Realized P&L (7d)
+$18
Unrealized P&L
+$94
Hit rate
85.2%
Resolved (7d)
9
Trades (7d)
37
195 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$453
$1.02K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$351
14 positions
First seen
2026-10-18
last 10-28 19:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
51% 67% +$35
Crypto
43% 47% +$18
Other
6% 18% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +628 $173 46¢ $286 +$113 10-27 13:16
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +25 $10 32¢ $8 -$2 10-22 13:23
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +24 $9 34¢ $8 -$1 10-22 18:24
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +27 $7 28¢ $7 +$0 10-24 11:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $10 16¢ $7 -$3 10-22 18:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +37 $7 18¢ $7 $0 10-24 16:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +15 $5 34¢ $5 +$0 10-22 18:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $5 15¢ $5 $0 10-24 20:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $5 36¢ $4 -$1 10-24 20:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +511 $4 1¢ $4 +$0 10-24 05:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +86 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 10-24 20:33
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +125 $10 2¢ $3 -$7 10-22 13:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +51 $2 3¢ $2 $0 10-25 18:55
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +25 $5 6¢ $2 -$3 10-25 20:00