(anonymous) 0x8dde87…745045
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
67.7%
Resolved
92
Trades
1,708
lifetime
Volume
$21.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$3.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 10-27 01:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Politics
62% 58% +$37
Other
25% 58% -$13
Tech
10% 50% -$1
Crypto
2% 71% +$4
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,569 $1,944 81¢ $2.1K +$133 10-27 02:30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,574 $630 19¢ $493 -$137 10-25 23:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +151 $143 94¢ $141 -$2 10-27 02:25
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +123 $117 90¢ $111 -$6 10-27 02:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +100 $97 82¢ $82 -$16 10-27 02:26
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +63 $42 80¢ $51 +$9 10-25 17:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 10-27 02:26
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +48 $39 82¢ $39 +$0 10-25 17:06
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +40 $39 97¢ $39 $0 10-25 17:06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +30 $27 92¢ $28 +$0 10-27 02:26
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +36 $27 74¢ $26 -$1 10-24 18:06
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +28 $24 92¢ $26 +$2 10-27 02:26
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +26 $24 97¢ $25 +$1 10-27 02:26
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +29 $25 84¢ $24 $0 10-27 02:26
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +24 $23 97¢ $23 +$0 10-27 02:26
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +22 $21 99¢ $22 +$0 10-25 17:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 $0 10-27 02:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +20 $19 97¢ $20 +$0 10-13 03:23
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +18 $17 96¢ $17 +$0 10-25 17:06
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$0 10-25 17:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +19 $17 82¢ $16 -$2 10-24 18:06
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 +$1 10-25 17:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +12 $12 97¢ $12 +$1 10-24 18:06
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +12 $12 97¢ $12 +$0 10-22 14:14
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +16 $13 70¢ $11 -$1 10-22 00:50
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? No +11 $11 97¢ $11 $0 10-22 14:14
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No -11 -$10 97¢ $-10 +$0 10-21 23:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 10-26 07:01
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? Yes +20 $9 48¢ $10 +$1 10-25 17:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $0 10-20 19:22