Tall-Rule — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.7%

Resolved

145

Trades

480

lifetime

Volume

$477

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-01 06:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

63% 12% -$4

Politics

27% 8% -$1

Crypto

7% 20% +$0

Sports

3% 0% $0

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	30	$29	25	25	+0	No	-$1	02-10 00:23
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	22	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	07-23 01:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	07-28 01:22
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	11	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	07-21 01:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	9	$10	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	01-20 09:04
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	06-11 09:31
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	03-17 03:52
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	5	4	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 01:33
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-04 09:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-23 01:08
will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-18 00:36
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 01:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-08 06:06
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	No	$0	06-27 01:26
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 09:21
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 00:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-13 02:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-24 07:01
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 13 be less than 70	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-07 03:23
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-23 01:24
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	08-01 06:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-09 02:20
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 07:30
Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-09 00:41
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-16 01:22
gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-10 09:38
Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-01 06:10
Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-23 01:08
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-15 01:28
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-21 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 06:10:57	Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2fa230…
08-01 06:10:02	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd73ddd…
08-01 03:26:56	Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x699424…
08-01 03:23:32	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x24cea1…
07-31 01:55:41	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9dbc0e…
07-31 01:55:05	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6f3231…
07-31 01:45:56	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x391293…
07-31 01:44:36	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeca595…
07-30 01:18:57	Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0f6849…
07-30 01:18:33	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6b3832…
07-30 00:53:14	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8fba2b…
07-30 00:52:41	Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x93c60c…
07-28 01:25:39	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf39e40…
07-28 01:22:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x548db9…
07-28 00:57:43	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59e475…
07-28 00:55:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfc77e2…
07-25 09:33:51	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7a0306…
07-25 09:33:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x740ea9…
07-25 09:22:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc0abdd…
07-25 09:21:27	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6fa510…
07-23 01:25:03	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd2d09a…
07-23 01:24:25	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf4730b…
07-23 00:56:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xce1404…
07-23 00:55:19	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb4afca…
07-21 01:15:04	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6232f7…
07-21 01:14:24	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x309722…
07-21 00:54:55	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc3042b…
07-21 00:54:03	Trump out as President by July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd947ea…
07-20 03:16:42	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x750997…
07-20 03:15:39	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbe8237…
07-20 02:45:15	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x939b68…
07-20 02:44:37	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x51a9fd…
07-18 01:46:30	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf307a…
07-18 01:45:46	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb31fe3…
07-18 01:43:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8f2c1…
07-18 01:42:54	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7077e2…
07-18 00:37:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xad28f1…
07-18 00:36:40	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x14a709…
07-18 00:26:55	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7d4d8…
07-18 00:24:03	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3e252c…
07-17 00:55:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7a0ffc…
07-17 00:54:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7fcdea…
07-17 00:41:35	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x320306…
07-17 00:40:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x257bcf…
07-16 00:40:31	Will Hong Kong have between 500-525mm of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd43fe0…
07-16 00:39:38	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa6cce9…
07-16 00:28:20	Will Hong Kong have between 500-525mm of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xadcc45…
07-16 00:27:16	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x33d845…
07-15 01:28:16	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc5c29b…
07-15 01:27:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe3eb13…
07-15 01:06:52	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x98f0ec…
07-15 01:06:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x713da2…
07-14 00:55:17	Will Hong Kong have between 550-575mm of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x66f260…
07-14 00:54:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3c6f44…
07-14 00:44:05	Will Hong Kong have between 550-575mm of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa246ed…
07-14 00:40:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa8e320…
07-13 02:29:13	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x165313…
07-13 02:28:49	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6daf91…
07-13 02:15:49	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc542bd…
07-13 02:15:13	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x46e034…
07-11 02:06:01	Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4bb095…
07-11 02:05:35	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x446815…
07-11 01:36:16	Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ad8d2…
07-11 01:35:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec8a4e…
07-10 01:13:31	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3438cc…
07-10 01:12:56	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3c33f1…
07-10 00:43:37	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x67c9c9…
07-10 00:40:59	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6945cb…
07-09 00:41:43	Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xac24fe…
07-09 00:41:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x01e992…
07-09 00:28:14	Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb3d40d…
07-09 00:27:19	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8866ad…
07-08 00:59:13	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcdf19b…
07-08 00:58:37	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x41bcf6…
07-08 00:34:49	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf95b21…
07-08 00:33:46	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e5e07…
07-08 00:32:49	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2d0c2…
07-07 00:51:40	Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7379c4…
07-07 00:51:14	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd95e9f…
07-07 00:32:56	Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b67a5…
07-07 00:32:11	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4e126c…
07-06 01:45:46	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9c1b37…
07-06 01:45:11	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98d1ea…
07-06 01:27:50	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b8236…
07-06 01:26:38	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf6a713…
07-04 00:59:01	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xf4dde1…
07-04 00:58:17	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe70cb0…
07-04 00:48:02	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb4a441…
07-04 00:46:46	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x855168…
07-03 01:55:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8d14a7…
07-03 01:55:08	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7c8e14…
07-03 01:42:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x293a11…
07-03 01:41:53	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x696015…
07-02 01:58:10	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xda6c01…
07-02 01:57:53	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x17f643…
07-02 01:43:17	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb5a546…
07-02 01:42:40	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8d5478…
07-01 00:33:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x23e117…
07-01 00:32:55	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc3eebc…
07-01 00:14:25	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8d2cf3…