Realized P&L
-$349
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
1,070
Trades
12,234
lifetime
Volume
$22.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$268
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 10-27 06:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Other
35% 51% -$221
Politics
33% 59% +$29
Crypto
23% 66% -$130
Sports
9% 44% -$26
Tech
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -105 -$35 88¢ $-93 -$58 06-30 13:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -33 -$27 94¢ $-31 -$4 10-23 14:42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -28 -$27 98¢ $-28 -$1 09-30 19:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -27 -$25 95¢ $-26 -$1 08-23 03:17
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -137 -$29 16¢ $-23 +$6 06-24 15:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -15 -$13 92¢ $-14 -$1 08-20 21:35
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes -344 -$76 4¢ $-13 +$63 09-14 23:19
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 $0 06-24 03:09
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -38 -$22 12¢ $-4 +$17 10-19 10:28
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -4 -$3 94¢ $-3 $0 04-29 19:08
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 10-15 17:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -3 -$3 94¢ $-3 $0 07-16 01:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -3 -$3 97¢ $-3 +$0 10-20 14:38
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 10-27 01:57
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 10-03 09:34
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 10-24 20:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -22 -$1 6¢ $-1 $0 09-09 17:34
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +2 $1 84¢ $1 $0 10-24 20:47
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -12 -$2 11¢ $-1 +$1 05-09 18:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-26 17:13
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $0 10-27 04:23
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-04 00:18
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -0 $0 95¢ $-0 $0 04-28 15:09
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $0 10-22 09:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 5¢ $0 -$1 10-26 15:22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -6 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 04-28 16:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1 $0 11¢ $0 +$0 05-13 05:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $0 12¢ $-0 +$0 08-21 08:26
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes +0 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 10-27 06:29
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 08-06 19:18