Realized P&L
+$861.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$24.9K
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved
512
Trades
44,525
lifetime
Volume
$15.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$336
Open exposure
$694.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 10-28 07:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Other
79%
48%
+$849,992
Crypto
19%
40%
-$30,393
Politics
2%
50%
+$51,627
Sports
1%
24%
-$10,260
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 645 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +111,898 | $101,576 | 94¢ | $104.6K | +$3,049 | 10-21 15:36 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +98,653 | $88,796 | 94¢ | $93.2K | +$4,431 | 10-25 20:48 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +54,667 | $53,012 | 97¢ | $53.2K | +$206 | 10-14 17:56 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +50,000 | $47,482 | 98¢ | $48.9K | +$1,393 | 10-08 04:29 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +85,713 | $51,211 | 46¢ | $39.9K | -$11,355 | 10-28 00:16 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +114,355 | $43,499 | 33¢ | $37.7K | -$5,762 | 10-24 15:42 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +39,589 | $29,414 | 90¢ | $35.8K | +$6,413 | 10-22 01:34 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? | No | +34,739 | $34,550 | 100¢ | $34.7K | +$137 | 10-27 04:24 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +34,952 | $32,179 | 97¢ | $33.8K | +$1,620 | 10-25 23:23 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +37,360 | $30,740 | 84¢ | $31.6K | +$829 | 10-23 09:43 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | No | +27,432 | $25,923 | 99¢ | $27.1K | +$1,193 | 10-24 16:52 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +27,903 | $21,878 | 92¢ | $25.5K | +$3,654 | 10-24 15:30 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | No | +27,829 | $24,117 | 62¢ | $17.3K | -$6,863 | 10-26 14:34 | |
| will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24 | No | +18,333 | $10,508 | 67¢ | $12.3K | +$1,775 | 10-22 02:02 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +10,067 | $9,838 | 99¢ | $9.9K | +$83 | 10-15 18:23 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | Yes | +12,904 | $5,475 | 72¢ | $9.4K | +$3,880 | 10-28 08:43 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | No | +9,115 | $4,236 | 99¢ | $9.0K | +$4,806 | 10-12 13:50 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? | No | +8,159 | $7,261 | 100¢ | $8.1K | +$865 | 10-12 08:55 | |
| will wti reach 105 in october 2026 | Yes | +20,740 | $6,483 | 38¢ | $7.9K | +$1,399 | 10-23 02:02 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +188,583 | -$2,375 | 4¢ | $7.4K | +$9,730 | 10-27 00:09 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +9,709 | $5,865 | 74¢ | $7.1K | +$1,272 | 10-28 07:11 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? | No | +7,138 | $6,845 | 100¢ | $7.1K | +$275 | 10-24 18:25 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | Yes | +27,982 | $4,590 | 24¢ | $6.6K | +$1,986 | 10-27 19:05 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5,751 | $5,635 | 98¢ | $5.6K | +$14 | 10-23 12:55 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | No | +5,248 | $3,568 | 95¢ | $5.0K | +$1,418 | 10-21 15:29 | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | +30,940 | $2,808 | 15¢ | $4.6K | +$1,756 | 10-24 12:11 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5,511 | $3,103 | 82¢ | $4.5K | +$1,444 | 10-21 16:40 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +9,665 | $1,780 | 26¢ | $2.6K | +$781 | 10-14 17:52 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | Yes | +16,288 | $4,395 | 15¢ | $2.4K | -$2,033 | 10-27 18:32 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | Yes | +93,492 | $5,229 | 2¢ | $1.8K | -$3,452 | 10-26 16:37 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | 572 | $413.7K | 488,415 | 341,157 | +147,257 | Yes | +$182,219 | 04-17 19:09 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 828 | $352.4K | 434,875 | 319,979 | +114,895 | Yes | +$42,503 | 03-30 09:14 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | 414 | $341.2K | 371,284 | 314,885 | +56,399 | No | +$14,253 | 05-28 14:29 |
| will wti reach 85 in august 2026 | 148 | $337.2K | 251,992 | 212,518 | +39,474 | Yes | +$86,829 | 08-17 22:37 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | 738 | $335.2K | 513,846 | 284,586 | +229,260 | Yes | +$64,423 | 04-30 04:12 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | 289 | $310.7K | 353,594 | 338,347 | +15,247 | No | +$1,324 | 07-31 13:13 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | 589 | $267.6K | 366,445 | 195,158 | +171,287 | No | +$12,464 | 08-31 02:44 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | 149 | $263.6K | 248,534 | 133,811 | +114,722 | Yes | -$1,481 | 07-21 14:25 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? | 130 | $249.0K | 243,690 | 233,690 | +10,000 | Yes | +$117,624 | 06-17 06:04 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | 605 | $223.8K | 286,868 | 153,879 | +132,989 | Yes | +$91,980 | 04-28 08:42 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | 139 | $220.9K | 281,644 | 144,070 | +137,574 | Yes | +$66,724 | 07-23 08:11 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | 360 | $219.7K | 403,961 | 303,697 | +100,264 | No | -$5,934 | 08-31 12:29 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | 240 | $213.9K | 477,850 | 425,267 | +52,583 | No | -$2,716 | 07-31 17:05 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | 335 | $207.3K | 128,954 | 174,056 | -45,103 | Yes | +$39,460 | 06-16 22:55 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | 119 | $205.7K | 289,421 | 177,523 | +111,898 | open | — | 10-21 15:36 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | 568 | $204.0K | 283,522 | 336,718 | -53,195 | Yes | -$14,977 | 06-26 07:25 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | 75 | $191.4K | 286,822 | 154,135 | +132,688 | open | — | 10-24 15:42 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | 106 | $185.6K | 176,481 | 136,332 | +40,149 | open | — | 10-22 01:34 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | 773 | $177.2K | 1,198,398 | 156,962 | +1,041,437 | No | -$41,606 | 05-29 23:28 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881 | 607 | $172.7K | 367,954 | 125,690 | +242,265 | No | +$22,547 | 03-31 18:01 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | 465 | $168.3K | 356,528 | 310,146 | +46,382 | No | +$26,053 | 04-30 20:53 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | 312 | $165.6K | 286,316 | 215,092 | +71,224 | No | -$26,533 | 09-29 15:05 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? | 192 | $149.1K | 185,663 | 114,625 | +71,037 | Yes | +$37,020 | 05-25 15:13 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 19 | $144.3K | 90,000 | 90,000 | +0 | No | +$30,850 | 05-30 21:03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | 57 | $143.4K | 80,813 | 64,275 | +16,538 | No | +$917 | 09-30 23:48 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | 199 | $140.1K | 278,350 | 138,703 | +139,648 | No | +$23,430 | 04-30 20:58 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | 230 | $138.8K | 133,531 | 120,052 | +13,479 | No | +$16,396 | 05-25 04:56 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | 154 | $137.4K | 175,348 | 138,547 | +36,801 | No | +$14,488 | 06-25 05:50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | 110 | $133.4K | 107,995 | 80,092 | +27,903 | open | — | 10-24 15:30 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | 101 | $132.7K | 241,038 | 115,323 | +125,715 | No | +$3,019 | 07-31 11:35 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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