Sweltering-Doctor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.2%

Resolved

146

Trades

495

lifetime

Volume

$493

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-01 06:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Other

64% 10% -$4

Politics

26% 8% -$1

Crypto

6% 20% +$0

Sports

3% 0% $0

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	40	$41	33	33	+0	No	-$1	02-20 01:20
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	22	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	07-23 01:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	07-28 01:22
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	11	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	07-21 01:14
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	06-11 09:31
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	03-17 03:52
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	5	4	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 01:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$8	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	01-20 09:04
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-04 09:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-23 01:08
will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-18 00:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-08 06:06
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 01:49
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$6	4	4	+0	No	$0	02-12 23:56
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	No	$0	06-27 01:26
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 09:21
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 00:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-13 02:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-24 07:01
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-23 01:24
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	08-01 06:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-09 02:20
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 07:30
Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-09 00:41
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-16 01:22
gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-10 09:38
Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-01 06:11
Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-23 01:08
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-15 01:28
spx opens up or down on february 3 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	$0	02-03 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 06:11:02	Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x68bc0b…
08-01 06:10:02	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x040cf8…
08-01 03:26:51	Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1dfbf4…
08-01 03:23:18	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xacd9af…
07-31 01:55:42	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0199b6…
07-31 01:55:09	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe7e112…
07-31 01:45:59	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9148c8…
07-31 01:44:38	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd55de9…
07-30 01:18:57	Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf73f8e…
07-30 01:18:35	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcac058…
07-30 00:53:14	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x040604…
07-30 00:52:39	Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8c0807…
07-28 01:25:40	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeea330…
07-28 01:22:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7038f7…
07-28 00:57:42	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe86770…
07-28 00:55:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x34ac46…
07-25 09:33:51	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x957747…
07-25 09:33:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf103c5…
07-25 09:22:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd62bd1…
07-25 09:21:31	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x76663c…
07-23 01:25:03	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x69f191…
07-23 01:24:25	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x38e1b3…
07-23 00:56:45	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01e546…
07-23 00:55:21	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x29efeb…
07-21 01:15:06	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4a9a30…
07-21 01:14:22	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf9457f…
07-21 00:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb242dd…
07-21 00:54:03	Trump out as President by July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e3806…
07-20 03:16:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x75d73f…
07-20 03:15:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4a3047…
07-20 02:45:22	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6337d7…
07-20 02:44:39	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc44ac7…
07-18 01:46:30	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x267897…
07-18 01:45:48	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x811e71…
07-18 01:43:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ab6a7…
07-18 01:42:55	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x26f2ec…
07-18 00:37:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaed044…
07-18 00:36:42	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x73ac85…
07-18 00:26:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x985675…
07-18 00:24:28	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x73cef2…
07-17 00:55:14	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3532e3…
07-17 00:54:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc8c52a…
07-17 00:41:40	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x382346…
07-17 00:40:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4a1fd6…
07-16 00:40:32	Will Hong Kong have between 500-525mm of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf4e53f…
07-16 00:39:40	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb11077…
07-16 00:28:22	Will Hong Kong have between 500-525mm of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0fe552…
07-16 00:27:11	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xafea08…
07-15 01:28:16	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x25b296…
07-15 01:27:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x069250…
07-15 01:07:02	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc42d62…
07-15 01:06:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1d284a…
07-14 00:55:17	Will Hong Kong have between 550-575mm of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xaf497a…
07-14 00:54:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf8bdfd…
07-14 00:44:07	Will Hong Kong have between 550-575mm of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x423009…
07-14 00:40:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x562b2c…
07-13 02:29:14	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe799fb…
07-13 02:28:49	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x040d47…
07-13 02:15:46	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb681e…
07-13 02:15:14	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee523f…
07-11 02:06:01	Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2c0dbe…
07-11 02:05:37	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9d1163…
07-11 01:36:17	Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6ac7b…
07-11 01:35:17	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc83884…
07-10 01:13:29	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x79c42a…
07-10 01:12:55	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x10e602…
07-10 00:43:34	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x370ecc…
07-10 00:41:05	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x58a234…
07-09 00:41:43	Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x528ca7…
07-09 00:41:14	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb9b4c3…
07-09 00:28:13	Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x027f70…
07-09 00:27:17	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0c6b7b…
07-08 00:59:10	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8b7dff…
07-08 00:58:37	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfa9475…
07-08 00:34:46	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe3a83e…
07-08 00:33:46	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x206dc1…
07-08 00:32:47	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf1e338…
07-07 00:51:37	Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7d2256…
07-07 00:51:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7805e7…
07-07 00:32:55	Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf0e1a…
07-07 00:32:10	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa3caeb…
07-06 01:45:44	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xee89ed…
07-06 01:45:10	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9791aa…
07-06 01:27:47	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x92ee38…
07-06 01:26:38	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdc1563…
07-04 00:58:58	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x74bf62…
07-04 00:58:16	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x67d7ed…
07-04 00:48:02	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb4cdb2…
07-04 00:46:46	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc4cdfa…
07-03 01:55:38	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x64f6d5…
07-03 01:55:08	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe3b59c…
07-03 01:42:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaf3664…
07-03 01:41:52	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x101e96…
07-02 01:58:10	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x301421…
07-02 01:57:52	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xace8f0…
07-02 01:43:16	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xac3ea9…
07-02 01:42:38	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x61ef96…
07-01 00:33:47	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x386a96…
07-01 00:32:53	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbd1f68…
07-01 00:14:28	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x45ba95…