Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$812

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$239

18 positions

First seen

2026-10-18

last 10-26 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 47% +$18

Politics

39% 67% +$35

Other

7% 25% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+535	$154	29¢	$153	-$1	10-26 12:40
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	+25	$10	38¢	$10	$0	10-22 13:23
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+24	$9	36¢	$8	-$1	10-22 18:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+45	$10	16¢	$8	-$2	10-22 18:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+37	$7	20¢	$7	+$0	10-24 16:29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	+27	$7	26¢	$7	+$0	10-24 11:10
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+125	$10	5¢	$6	-$4	10-22 13:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+31	$5	18¢	$5	+$0	10-24 20:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+83	$5	6¢	$5	+$0	10-25 18:10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+15	$5	34¢	$5	+$0	10-22 18:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+86	$5	6¢	$5	+$0	10-24 20:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+12	$5	40¢	$5	$0	10-24 20:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	+511	$4	1¢	$4	+$0	10-24 05:50
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	+25	$5	16¢	$4	-$1	10-25 20:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+33	$2	6¢	$2	+$0	10-22 19:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+51	$2	4¢	$2	+$0	10-25 18:55
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+95	$2	2¢	$2	$0	10-24 08:29
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+28	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	10-24 15:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$154	535	0	+535	open	—	10-26 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	5	$70	178	178	+0	Up	+$39	10-20 15:15
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	2	$46	43	43	+0	No	+$20	10-25 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	11	$42	191	122	+69	Up	+$2	10-19 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	12	$42	44	44	+0	Down	+$10	10-19 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	10	$38	49	49	+0	Down	+$10	10-19 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	9	$30	46	46	+0	Down	+$6	10-20 19:50
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	3	$29	31	31	+0	Yes	+$9	10-25 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	12	$29	700	317	+384	Down	-$28	10-20 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	9	$18	150	3	+148	Up	-$14	10-20 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	4	$17	22	22	+0	Down	+$9	10-21 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	4	$14	37	37	+0	Up	+$2	10-21 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	6	$13	40	39	+0	Up	+$1	10-21 16:27
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	3	$12	33	33	+0	Yes	+$4	10-19 21:33
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	1	$10	125	0	+125	open	—	10-22 13:23
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	10-22 13:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	45	0	+45	open	—	10-22 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9AM ET	4	$10	26	26	+0	Down	+$2	10-19 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$10	95	95	+0	Down	+$6	10-21 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	3	$9	72	0	+72	Up	-$9	10-21 11:53
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	1	$9	24	0	+24	open	—	10-22 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	4	$8	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	10-21 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	4	$8	22	0	+22	Up	+$14	10-20 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	4	$8	161	0	+161	Up	-$8	10-21 11:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$7	37	0	+37	open	—	10-24 16:29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	1	$7	27	0	+27	open	—	10-24 11:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	10-21 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET	2	$6	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	10-21 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	10-19 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	10-21 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 12:40:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	118	27¢	$32	0xbd9b3f…
10-25 22:41:06	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	SELL	43	76¢	$33	0x428ad3…
10-25 20:00:24	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa3d5f5…
10-25 19:52:23	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4b0036…
10-25 18:55:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x588618…
10-25 18:10:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa1124c…
10-25 10:31:56	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	31	62¢	$19	0x90c05c…
10-24 20:33:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x2fd170…
10-24 20:32:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x78b052…
10-24 20:31:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x730b64…
10-24 16:29:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x71725e…
10-24 15:24:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x866c5e…
10-24 12:36:14	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0x138a6a…
10-24 11:10:56	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x125545…
10-24 10:27:18	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x9928d8…
10-24 08:29:29	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x3508ad…
10-24 07:05:14	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x026705…
10-24 05:50:14	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0x0ada1d…
10-24 05:47:11	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	281	1¢	$2	0x63529b…
10-22 19:05:51	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0x02887b…
10-22 19:00:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xc66b47…
10-22 18:55:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x8a3cd9…
10-22 18:54:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x92e008…
10-22 18:48:38	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa547d5…
10-22 18:46:11	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe5dfc9…
10-22 18:25:26	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x884ad0…
10-22 18:24:35	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x774f12…
10-22 13:33:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x79655e…
10-22 13:23:51	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xe29e29…
10-22 13:23:41	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xdf96d2…
10-21 19:03:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x93b1e3…
10-21 18:50:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xcb52ff…
10-21 18:49:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0x30aae8…
10-21 18:47:56	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xb813dc…
10-21 18:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xbaa624…
10-21 18:25:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x32f886…
10-21 18:24:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x7ed0cc…
10-21 18:17:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x514d0e…
10-21 18:15:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf186e5…
10-21 18:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8c5cba…
10-21 17:58:02	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xa13071…
10-21 17:54:41	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xe85a51…
10-21 17:52:56	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x022d0c…
10-21 17:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xe008b2…
10-21 17:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x039219…
10-21 17:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x674c70…
10-21 17:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcd7fc6…
10-21 17:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x27d100…
10-21 16:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	37	21¢	$8	0x8a9229…
10-21 16:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x173303…
10-21 16:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd65514…
10-21 16:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4dd16e…
10-21 16:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xb994f6…
10-21 16:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xbb5f57…
10-21 16:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0xbc0125…
10-21 16:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xaca571…
10-21 16:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xdc3a2a…
10-21 16:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xdbdfd7…
10-21 15:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x184545…
10-21 15:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	95	8¢	$8	0x00d220…
10-21 15:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x7b3995…
10-21 11:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xaf0549…
10-21 11:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	107	2¢	$2	0x2116c5…
10-21 11:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf3f3d8…
10-21 11:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd72b01…
10-21 10:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x86d57f…
10-21 09:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x14aa7d…
10-21 09:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x08f861…
10-21 06:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x0d4a23…
10-21 06:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1ee233…
10-21 06:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x2b722c…
10-21 06:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1a1f5a…
10-21 05:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xa3433c…
10-21 05:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc5c310…
10-21 05:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	75¢	$12	0x53f5f0…
10-21 05:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xe3f137…
10-21 05:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5fc32b…
10-21 05:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x86b2a5…
10-21 05:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x07436e…
10-21 05:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x076bef…
10-20 22:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x11eddb…
10-20 22:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf68b30…
10-20 22:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x271bc3…
10-20 21:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa07bbd…
10-20 21:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x0acdb2…
10-20 21:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x67fe42…
10-20 21:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x73f3ab…
10-20 20:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb46538…
10-20 20:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x5d5b3e…
10-20 20:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb4a4fd…
10-20 20:54:21	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5d9959…
10-20 19:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x98721c…
10-20 19:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb46fdf…
10-20 19:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0x4380f3…
10-20 19:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xdd3540…
10-20 18:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x6d89de…
10-20 18:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe1cbca…
10-20 18:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x0c34d7…
10-20 17:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x987de1…
10-20 17:21:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xebc775…