(anonymous) 0xa8566e…2f2278
bot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$37
Unrealized P&L
+$103
Hit rate
77.0%
Resolved (90d)
51
Trades (90d)
194
194 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.02K
$1.02K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$367
16 positions
First seen
2026-10-18
last 10-28 06:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
51% 67% +$35
Crypto
43% 47% +$18
Other
6% 22% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +628 $173 46¢ $292 +$119 10-27 13:16
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +25 $10 40¢ $10 $0 10-22 13:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $10 16¢ $8 -$2 10-22 18:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +37 $7 20¢ $7 +$0 10-24 16:29
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +24 $9 30¢ $7 -$2 10-22 18:24
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +27 $7 26¢ $7 +$0 10-24 11:10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +15 $5 34¢ $5 +$0 10-22 18:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $5 16¢ $5 $0 10-24 20:32
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +511 $4 1¢ $4 +$0 10-24 05:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $5 36¢ $4 -$1 10-24 20:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +83 $5 5¢ $4 -$1 10-25 18:10
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +125 $10 3¢ $4 -$6 10-22 13:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +86 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 10-24 20:33
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +25 $5 10¢ $2 -$3 10-25 20:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +51 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 10-25 18:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +33 $2 5¢ $2 $0 10-22 19:00