Realized P&L (24h)
+$51
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
89.9%
Resolved (24h)
7
Trades (24h)
15
210 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$355
$1.38K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$65
13 positions
First seen
2026-10-18
last 10-30 07:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
57% 62% +$35
Crypto
39% 49% +$68
Other
4% 18% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +25 $10 35¢ $9 -$1 10-22 13:23
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +24 $9 31¢ $7 -$2 10-22 18:24
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +27 $7 24¢ $7 $0 10-24 11:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +37 $7 18¢ $7 $0 10-24 16:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $10 14¢ $6 -$4 10-22 18:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $5 42¢ $5 +$0 10-24 20:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +15 $5 32¢ $5 $0 10-22 18:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $5 14¢ $4 -$1 10-24 20:32
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +511 $4 1¢ $4 $0 10-24 05:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +86 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 10-24 20:33
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +25 $5 12¢ $3 -$2 10-25 20:00
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +125 $10 2¢ $3 -$7 10-22 13:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +51 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-25 18:55