Tall-Rule — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

353

lifetime

Volume

$351

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 09:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Politics

27% 0% $-0

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	30	$29	25	25	+0	open	—	02-10 00:23
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	22	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	07-23 01:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-17 00:54
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	10	$11	5	6	-1	open	—	07-21 01:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	9	$10	12	12	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:04
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-11 09:31
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 03:52
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	5	4	+0	open	—	03-11 01:33
will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 00:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 06:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	05-23 01:08
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-27 01:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 00:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 02:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 07:01
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 13 be less than 70	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 03:23
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 01:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:20
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:30
gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-10 09:38
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 10:29
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:29
fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 09:57
highest temperature in hong kong on march 27 2026 25c	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-25 08:43
will trumps remarks not air 888	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 07:45
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 06:24
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 03:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 06:11
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-18 01:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 09:33:51	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7a0306…
07-25 09:33:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x740ea9…
07-25 09:22:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc0abdd…
07-25 09:21:27	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6fa510…
07-23 01:25:03	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd2d09a…
07-23 01:24:25	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf4730b…
07-23 00:56:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xce1404…
07-23 00:55:19	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb4afca…
07-21 01:14:24	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x309722…
07-20 03:16:42	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x750997…
07-20 03:15:39	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbe8237…
07-20 02:45:15	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x939b68…
07-20 02:44:37	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x51a9fd…
07-18 01:46:30	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf307a…
07-18 01:45:46	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb31fe3…
07-18 01:43:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8f2c1…
07-18 01:42:54	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7077e2…
07-18 00:36:40	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x14a709…
07-18 00:24:03	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3e252c…
07-17 00:54:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7fcdea…
07-17 00:40:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x257bcf…
07-16 00:39:38	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa6cce9…
07-16 00:27:16	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x33d845…
07-15 01:27:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe3eb13…
07-15 01:06:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x713da2…
07-14 00:54:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3c6f44…
07-14 00:40:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa8e320…
07-13 02:29:13	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x165313…
07-13 02:15:49	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc542bd…
07-11 02:05:35	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x446815…
07-11 01:35:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec8a4e…
07-10 01:13:31	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3438cc…
07-10 01:12:56	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3c33f1…
07-10 00:43:37	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x67c9c9…
07-10 00:40:59	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6945cb…
07-09 00:41:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x01e992…
07-09 00:27:19	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8866ad…
07-08 00:59:13	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcdf19b…
07-08 00:58:37	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x41bcf6…
07-08 00:34:49	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf95b21…
07-08 00:33:46	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e5e07…
07-08 00:32:49	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2d0c2…
07-07 00:51:14	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd95e9f…
07-07 00:32:11	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4e126c…
07-06 01:45:46	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9c1b37…
07-06 01:45:11	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98d1ea…
07-06 01:27:50	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b8236…
07-06 01:26:38	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf6a713…
07-04 00:59:01	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xf4dde1…
07-04 00:58:17	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe70cb0…
07-04 00:48:02	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb4a441…
07-04 00:46:46	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x855168…
07-03 01:55:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8d14a7…
07-03 01:55:08	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7c8e14…
07-03 01:42:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x293a11…
07-03 01:41:53	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x696015…
07-02 01:58:10	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xda6c01…
07-02 01:57:53	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x17f643…
07-02 01:43:17	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb5a546…
07-02 01:42:40	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8d5478…
07-01 00:33:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x23e117…
07-01 00:32:55	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc3eebc…
07-01 00:14:25	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8d2cf3…
07-01 00:13:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf58952…
06-30 01:16:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa63be2…
06-30 01:02:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf11814…
06-27 01:26:13	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa1f51a…
06-27 01:08:40	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05e2e1…
06-25 01:05:43	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9393c4…
06-25 01:05:13	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3b5bdd…
06-25 00:27:23	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x019449…
06-25 00:25:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9f9c54…
06-23 10:03:26	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x055bdf…
06-23 09:39:28	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba7052…
06-22 09:02:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa02b2d…
06-22 08:38:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0b6fcc…
06-21 10:29:35	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7344ee…
06-21 10:29:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1423b1…
06-21 10:23:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x71162d…
06-21 10:20:38	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x378faf…
06-18 09:57:56	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x322e75…
06-18 09:57:38	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3a9e2a…
06-18 09:47:28	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20a4c7…
06-18 09:45:32	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0bb13a…
06-17 08:45:46	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf7f905…
06-17 08:37:22	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7b991a…
06-16 09:22:40	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x863c34…
06-16 09:21:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3080e8…
06-16 09:14:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0aad0e…
06-16 09:13:22	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf4d46b…
06-15 09:32:34	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf81fa0…
06-15 09:31:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd54ce6…
06-15 09:19:33	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd11957…
06-15 09:17:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x00953b…
06-13 08:33:13	will ecdsafail get at least 50 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2780b1…
06-13 08:32:49	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc91a47…
06-13 08:25:46	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1554ea…
06-13 08:24:06	will ecdsafail get at least 50 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaf343d…
06-12 09:32:16	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x40efbd…
06-12 09:31:51	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7cf865…