Realized P&L (7d)
-$845
Unrealized P&L
-$751
Hit rate
3.3%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
3
2,237 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$69
$110.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$8.71K
28 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 10-24 16:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 46% +$4,113
Other
13% 43% +$150
Sports
10% 50% +$3,225
Politics
8% 47% -$422
Tech
0% 100% +$90
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $3,010 96¢ $4.8K +$1,792 07-13 16:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,424 $1,199 90¢ $-1289 -$2,488 07-01 23:46
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 Yes +500 $225 78¢ $388 +$164 07-13 03:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $334 82¢ $326 -$8 10-12 14:41
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +549 $268 56¢ $308 +$39 09-23 13:19
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $236 96¢ $286 +$50 10-12 17:32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +200 $138 80¢ $161 +$23 09-29 19:46
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +200 $164 72¢ $145 -$19 10-12 20:27
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +300 $184 38¢ $115 -$68 10-02 10:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +200 $134 50¢ $99 -$35 10-11 19:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +100 $78 96¢ $96 +$18 10-18 01:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$1 10-17 18:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +100 $80 88¢ $88 +$8 10-02 10:01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $87 86¢ $86 -$1 10-17 18:13
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +99 $71 74¢ $74 +$2 10-12 19:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +102 $64 68¢ $69 +$5 10-17 17:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $66 66¢ $66 $0 10-12 18:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +50 $46 92¢ $46 +$0 10-17 18:12
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +50 $30 90¢ $45 +$15 09-30 08:32
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +102 $48 43¢ $44 -$4 10-17 18:15
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +41 $26 66¢ $27 +$1 10-18 00:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $17 35¢ $18 +$0 10-17 18:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +50 $19 34¢ $17 -$2 10-19 15:24
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $13 68¢ $14 +$1 10-17 18:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +41 $6 15¢ $6 +$0 10-18 16:07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +50 $10 6¢ $3 -$7 10-17 17:32
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? Yes +100 $46 2¢ $2 -$44 10-02 09:26
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +1,500 $195 0¢ $2 -$194 07-13 17:26