Absolute-Politics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

1,588

Trades

2,540

lifetime

Volume

$5.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-23 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Other

56% 52% -$37

Crypto

40% 84% -$12

Sports

4% 55% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 4 8am et	8	$29	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	03-04 13:31
ethereum up or down march 3 4am et	12	$23	50	20	+30	Down	+$2	03-03 10:21
bitcoin up or down march 5 3am et	4	$19	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	03-05 08:32
bitcoin up or down march 3 3am et	12	$18	147	12	+135	Down	-$5	03-03 08:40
bitcoin up or down march 5 11am et	9	$18	49	49	+0	Down	-$5	03-05 16:31
bitcoin up or down march 6 1pm et	11	$17	101	100	+0	Up	-$4	03-06 18:45
bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	6	$17	55	25	+30	Down	+$2	03-03 09:33
bitcoin up or down march 6 4am et	6	$17	37	13	+24	Down	+$2	03-06 09:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 16:15 UTC	5	$16	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	02-26 16:18
bitcoin up or down march 6 10am et	5	$16	34	0	+34	Up	+$1	03-06 15:10
FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5	2	$16	11	11	+0	Under	+$6	08-23 14:54
bitcoin up or down february 28 2pm et	6	$15	31	11	+20	Up	+$2	02-28 19:31
bitcoin up or down march 3 8am et	16	$15	196	151	+45	Down	-$2	03-03 13:51
ethereum up or down march 5 11am et	2	$14	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	03-05 16:00
bitcoin up or down march 6 12am et	6	$14	67	9	+58	Down	-$1	03-06 05:41
bitcoin up or down march 1 10am et	6	$12	25	11	+14	Down	+$1	03-01 15:22
bitcoin up or down march 3 11am et	4	$12	27	7	+20	Up	+$1	03-03 16:13
solana up or down march 5 4am et	9	$12	37	17	+20	Up	+$1	03-05 09:39
ethereum up or down march 5 6am et	5	$12	30	10	+20	Down	+$1	03-05 11:35
bitcoin up or down march 5 8am et	6	$12	53	33	+20	Down	+$1	03-05 13:47
ethereum up or down march 2 6am et	6	$12	28	14	+14	Down	+$1	03-02 11:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 08:00 UTC	7	$12	20	10	+10	Up	-$2	06-22 08:13
ethereum up or down march 3 12am et	6	$12	30	16	+14	Down	+$1	03-03 05:23
ethereum up or down march 6 6am et	2	$12	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	03-06 11:12
ethereum up or down march 6 5am et	2	$12	24	0	+24	Up	+$0	03-06 10:00
ethereum up or down march 6 9am et	2	$12	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	03-06 14:00
ethereum up or down march 6 8am et	2	$12	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	03-06 13:02
bitcoin up or down march 6 6am et	2	$12	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	03-06 11:00
ethereum up or down march 6 11am et	2	$12	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	03-06 16:00
bitcoin up or down march 6 8am et	2	$12	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	03-06 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 19:06:01	CA Belgrano vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1008a4…
08-23 19:01:57	Spread: Maringa FC PR (-1.5)	Maringa FC PR	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xe8ff90…
08-23 19:00:06	sea tor mil 2026 08 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa94afb…
08-23 15:10:06	Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2e2174…
08-23 15:08:54	Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x31e700…
08-23 15:06:03	lal mad vil 2026 08 23 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x976d79…
08-23 15:04:37	SD Eibar vs. Real Valladolid CF: SD Eibar O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe27e6f…
08-23 14:58:04	LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Heretics	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x61a384…
08-23 14:57:18	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x684202…
08-23 14:55:27	Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Sebastian Gorzny	Sebastian Gorzny	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x51552d…
08-23 14:54:00	FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xab4e2e…
08-20 08:07:45	lal mala dep 2026 08 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xae6e3d…
08-20 08:02:27	swe hif gais 2026 08 23 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x628551…
08-20 08:01:40	swe hif gais 2026 08 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe2f58d…
08-20 07:59:01	swe bro deg 2026 08 23 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x953252…
08-20 07:55:39	den hor lyn 2026 08 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xa20767…
08-20 07:53:01	dfb czj svd 2026 08 23 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x114288…
08-20 07:49:07	den mid ran 2026 08 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xda5375…
08-20 07:42:39	ere goa ado 2026 08 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd0bcaa…
08-20 07:34:40	arg cat iac 2026 08 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6b5a6d…
08-19 19:48:54	col gen hib1 2026 08 20 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x635860…
08-19 19:44:07	mls min atl 2026 08 19 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x14332d…
08-19 19:43:51	mls min atl 2026 08 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2e594d…
08-19 19:38:30	uel tra1 ftc 2026 08 20 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x16bc16…
08-19 19:35:45	uel jag sab 2026 08 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1fd956…
08-19 19:29:07	mls fcc nyc 2026 08 19 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc7b352…
08-19 19:26:48	mls dcu ner 2026 08 19 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x44930a…
08-19 19:26:15	mls dcu ner 2026 08 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2faeca…
08-19 19:22:21	ucl nec bog 2026 08 19 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xe97ef6…
08-19 19:18:19	mlb nyy bal 2026 08 19 spread away 1pt5	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x51308e…
08-19 19:10:18	atp onclin skatov 2026 08 19	Timofey Skatov	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa911b6…
08-19 19:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 19?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xac6e2d…
08-19 19:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc9cd8e…
08-19 06:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe70fc4…
08-19 06:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf35512…
08-19 06:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x911719…
08-19 06:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x6b4f2f…
08-19 06:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfb01af…
08-19 06:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xdc229a…
08-19 06:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb70887…
08-19 06:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x24525c…
08-19 06:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc7289a…
08-19 06:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x326f85…
08-19 06:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x456f65…
08-19 06:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4754fd…
08-18 19:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 18?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x5b537d…
08-18 19:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 18?	No	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x1ad650…
08-18 19:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 18?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xee2ecb…
08-18 08:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0b1ed3…
08-18 08:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8880ce…
08-18 08:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x51c6a9…
08-18 08:30:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x6c64c3…
08-18 08:29:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbdea05…
08-18 08:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x1d3b99…
08-18 08:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb7391e…
08-18 08:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5a1196…
08-18 08:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa43f13…
08-18 08:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0feec8…
08-18 08:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x71ca88…
08-18 08:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 18?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9c549f…
08-18 08:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc9fc3f…
08-18 08:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x69a2a1…
08-18 08:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc30167…
08-18 08:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x19093f…
08-18 07:30:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb3d266…
08-18 07:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa4f945…
08-18 07:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x77cdc3…
08-18 07:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 18?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa87467…
08-18 03:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2489b9…
08-18 03:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaff753…
08-18 03:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xcd95a8…
08-18 03:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xb9c06d…
08-18 03:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x094464…
08-17 18:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x6f20cd…
08-17 18:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xb6a226…
08-17 09:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8ba51e…
08-17 09:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x79ffba…
08-17 09:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9efdb8…
08-17 09:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x9a54f1…
08-17 09:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x649223…
08-17 08:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf70015…
08-17 08:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf77a28…
08-17 08:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3d4e48…
08-17 08:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0a6fa6…
08-17 08:41:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb74ae7…
08-17 08:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0950eb…
08-17 08:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc64f2b…
08-16 19:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x71026d…
08-16 08:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x08deab…
08-14 19:10:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xf207e1…
08-14 19:10:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xde3a05…
08-14 18:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xaf0d1f…
08-14 18:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc5c59e…
08-14 18:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x29e2ea…
08-14 18:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x998898…
08-13 15:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xe27d36…
08-13 15:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe71258…
08-13 15:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x094088…
08-13 15:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x19c8dc…
08-13 14:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6697ee…