Fresh-Interval — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$267

Unrealized P&L

-$758

Hit rate

45.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,885

lifetime

Volume

$81.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$3.49K

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 06-16 18:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 100% +$151

Other

14% 0% $-418

Politics

7% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 228 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,000	$1,650	54¢	$1.6K	$-30	06-05 19:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,425	$1,483	37¢	$1.3K	$-216	06-10 08:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,665	$1,117	16¢	$605	$-513	06-06 10:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	11	$6.2K	3,010	4,020	-1,010	open	—	05-29 21:30
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	16	$5.8K	3,137	3,137	+0	open	—	03-30 23:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	4	$3.5K	1,955	1,931	+24	open	—	04-28 16:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$2.9K	2,023	2,023	-0	open	—	06-01 17:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,459	1,459	+0	open	—	06-01 03:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	4	$2.3K	1,300	1,281	+19	open	—	04-26 08:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$2.2K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-16 18:21
btc updown 5m 1773139200	3	$2.1K	1,337	1,130	+207	open	—	03-10 10:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	3	$2.1K	1,216	1,216	+0	open	—	05-27 16:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	3	$2.0K	1,007	1,207	-200	open	—	05-24 07:30
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	4	$1.8K	1,007	1,007	+0	open	—	04-29 15:04
will bitcoin dip to 65k in june 2026	3	$1.7K	1,283	1,283	+0	open	—	06-03 20:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-05 19:01
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$1.5K	950	950	+0	open	—	04-26 08:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.5K	3,425	0	+3,425	open	—	06-10 08:50
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	5	$1.4K	1,011	1,000	+11	open	—	04-19 13:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	14	$1.2K	1,358	1,075	+283	open	—	04-19 20:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	8	$1.1K	1,525	0	+1,525	open	—	04-28 03:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	13	$1.1K	3,665	0	+3,665	open	—	06-06 10:03
f1 chinese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 15	26	$1.1K	879	879	+0	open	—	03-15 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3PM ET	3	$1000	0	2,000	-2,000	open	—	05-02 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$912	813	783	+30	open	—	04-27 06:25
btc updown 5m 1773253800	2	$719	907	896	+11	open	—	03-11 18:33
btc updown 5m 1773333600	1	$678	1,571	0	+1,571	open	—	03-12 16:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	5	$669	1,603	0	+1,603	open	—	05-24 22:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$643	510	400	+110	open	—	05-29 21:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	3	$636	332	332	+0	open	—	06-13 05:34
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	3	$587	1,305	0	+1,305	open	—	06-03 20:41
btc updown 5m 1776024900	23	$534	800	386	+414	open	—	04-12 20:20
btc updown 5m 1774830000	20	$529	432	399	+33	open	—	03-30 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 18:21:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	900	81¢	$729	0xd3fe9b…
06-15 05:51:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	639	16¢	$100	0xca5144…
06-14 13:52:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0x7d15be…
06-13 05:34:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	332	100¢	$331	0x54044c…
06-11 19:32:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	400	78¢	$312	0xb20de9…
06-10 08:50:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x2fa4a4…
06-09 19:26:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xbb16ef…
06-09 18:23:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x115631…
06-06 10:03:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	21¢	$5	0x3d98be…
06-06 10:01:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	21¢	$8	0x03a86a…
06-06 08:45:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,113	21¢	$233	0x3a8df3…
06-05 19:01:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x6252d0…
06-05 10:59:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0x294cdd…
06-04 22:40:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0x41692a…
06-04 21:13:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,122	44¢	$1,374	0xe07a86…
06-04 03:40:39	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	498	22¢	$110	0x9dd410…
06-04 03:39:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	524	34¢	$177	0x1a5ecf…
06-04 02:51:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	29¢	$21	0x6214c8…
06-03 20:44:25	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1,368	29¢	$397	0xb3b376…
06-03 20:41:03	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x34e95d…
06-03 20:39:00	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	49	45¢	$22	0x2ef171…
06-03 20:38:25	will bitcoin dip to 65k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	683	95¢	$649	0x25bd54…
06-03 20:25:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1,248	45¢	$562	0xd0ac6f…
06-03 20:18:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	525	33¢	$171	0x7d5ee7…
06-03 16:22:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	SELL	600	90¢	$540	0x012582…
06-03 16:21:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	34¢	$170	0xb3bc1c…
06-03 13:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	205	29¢	$59	0x4c8399…
06-03 13:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	205	36¢	$74	0x17df0a…
06-03 04:23:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	168	33¢	$55	0xe3b0c4…
06-02 16:28:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	209	36¢	$75	0xd1c66f…
06-02 03:41:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0x7e1d3d…
06-02 03:36:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	1,283	39¢	$500	0x84422b…
06-02 03:20:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	311	39¢	$121	0x64d5fc…
06-01 17:08:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,023	100¢	$2,020	0x58dacd…
06-01 16:50:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	44¢	$23	0xd02490…
06-01 16:47:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	400	82¢	$328	0xdea078…
06-01 13:32:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x8de533…
06-01 12:56:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	686	44¢	$300	0xcf2f27…
06-01 12:52:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	445	22¢	$100	0xc3d68d…
06-01 12:43:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	450	22¢	$100	0x892338…
06-01 11:49:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	104	45¢	$47	0x0be365…
06-01 06:29:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	87¢	$87	0xcabc3c…
06-01 06:28:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0xc74c43…
06-01 06:26:02	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	207	30¢	$62	0xf5f77f…
06-01 03:05:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,459	100¢	$1,458	0xc15702…
05-31 19:55:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x075a6e…
05-31 19:35:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	95	79¢	$75	0xc095a8…
05-31 19:35:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	212	79¢	$168	0x243bed…
05-31 18:04:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	400	70¢	$280	0x1e04fc…
05-31 15:31:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x20325e…
05-31 15:31:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x8ee570…
05-31 15:30:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	132	92¢	$121	0x1929b3…
05-31 15:00:26	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	202	87¢	$176	0x09cd96…
05-31 04:55:24	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	51	58¢	$30	0xe0feea…
05-29 21:41:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6bfbfe…
05-29 21:38:47	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x7100d2…
05-29 21:37:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x606fc5…
05-29 21:36:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	308	63¢	$194	0x14e1a9…
05-29 21:34:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	340	73¢	$248	0x93ff50…
05-29 21:30:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	584	100¢	$582	0xd7e283…
05-29 21:13:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x7a9e41…
05-29 21:12:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2e6065…
05-29 21:09:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0x54486a…
05-29 21:06:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	1,204	100¢	$1,201	0x468039…
05-27 16:36:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,459	82¢	$1,196	0x53e6f4…
05-27 16:36:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,216	92¢	$1,123	0x3ed4cf…
05-24 22:14:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	252	35¢	$88	0x524eaa…
05-24 22:13:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	835	26¢	$220	0x865bf4…
05-24 08:01:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	1,833	75¢	$1,375	0x75459f…
05-24 07:30:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,107	97¢	$1,076	0x3a1ce8…
05-24 06:07:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	400	73¢	$294	0xc31c35…
05-19 20:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	218	34¢	$74	0x7dc801…
05-19 20:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	367	34¢	$125	0x45e9f9…
05-19 05:43:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0x583c19…
05-19 05:21:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,013	81¢	$821	0xb1583f…
05-18 16:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	153	59¢	$90	0x220456…
05-18 16:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x4ae183…
05-18 15:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0xea560e…
05-18 15:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x73d3d5…
05-18 15:40:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x91d11b…
05-18 14:58:39	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	No	SELL	13	50¢	$7	0x1d1871…
05-18 07:29:01	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x94c8d0…
05-18 07:28:45	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	No	SELL	15	50¢	$7	0xe67b94…
05-18 05:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x012f9e…
05-17 20:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xa03ac0…
05-17 10:58:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x585631…
05-17 09:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x1e7051…
05-16 21:15:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	167	4¢	$7	0x1bad55…
05-16 21:11:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	203	64¢	$130	0x41c7e8…
05-16 21:10:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xe1317c…
05-16 21:09:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	203	82¢	$166	0x41439d…
05-16 19:19:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x4a2ffe…
05-15 16:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	SELL	200	51¢	$102	0x836734…
05-15 16:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Down	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x836734…
05-13 17:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	262	34¢	$89	0xc358e1…
05-13 15:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x1a3cf1…
05-13 15:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xcb842c…
05-13 15:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x612725…
05-13 15:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf2f380…
05-13 15:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x3317be…