Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.11K

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

100

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$34.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

$108

1 position

First seen

2026-06-03

last 10-26 04:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Politics

37% 55% -$5,794

Other

34% 60% +$104

Sports

26% 54% +$581

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+564	$114	19¢	$108	-$6	10-26 04:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	51	$6.9K	13,626	13,626	+0	No	-$5,929	10-25 23:53
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$3.5K	2,275	2,275	+0	No	+$5	09-15 06:41
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$1.7K	1,979	0	+1,979	No	+$302	06-21 05:29
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$1.6K	3,474	2,059	+1,415	No	-$308	07-09 17:41
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$1.5K	2,516	2,516	+0	No	+$313	07-19 21:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.3K	996	996	+0	open	—	10-25 23:08
49ers vs. Seahawks	4	$1.1K	1,650	556	+1,094	49ers	+$578	10-11 21:06
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	8	$911	1,035	56	+979	Yes	+$165	06-21 19:54
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	13	$903	1,229	1,229	+0	open	—	10-25 23:18
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	4	$715	419	419	+0	Yes	+$84	06-21 05:23
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	3	$704	405	405	+0	Argentina	+$104	07-12 03:58
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$697	675	675	+0	Yes	-$3	10-05 21:47
Giants vs. Commanders	4	$604	508	508	+0	cancelled	-$96	10-11 20:50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$573	699	699	+0	Yes	-$28	07-23 18:02
Commanders vs. 49ers	1	$567	659	0	+659	49ers	+$92	10-20 00:54
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	12	$512	289	289	+0	open	—	06-21 05:27
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	11	$446	249	249	+0	Yes	+$25	06-21 05:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	2	$422	222	222	+0	No	+$22	07-07 21:30
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$404	254	254	+0	Yes	+$53	07-19 23:03
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$400	661	0	+661	Switzerland	-$400	07-07 02:41
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	4	$391	478	478	+0	No	-$188	06-21 23:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$371	233	233	+0	Yes	-$29	07-24 19:31
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$335	500	0	+500	Spain	+$165	07-19 21:30
Eagles vs. Bears	5	$326	344	237	+106	Bears	-$70	09-28 21:26
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$300	556	0	+556	England	+$256	07-05 00:21
Chiefs vs. Seahawks	2	$235	284	284	+0	Seahawks	-$3	10-25 23:54
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$235	185	185	+0	No	+$135	07-19 22:34
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	2	$220	725	0	+725	Yes	-$220	08-04 17:00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$217	16,667	16,667	+0	No	-$83	06-24 02:53
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	1	$206	242	0	+242	Yes	+$36	06-17 05:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 04:23:35	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	564	20¢	$114	0x793085…
10-25 23:54:35	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	SELL	284	41¢	$116	0x37c4ed…
10-25 23:53:29	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	284	42¢	$119	0x2036c5…
10-25 23:53:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11,994	1¢	$120	0x53fa9e…
10-25 23:18:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	484	9¢	$46	0x564cfe…
10-25 23:18:21	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	767	6¢	$47	0x0451f4…
10-25 23:18:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	242	9¢	$22	0x860a07…
10-25 23:13:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x4a114a…
10-25 23:13:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x328d64…
10-25 23:13:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x2f3e8a…
10-25 23:13:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0x1350d7…
10-25 23:13:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0xf7c5ba…
10-25 23:13:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xc8f9c7…
10-25 23:13:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xa346d6…
10-25 23:13:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x56092c…
10-25 23:13:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	250	13¢	$34	0x1cb37a…
10-25 23:13:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x09d974…
10-25 23:13:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	175	13¢	$24	0xc2de22…
10-25 23:11:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	641	15¢	$94	0x520d1f…
10-25 23:11:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	110	15¢	$16	0x312226…
10-25 23:10:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	750	12¢	$90	0x5fb0e2…
10-25 23:08:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	700	13¢	$90	0x146df7…
10-25 23:08:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	275	95¢	$260	0xa8e31a…
10-25 22:59:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	446	22¢	$100	0x666186…
10-25 22:56:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	264	95¢	$250	0x2f8d4c…
10-25 22:00:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	120	61¢	$73	0xa25bdd…
10-25 19:56:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	197	76¢	$150	0x264fac…
10-25 19:53:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x1762b6…
10-25 19:20:03	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xee0256…
10-24 20:10:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	596	84¢	$500	0x708bc2…
10-23 23:19:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	648	77¢	$500	0xd47a1c…
10-22 22:10:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	800	77¢	$614	0x1c9e15…
10-22 19:50:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	640	78¢	$500	0x117ae6…
10-22 06:26:52	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x5462ee…
10-21 19:36:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	965	78¢	$758	0xdb613e…
10-21 19:18:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	35	78¢	$27	0x0fde3b…
10-20 00:54:38	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	659	86¢	$567	0x588035…
10-19 03:59:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	508	79¢	$400	0xbca35d…
10-19 00:31:21	Cowboys vs. Packers	Cowboys	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xa5864c…
10-18 23:02:21	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x375f8c…
10-18 20:49:17	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x3ff602…
10-18 20:17:12	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x5f8b43…
10-18 20:16:57	Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x873657…
10-18 20:05:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x18ff3f…
10-18 19:59:24	Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x1c6d88…
10-18 19:40:30	Ravens vs. Browns	Ravens	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x715558…
10-17 21:12:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	519	77¢	$400	0x318a3e…
10-15 18:58:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	258	77¢	$200	0xfda659…
10-11 21:06:53	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x218694…
10-11 20:54:44	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	816	49¢	$400	0x23dacd…
10-11 20:54:13	49ers vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	SELL	556	51¢	$284	0xebdff0…
10-11 20:52:55	49ers vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	556	54¢	$300	0x1fa1f4…
10-11 20:50:32	Giants vs. Commanders	Commanders	SELL	508	50¢	$254	0xbbd4b5…
10-11 20:16:21	Giants vs. Commanders	Commanders	BUY	183	54¢	$100	0x759a79…
10-11 18:54:48	Giants vs. Commanders	Commanders	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x4f9622…
10-11 18:53:24	Bears vs. Packers	Bears	SELL	244	10¢	$24	0xe85617…
10-11 17:15:24	Giants vs. Commanders	Commanders	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x75d52f…
10-11 17:14:57	Bears vs. Packers	Bears	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x5c0fbf…
10-11 17:14:31	Raiders vs. Patriots	Patriots	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x132947…
10-08 03:29:52	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x28bb86…
10-08 01:19:28	Texans vs. Titans	Texans	BUY	195	77¢	$150	0x18cdae…
10-08 01:16:49	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x447d0c…
10-08 01:16:31	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x15a7bb…
10-07 04:58:00	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	BUY	188	80¢	$150	0xc2239b…
10-07 00:39:01	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	96	19¢	$18	0xd7697a…
10-06 15:37:11	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xbfb7ac…
10-05 21:47:37	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	675	51¢	$347	0xee3481…
10-05 20:41:19	Falcons vs. Saints	Saints	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xe8b2dc…
10-04 20:11:40	Jaguars vs. Bengals	Jaguars	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x0f70db…
10-04 20:11:05	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Chiefs	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x09b07c…
10-02 03:33:57	Steelers vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x9aa595…
09-30 19:05:21	Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-30?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x5e9b57…
09-30 19:04:32	mlb phi atl 2026 09 30	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x0bac64…
09-30 19:04:14	mlb cws hou 2026 09 30	Houston Astros	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x3304c3…
09-28 21:26:53	Eagles vs. Bears	Eagles	BUY	106	64¢	$68	0x174a37…
09-28 21:24:02	Eagles vs. Bears	Bears	SELL	81	36¢	$29	0x23e6cc…
09-28 20:57:12	Eagles vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x04a428…
09-28 20:54:21	Eagles vs. Bears	Eagles	SELL	156	63¢	$98	0xbd3522…
09-28 20:49:51	Eagles vs. Bears	Eagles	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xb697cd…
09-25 21:47:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	235	43¢	$100	0xadebea…
09-25 19:28:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,079	56¢	$600	0x1d41ab…
09-22 18:32:31	Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0x96ef10…
09-22 18:31:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x7b60a6…
09-20 23:28:47	Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x4b4812…
09-18 00:02:01	Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x0d944a…
09-17 20:03:45	Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x4cddbc…
09-17 01:14:40	Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x406249…
09-16 22:50:24	Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x791329…
09-16 22:49:51	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xee1d28…
09-16 21:13:13	Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xa7fcc6…
09-16 03:33:51	mlb sea laa 2026 09 15	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x502674…
09-16 03:33:15	Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x8eef5e…
09-15 22:06:22	Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xadfe06…
09-15 22:06:03	Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x77714e…
09-15 21:44:39	Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Detroit Tigers	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xb65be4…
09-15 06:41:31	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2,275	76¢	$1,729	0xe9ae41…
09-14 00:31:48	Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)	Giants	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xa76a97…
08-11 19:39:01	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	921	27¢	$250	0xc23a34…
08-06 22:24:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	635	79¢	$500	0xa366a7…
08-04 17:00:00	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	No	BUY	484	31¢	$150	0xc573b2…