Kind-Capitulation 0x53d89d…8175f6
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
117
lifetime
Volume
$203
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$23
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-20
last 06-16 06:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
66% — —
Other
17% — —
Crypto
15% — —
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +5 $3 93¢ $5 +$1 06-08 21:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-12 16:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 06-12 17:30
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 06-11 17:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +5 $1 44¢ $2 +$1 06-11 22:09
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +12 $1 10¢ $1 +$1 06-06 00:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-12 15:05
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-08 19:41
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +33 $1 3¢ $1 $-0 05-30 08:43
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-15 05:21
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +12 $1 3¢ $0 $-1 06-14 07:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +30 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-10 01:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +5 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 06-11 20:54