Sweltering-Doctor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

320

lifetime

Volume

$318

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-04 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

66% — —

Politics

22% 0% $-0

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No		+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	06-02 07:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	40	$41	33	33	+0	open	—	02-20 01:20
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-04 00:58
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-11 09:31
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 03:52
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	5	4	+0	open	—	03-11 01:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$8	9	9	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-30 01:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 06:06
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-12 23:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	05-23 01:08
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-27 01:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 00:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 02:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 07:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:20
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:30
gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-10 09:38
spx opens up or down on february 3 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-03 08:38
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 10:29
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:29
fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 09:57
spx opens up or down on february 5 2026	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-05 00:00
highest temperature in hong kong on march 27 2026 25c	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-25 08:43
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 06:24
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 03:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 06:11
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:51
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-29 09:18
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-01 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 00:58:58	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x74bf62…
07-04 00:58:16	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x67d7ed…
07-04 00:48:02	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb4cdb2…
07-04 00:46:46	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc4cdfa…
07-03 01:55:38	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x64f6d5…
07-03 01:55:08	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe3b59c…
07-03 01:42:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaf3664…
07-03 01:41:52	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x101e96…
07-02 01:58:10	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x301421…
07-02 01:57:52	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xace8f0…
07-02 01:43:16	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xac3ea9…
07-02 01:42:38	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x61ef96…
07-01 00:33:47	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x386a96…
07-01 00:32:53	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbd1f68…
07-01 00:14:28	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x45ba95…
07-01 00:13:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1b7c3a…
06-30 01:16:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8ecd4f…
06-30 01:02:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfe6021…
06-27 01:26:11	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa34e9b…
06-27 01:08:38	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ed4f0…
06-25 01:05:44	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe33c29…
06-25 01:05:13	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf3a6ce…
06-25 00:27:25	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x24899f…
06-25 00:25:50	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc16038…
06-23 10:03:28	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcc3f35…
06-23 09:39:31	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee895a…
06-22 09:02:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6bfb30…
06-22 08:38:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7409d2…
06-21 10:29:34	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9171ad…
06-21 10:29:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe9a82e…
06-21 10:23:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeb259e…
06-21 10:20:38	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2fa84a…
06-18 09:57:40	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xca8b91…
06-18 09:57:26	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4138e8…
06-18 09:47:29	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0afe27…
06-18 09:45:31	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x60276b…
06-17 08:45:44	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2cde08…
06-17 08:37:22	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa70892…
06-16 09:22:39	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x365a76…
06-16 09:21:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x638730…
06-16 09:14:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf19e82…
06-16 09:13:21	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x096f27…
06-15 09:32:33	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1dd5a7…
06-15 09:31:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc3ac52…
06-15 09:19:30	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5dd270…
06-15 09:17:57	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb3967f…
06-13 08:33:12	will ecdsafail get at least 50 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5fd7b3…
06-13 08:32:49	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5884cc…
06-13 08:25:42	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaf195d…
06-13 08:24:04	will ecdsafail get at least 50 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5bcba1…
06-12 09:32:18	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x006dde…
06-12 09:31:49	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x917974…
06-12 09:18:54	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf955c3…
06-12 09:17:22	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x503e02…
06-11 09:31:52	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb54dff…
06-11 09:13:22	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd421ba…
06-10 09:38:48	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdc1a07…
06-10 09:38:21	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd01747…
06-10 09:21:34	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcbd10e…
06-10 09:20:34	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6e67a0…
06-09 08:37:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x33260c…
06-09 08:28:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe89ad…
06-06 08:33:57	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc41ed9…
06-06 08:04:12	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfad564…
06-05 08:36:33	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf2d46d…
06-05 08:35:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x63f7a7…
06-05 08:13:09	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5b09c7…
06-05 08:12:00	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf1d7e9…
06-04 09:54:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x07ce69…
06-04 09:49:43	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9df04e…
06-04 09:39:09	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe930c6…
06-04 09:37:52	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x152d0f…
06-03 08:43:23	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x65c03d…
06-03 08:43:04	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x97b785…
06-03 08:41:06	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xff554a…
06-03 08:39:32	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x651fa7…
06-02 07:47:13	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x89fb30…
06-01 09:44:32	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdeffed…
06-01 09:37:29	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa91c48…
05-30 03:26:58	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f20bc…
05-30 03:19:18	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x47ec81…
05-29 09:19:17	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeaf453…
05-29 09:18:18	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf3c081…
05-29 08:59:08	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2fe2e4…
05-29 08:55:31	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x442e90…
05-28 10:15:29	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x397d0e…
05-28 09:52:58	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe83e72…
05-26 09:47:43	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x16af6a…
05-26 09:26:07	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c2497…
05-23 01:08:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x10ab3e…
05-22 07:26:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4940e6…
05-22 07:08:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a4509…
05-21 01:47:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x71d914…
05-21 00:52:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x23647d…
05-18 02:51:16	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe30d99…
05-18 02:16:33	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6ed8ba…
05-09 02:20:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe73f4f…
05-09 01:58:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x42ad8f…
05-08 01:51:14	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x644d68…
05-08 01:22:51	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x70137f…