(anonymous) 0x2b5e60…44f157 Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$257
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
25
265 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.64K
$18.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$2.60K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 11-14 22:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
37% 27% -$1,020
Politics
33% 42% -$216
Crypto
21% 45% +$110
Tech
10% 50% +$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +740 $512 63¢ $468 -$44 11-11 12:33
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $300 90¢ $361 +$61 11-11 13:56
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +300 $248 88¢ $262 +$14 11-14 22:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +250 $240 97¢ $244 +$4 10-18 05:29
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +206 $161 96¢ $198 +$37 10-25 12:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? No +455 $200 44¢ $198 -$2 11-14 22:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,044 $81 17¢ $181 +$100 11-13 12:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +529 $53 34¢ $177 +$124 10-25 02:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $172 86¢ $173 +$1 11-11 12:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,323 $133 9¢ $117 -$16 11-14 22:22
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +144 $74 62¢ $89 +$14 10-25 02:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,700 $92 5¢ $82 -$9 11-14 22:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -1,553 -$33 2¢ $-24 +$9 10-11 06:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -300 $18 6¢ $-20 -$38 10-11 06:29
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -200 -$6 2¢ $-3 +$3 10-11 06:19