Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$932

Unrealized P&L

+$54

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

108

Trades

746

lifetime

Volume

$49.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

$5.01K

7 positions

First seen

2026-09-25

last 10-28 05:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 19% -$1,034

Other

42% 92% +$101

Tech

8% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 180 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,000	$2,780	94¢	$2.8K	+$25	10-21 01:11
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,730	$1,613	94¢	$1.6K	+$22	10-15 12:57
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	+200	$195	98¢	$197	+$2	10-28 03:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	+200	$195	98¢	$196	+$1	10-28 03:05
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	+92	$82	93¢	$86	+$4	10-15 12:18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+75	$69	94¢	$70	+$1	10-18 09:43
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	+20	$19	95¢	$19	+$0	10-17 02:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$2.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-21 01:11
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.6K	1,730	0	+1,730	open	—	10-15 12:57
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	4	$1.4K	750	750	+0	open	—	10-08 11:47
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	6	$1.2K	623	623	+0	Yes	+$68	09-30 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$1.2K	2,400	0	+2,400	Down	+$1,227	10-24 13:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.1K	599	599	+0	open	—	10-14 09:58
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	2	$1.1K	534	534	+0	No	+$9	10-08 11:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	10-08 11:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?	2	$1000	1,000	9	+991	No	+$10	10-05 00:22
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?	1	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$10	10-04 02:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11?	4	$985	500	500	+0	No	+$4	10-08 11:47
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	8	$947	568	480	+88	open	—	10-26 02:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$946	500	500	+0	open	—	10-24 23:57
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	4	$926	568	436	+132	open	—	10-14 00:44
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	8	$884	449	449	+0	open	—	10-27 16:02
Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	24	$877	465	430	+35	open	—	10-28 02:05
Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	4	$811	839	0	+839	open	—	10-26 01:48
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	9	$794	530	530	+0	open	—	10-21 01:01
Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	4	$765	794	0	+794	open	—	10-26 09:40
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	20	$758	392	392	+0	open	—	10-26 11:05
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	7	$754	589	270	+319	open	—	10-14 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	43	$730	3,000	0	+3,000	Down	-$730	10-24 14:49
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$694	397	397	+0	open	—	10-18 10:02
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?	5	$683	540	300	+240	open	—	10-27 09:29
Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	14	$670	394	336	+58	open	—	10-14 13:41
Will Pruna have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	3	$661	577	105	+472	open	—	10-28 03:11
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$582	300	300	+0	open	—	10-15 03:14
Will $PONS reach $1.5 in 2026?	14	$553	607	0	+607	open	—	10-15 12:35
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	7	$525	435	161	+274	open	—	10-28 02:05
Will Reve have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	2	$525	320	220	+100	open	—	10-26 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:26:13	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9caa1c…
10-28 03:44:55	Will $PONS dip to $0.1 in 2026?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0xfaef40…
10-28 03:21:27	Will Ethena dip to $0.12 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xa09126…
10-28 03:20:46	Will Ethena dip to $0.12 in October?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0xf1d8ea…
10-28 03:18:15	Will BNB dip to $600 in October?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x709b00…
10-28 03:17:42	Will BNB dip to $600 in October?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x657a03…
10-28 03:16:48	Will BNB dip to $600 in October?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xe15485…
10-28 03:12:32	Will BNB dip to $600 in October?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xf6d24e…
10-28 03:12:15	Will BNB dip to $600 in October?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x4cd323…
10-28 03:11:35	Will Pruna have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xebcaa9…
10-28 03:05:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xbaf31d…
10-28 03:05:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x8d7adb…
10-28 03:03:54	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x4da2db…
10-28 03:02:27	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x28923c…
10-28 02:59:50	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xba8b68…
10-28 02:59:39	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x2c9fbc…
10-28 02:59:30	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xfea5dd…
10-28 02:53:54	Will Alibaba have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x76c15e…
10-28 02:53:29	Will Alibaba have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x170658…
10-28 02:52:47	Will Alibaba have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	151	96¢	$145	0xdfbeb5…
10-28 02:49:27	Will Lightricks have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x8e7a57…
10-28 02:44:50	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xbc78c2…
10-28 02:44:17	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	53	84¢	$44	0x8ff1b2…
10-28 02:39:33	Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4c9544…
10-28 02:39:26	Will ByteDance be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x546af1…
10-28 02:36:36	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	122	91¢	$111	0x8e14f5…
10-28 02:35:05	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	77	88¢	$67	0x6650e4…
10-28 02:33:12	Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	215	97¢	$208	0x8fd4b4…
10-28 02:25:30	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x165e40…
10-28 02:05:02	Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb1677c…
10-28 02:05:02	Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x99d819…
10-28 02:05:00	Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x543e1e…
10-28 02:05:00	Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x14b4c0…
10-27 16:03:14	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x46f45a…
10-27 16:03:00	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2e1b05…
10-27 16:02:47	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xcfca6c…
10-27 16:02:47	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$80	0x46974b…
10-27 16:02:47	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$135	0x186b13…
10-27 16:02:47	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$142	0x065f7c…
10-27 09:53:14	Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x94e86c…
10-27 09:41:38	Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x35f9cf…
10-27 09:38:36	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xc48be8…
10-27 09:29:06	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x1a473f…
10-27 09:27:42	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x9db604…
10-27 09:19:38	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0xcbcac2…
10-27 09:18:48	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0xa2d358…
10-27 09:18:00	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6efc0b…
10-27 09:17:09	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xec5b67…
10-27 09:17:00	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x1d3570…
10-27 09:15:53	Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	234	96¢	$225	0x985b0c…
10-27 09:03:44	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.02 before 2027?	No	SELL	121	77¢	$93	0x5cc56d…
10-27 01:48:57	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x2c9694…
10-26 18:34:53	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x276765…
10-26 13:22:11	Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x781539…
10-26 12:04:05	Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x69f205…
10-26 11:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x064e74…
10-26 11:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x62c847…
10-26 11:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x59e95a…
10-26 11:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x8dd1c3…
10-26 11:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x292b4f…
10-26 11:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xbcae6d…
10-26 11:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7c6972…
10-26 11:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x8b6fdf…
10-26 11:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x632f84…
10-26 11:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x8e3de6…
10-26 11:05:26	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa135e7…
10-26 11:05:26	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3562ec…
10-26 10:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8ddde9…
10-26 10:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x8a4122…
10-26 10:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x637d80…
10-26 10:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xf28804…
10-26 09:41:14	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	33	89¢	$30	0xd9accb…
10-26 09:41:14	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xc68803…
10-26 09:40:32	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	336	97¢	$326	0x061370…
10-26 09:37:41	Will Pruna have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfd64ff…
10-26 09:37:21	Will Pruna have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	577	97¢	$558	0xa484d9…
10-26 09:32:50	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xcf9210…
10-26 09:32:50	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc877d8…
10-26 09:32:50	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x8380f6…
10-26 09:32:50	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x766ea4…
10-26 09:32:50	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x4f5277…
10-26 09:32:50	Will Reve have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$217	0x45f98f…
10-26 09:32:50	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x193ceb…
10-26 09:32:50	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x03d53d…
10-26 09:24:30	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	62	88¢	$54	0xe458ae…
10-26 09:21:59	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	187	94¢	$176	0x0f3a06…
10-26 09:19:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in November?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf952b9…
10-26 09:19:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x09302a…
10-26 09:17:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in November?	No	BUY	76	95¢	$72	0xb23060…
10-26 08:54:05	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xab7920…
10-26 08:54:05	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x4288e7…
10-26 08:54:03	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf9fea6…
10-26 08:10:42	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x355aa9…
10-26 08:01:21	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x574318…
10-26 07:44:06	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xefb22b…
10-26 07:11:53	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x84b561…
10-26 06:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd85f5c…
10-26 06:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x5d59dc…
10-26 06:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x88c451…
10-26 06:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xcffd66…