Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
2
12,274 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1
$22.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$275
28 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 11-07 07:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 186 days
Categories
Other
35% 51% -$261
Politics
33% 58% +$27
Crypto
23% 66% -$130
Sports
9% 44% -$140
Tech
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -105 -$35 90¢ $-94 -$59 10-30 00:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -34 -$28 97¢ $-34 -$5 10-29 00:41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -28 -$27 98¢ $-28 -$1 09-30 19:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -27 -$25 97¢ $-26 -$2 08-23 03:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -15 -$13 90¢ $-14 -$1 08-20 21:35
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -137 -$29 8¢ $-12 +$17 06-24 15:37
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -12 -$11 98¢ $-11 $0 10-29 17:16
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +22 $13 48¢ $11 -$2 10-28 04:52
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 $0 06-24 03:09
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 10-29 17:16
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes -344 -$76 2¢ $-7 +$70 09-14 23:19
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -38 -$22 11¢ $-4 +$18 10-19 10:28
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 95¢ $4 +$1 10-15 17:22
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -4 -$3 94¢ $-3 $0 04-29 19:08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -3 -$3 97¢ $-3 $0 07-16 01:14
will north carolina enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027 No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $0 10-15 00:23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -12 -$2 8¢ $-1 +$1 05-09 18:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 11-07 02:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -22 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$1 09-09 17:34
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -0 $0 98¢ $-0 $0 04-28 15:09
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 11-07 07:55
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +0 $0 70¢ $0 $0 11-06 18:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 3¢ $0 -$1 10-26 15:22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -6 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 04-28 16:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 05-13 05:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $0 10¢ $-0 +$0 08-21 08:26
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +0 $0 78¢ $0 $0 11-06 18:37
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 08-06 19:18