(anonymous) 0x2b5e60…44f157
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$249
Unrealized P&L
-$103
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
60
Trades
231
lifetime
Volume
$15.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$3.17K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-27 04:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Politics
36% 40% -$273
Other
31% 33% -$204
Crypto
24% 47% +$118
Tech
9% 100% +$110
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,060 $1,000 96¢ $1.0K +$20 10-13 08:04
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,100 $1,001 92¢ $1.0K +$16 10-13 08:00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $228 94¢ $282 +$54 10-19 12:39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +250 $240 94¢ $236 -$4 10-18 05:29
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +206 $161 80¢ $165 +$4 10-25 12:53
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +400 $100 36¢ $144 +$44 10-19 06:08
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +100 $58 93¢ $93 +$35 10-26 13:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -300 $18 18¢ $-56 -$74 10-11 06:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +529 $53 10¢ $50 -$3 10-25 02:16
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +144 $74 26¢ $38 -$37 10-25 02:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -1,553 -$33 2¢ $-32 +$1 10-11 06:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +600 $108 4¢ $24 -$84 10-19 05:54
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -200 -$6 3¢ $-6 $0 10-11 06:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +115 $6 4¢ $4 -$2 10-25 10:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +0 $75 2¢ $0 -$75 10-25 08:51