Realized P&L (24h)
-$24
Unrealized P&L
-$738
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved (24h)
2
Trades (24h)
0
2,237 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$110.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$8.51K
25 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 10-24 16:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 45% +$4,067
Other
13% 42% +$103
Sports
10% 50% +$3,225
Politics
8% 47% -$422
Tech
0% 100% +$130
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $3,010 96¢ $4.8K +$1,797 07-13 16:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,424 $1,199 88¢ $-1246 -$2,445 07-01 23:46
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 Yes +500 $225 72¢ $361 +$136 07-13 03:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $334 82¢ $330 -$4 10-12 14:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $236 89¢ $267 +$31 10-12 17:32
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +549 $268 44¢ $239 -$29 09-23 13:19
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +200 $138 82¢ $164 +$26 09-29 19:46
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +200 $164 70¢ $141 -$23 10-12 20:27
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +300 $184 46¢ $139 -$45 10-02 10:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +200 $134 58¢ $117 -$17 10-11 19:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $91 94¢ $95 +$4 10-17 18:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +100 $80 88¢ $88 +$8 10-02 10:01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $87 85¢ $85 -$2 10-17 18:13
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +99 $71 72¢ $72 +$0 10-12 19:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +102 $64 70¢ $72 +$8 10-17 17:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $66 54¢ $54 -$12 10-12 18:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +50 $46 96¢ $48 +$2 10-17 18:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +102 $48 41¢ $41 -$6 10-17 18:15
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +50 $30 78¢ $39 +$9 09-30 08:32
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +41 $26 72¢ $30 +$3 10-18 00:42
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +50 $19 56¢ $28 +$8 10-19 15:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $17 44¢ $22 +$4 10-17 18:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $13 74¢ $15 +$2 10-17 18:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +41 $6 15¢ $6 +$0 10-18 16:07
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +1,500 $195 0¢ $2 -$194 07-13 17:26