10 | Important-Scooter 0xd721…57a7 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x83baba… |
| 05-05 18:34:24 | Definitive-Plot 0x3acd…3a4f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x549eae… |
| 05-05 18:12:32 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x1a3ff6… |
| 05-05 14:52:34 | Sneaky-Consul 0x10a4…2895 | No | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0xc3c025… |
| 05-05 12:35:32 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xcc71c2… |
| 05-05 12:25:26 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xba866d… |
| 05-05 12:25:26 | Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xaa5f6c… |
| 05-05 12:25:26 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x459a43… |
| 05-05 12:25:26 | (anonymous) 0xdbf2…f9f6 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xa06a36… |
| 05-05 10:10:16 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 22 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x6e9f08… |
| 05-05 10:06:34 | Salty-Proofreader 0x40b0…f139 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x093ffa… |
| 05-05 09:01:16 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 23 | 93¢ | $21 | 0xdd8c0b… |
| 05-05 09:00:58 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 16 | 93¢ | $15 | 0xa97814… |
| 05-05 08:05:16 | Accurate-Date 0xa9c1…be67 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x3852d7… |
| 05-05 08:05:14 | Common-Beanstalk 0x3cb0…bfbf | Yes | BUY | 33 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xd8e187… |
| 05-05 08:00:14 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x5ad80b… |
| 05-05 08:00:14 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x21759f… |
| 05-05 08:00:14 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xce84ec… |
| 05-05 08:00:14 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x247151… |
| 05-05 08:00:14 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x183e5b… |
| 05-05 08:00:10 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0x8b189f… |
| 05-05 05:50:12 | Young-Priest 0xfa1f…af40 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xe3589d… |
| 05-05 04:05:22 | Absolute-Politics 0x3446…7e00 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xd443b8… |
| 05-04 23:29:34 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | SELL | 9 | 82¢ | $7 | 0xf4f8e4… |
| 05-04 21:09:46 | (anonymous) 0xcf16…3a05 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x6bea8a… |